@robertgibbins14 >>Your logistics insights were extraordinary during this war.
It is less a matter of "being extraordinary" than simple experience.
The "common knowledge" of how military logistics really worked has faded with the end of draft armies in the West.
This 'null experience'
1/
@robertgibbins14 ...with how military logistics really works is why civilian intelligence analysts simply cannot get this stuff correct in this latest Russian Invasion of Ukraine.
As for Russian logistics, The Ukrainians have counter attacked and reached the Russian border at Trostianets.
2/
@robertgibbins14 That wouldn't have happened if Russian logistics were working.
The Ukrainians are doing slow, low casualty for them, counterattacks taking the maximum advantage of standoff munitions and drones to take back their territory
@robertgibbins14 The Ukrainians are leading with missile armed infantry and drones because Russia cannot bring up lots of MLRS rockets. When Russian AFV's appear the UA kills them with missiles and then bring up tanks to kill Russian infantry.
The UA reorganizes and then repeats the cycle.
4/
@robertgibbins14 The Ukrainian tactics are those of the Rasputitsa/mud season.
It is the failure of Russian artillery logistics which lets the UA fight with these tactics.
5/End
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
This thread🧵will lay out the reasons I think the Russians blew the technological development necessary to deal with drone threats in Ukraine & elsewhere.
Like all really important problems, it starts with how badly you treat people...in this case, Russian engineers.👇 1/
We have seen such trucks help to build China's COVID-19 isolation hospitals.
It is this focus on modern industrial & logistical productivity by the CCP over the last 40 years which makes China the emerging superpower that it is today.
2/
This Western national security analytical failure to see the implications of this lack industrial & logistical productivity in Russia & its presence in China is one of the more troubling outcomes of the invasion of Ukraine.
3/
The best people in the world at making evasive radar routing for drones and missiles in the world are the USAF officers and airmen at the Stand-off Munitions Activity Center (SMAC) at Barksdale AFB.
Missile solid fuel engines age out at 10 years and require a careful depot level engine replacement plus electronics refresh.
The US does this as a matter of course, Congressional budget permitting, but most FMS customers do not.
2/
@GRomePow At most, 30,000 of that 45,000 are available somewhere in the world with about half being both in possession to the US military and available as warshot.
The US Army will not drain stocks from Indo-Pacific units, 18th Airborne Corps or the Stryker brigades.
Instead, we are seeing the Russian Army use two man carry break bulk boxes of mortar & artillery ammunition like this.
2/
Pallets are fundamental to the mechanized movement of goods in a modern economy or military.
See:
"According to an article in a 1931 railway trade magazine, three days were required to unload a boxcar containing 13,000 cases of unpalletized canned goods. When the same
3/