5/ And thanks to @Craving_bs for reminding me to add this.
This week's CME gap sits at $44825 to $46550
80% of CME gaps are filled.
6/ Given the above information the scenario i'm looking for is Bitcoin to range here for a few days, then fake out, hit around $48500 and retrace to fill the CME Gap.
Bookmap is also showing a heavy stack of sell orders at 48500 (subject to change)
7/ Also, because we are close to the end of the month it may not happen until Friday. (Chart scenario attached)
I think Eth needs to hit $3600 first, so Alts have time and space to run.
Areas of rejection on them that i'm looking at are their 12hr and Daily Fair Value Gaps
8/ Lots of Alts getting overextended and showing green vectors on the daily charts at the top. A lot of them running into Daily Fair Value Gaps. Bitcoin also at a Daily FVG.
These are strong resistance areas.
Add in Saylor’s announcement today and you’ve got a recipe for 📉📉📉
Same play as always:
Take out the top of the range first and you target the bottom, take out the bottom of the range then you target the top.
Note: $Eth range isn't confirmed until a break below $1557.65 has occurred.
Price moving towards the top of the range at the moment. Will be careful if this turns out to sweep the range high first - have to remember that we're in the vicinity of a bullish order block and the fact there's a lot of fuckery around the weekend. If it does take range high...
...i'd like confirmation by it re-entering the range and holding within. A move back up above again and i'd be vigilant to make sure it doesn't go against me too hard.
For scalp ranges I am always looking for a minimum of 3:1 RR.
Notice and observe how whenever we drop people start searching for lower and lower targets.
Was this the case a few months ago? No, people were looking for higher targets until all hope was obliterated.
There was a sentiment shift when we dropped below 28k.
Hope turned to despair.
People who had been trying to buy/long the dip were now more of the thought of selling/shorting the rips.
Towards the end of the move is when people start getting aggressive with even lower or higher targets.
Know when the market structure has shifted, we are very much in bullish market conditions - yet the crowd is still very much with a bearish mindset. Most are offside.
2/ What's the first thing people learn when they start trading?
Technical analysis of the chart. Usually through some sort of patterns system, Fibonacci, Elliot Waves, Fair Value Gaps for example.
But what is something is consistently overlooked?
Time.
3/ Time is important because it's when the Market Makers and the algorithms are most active in the market. You'll see this through sessions whereby most of the activity in the charts happens whenever the key legacy sessions are open. These are Asia, London and New York