Ok I'm starting a grim 🧵 of gross stats & facts to have on hand for #Budget2022
In December 2019, 76.5% of people on Newstart (557,395) had relied on income support for more than a year. This has gone up by 41%!!! It's now 786,139 people (83.84% of all people on JobSeeker).
The unemployment rate hasn't been this low since before the global financial crisis in 2008 when it was also 4%.
BUT the proportion of working age people who rely on an unemployment payment has nearly doubled – from 3.3% in mid-2008 compared to about 5.9% today. #Budget2022
For each entry level job advertised in February 2022 there are about 23 people who've been on an unemployment payment for more than 12 months.
Don't forget: you're also competing with applicants who aren't on a payment or are short-term unemployed. #Budget2022
Between July 2020 & June 2021 only 26.3% of people in jobactive Stream C got a job – only 29% of those were permanent.
11.1% were employed full-time 3 months after getting a job.
This includes people who found their own job without the help of their job agency. #Budget2022
When we look at everyone in jobactive, not just Stream C (people with "higher barriers to work") only 9% of people on the JobSeeker payment were employed full-time after 3 months in a job.
Again, this includes people who found their own job.
You know how the government & media always pretend like payments to unemployed people make up a huge % of the budget?
Welp, FY20 unemployment payments were 3.48% of all spending ($18.7b). In FY19, the last year before COVID distorted figures, it was 2.15% ($10.5 b) #Budget2022
Some cool stuff the government included in last year's budget instead of making welfare payments higher:
💰 $197m for the new 6-month Work for the Dole
💰 $2.5m on the 'DobSeeker' employer reporting line
💰 $24m on investigations for welfare “fraud & non-compliance” #Budget2022
And of course we don't know how much they pissed away forcing income control on (mostly) Blak folks in violation of their rights, cos the government keeps that secret every year 🤐
In April 2021 the government cut JobSeeker, the most common working age payment, down to $310 a week.
It's now $46 a day – about ½ the Henderson poverty line. But the poverty line was last updated in September, so we know it's far worse now with recent price hikes. #Budget2022
In February 2020 there were 66,800 people on Newstart (now JobSeeker) who had employment income.
In February 2022 there were 184,751 people on JobSeeker who had employment income.
Surely that's good? Nope. Jobs shouldn't suck so bad that you can't escape poverty. #Budget2022
In 2020, when JobSeeker and other payments were lifted to the poverty line, @ACOSS found 33% of people still regularly skipped meals. 40% couldn't afford meds medication and adequate healthcare.
When payments were AT THE POVERTY LINE. #Budget2022
@ACOSS JobSeeker is currently $292 a week below the Henderson poverty line – last updated for September 2021, before wild price increases really kicked in.
This $250 payment won't even get someone above the poverty line for a SINGLE week.
Don't lock in a bad system. We hope if Labor win government there's a chance for meaningful change. If this bill passes then any opportunity to work on substantive improvements will be significantly diminished. They've extended jobactive before & can do so again #RejectTheMOsBill
Changes that make savings from social security & unemployed people should be opposed.
The effect of changes in this bill will save $860 million in employment services over the forward estimates & another $191 million in payments recouped due to payment backdating changes.
@PatrickGormanMP published an abhorrent, self-serving piece claiming Labor leads a war on poverty.
Labor aren't "for the poor" & they haven’t been in my lifetime. This is designed to prime people to think there's a small cohort of ppl in rare circumstances living in poverty.
I was stunned but not surprised to read Gorman's article, which is mostly a grab bag of ALP policies that aren't related to poverty. It doesn't mention unemployment or JobSeeker once.
This table shows the gap between poverty line & unemployment payments growing faster under the ALP than Coalition
Red/orange/green columns are the rate as % of HPL. Blue & re for which party was in gov & how much more or less below the poverty line the payment was for that time
The reason this will have been flagged in the system is because the Bendigo and Ballarat *employment regions* – meaningless boundaries – have different unemployment rates.
Bendigo ER has an unemployment rate of 4.3% and 7500 people in jobactive. Ballarat is 4% and 6800.
Bendigo ER working age pop is 102k ppl. Ballarat: 104k.
These places. Are basically. The same.
He's moving from a town of 4k ppl, so what difference does it make to his prospects whether he moves an hr in one direction or an hr in the other?
To be extremely clear: the gov restricts freedom of movement for ppl on JS
1 of the many problems w the MOs bill they tried & failed to force through: the dept couldn't answer my q about how new 'incentives' to relocate interact w rules that *prevent* ppl choosing where to live.
There are obviously many problems with rules that punish people for moving.
First and foremost: it is a human rights violation.
2nd: People are prevented from moving somewhere where it might be easier to survive on the JS pittance.
3rd: It traps people in unsafe situations.
4th: There are many reasons poor ppl go to the GREAT EXPENSE of moving. Such as accessing healthcare or being closer to family/other supports that help them survive on JobSeeker.
5th: Long-term unemployed ppl are actively prevented from gaining skills by perverse MO requirements