Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 2 5 tweets 3 min read
This tweet reinforces something I said earlier about Russian MLRS reload vehicle "Western Intelligence shiny things" & the reality of Russian Army logistics.

Something like 90% of the RuAF MLRS rocket reload production, storage & transportation supply chain looks like this
1/
Western intelligence inability to understand the reality of manual labor, because of the overwhelming university graduate class based world view, left it unable to see the Russian Army as it really was.

There is a lot of political hay to be made by Congressmen & Senators
2/
...asking the Defense Department & the civilian intelligence agencies about that in public testimony before a Joint House-Senate committee on the failures of the Ukraine War like the one on the CIA assassination program.

3/
Although I have to admit pallet hand carts & forklifts are simply not as sexy as poison dart guns.

Still, CNN & Fox News will like showcasing the CIA director & chairman of the JCS squirm in their seats as they try to answer:

"Why in the heck did you miss no Russian
4/
...Pallets & Forklifts since 1943?

Are all of your analysts stupid?"

I've got some popcorn waiting for that moment.

5/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Apr 4
This is a near term, course of the Ukrainian War, prediction thread🧵

Russian air forces at Melitopol are now in AFU long range rocket artillery attack range via BM-30 Smersh & Toshka-U now on the north shore of the Dneiper.
1/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BM-30_Sme…
The major Ukrainian airbase at Melitopol was the former hub for Ukrainian Il-76MD CANDID operations.

It is now used as a FOB for Russian helos & Su-25's.

The AFU is now making public comparisons to the RuAF experience with Smersh & Toshka-U at Chornobaivka AB near Kherson.
2/ ImageImage
Now the predictions.

Right now Ukrainian Aerorozvidka ATV & Drone teams & a lot of ATGM's are being infiltrated across the Dnieper river at night to besiege Kherson & scout Melitopol with Ukrainian SF stay behind teams & Territorial defense forces.
3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 4
Short EW 🧵

Most people have missed how badly the loss of this Russian AF plane to Ukraine near Izium is.

The right wing tip had an electronic warfare self protection pod (EWSP) and it came down intact enough for a good technical analysis.

1/
It might be either a SAP-518 or KNIRTI L005 Sorbtsiya wingtip pod.

2/ Image
For reference, this is a Su-34 FULLBACK with KNIRTI SAP14 and two wing tip SAP518 DRFM jamming pods

3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 3
This is a really nice history snapshot thread on the Battle of Kyiv that has been making the rounds.

I have a few minor objections to it based on what is missing.

Ukrainian leadership & Russian corruption thread🧵

1/
The 1st missing piece is the Pres. Zelensky statement to the West "I need ammunition, not a ride."

"The moral is to the physical what ten is to one"
-- Napoléon Bonaparte of France

2/ Image
This political act that set the table for the defeat of the Russian VDV outside Kyiv.

It prepared the Ukrainian Army for a fight to the death at Kyiv and in a sentance gave the Ukrainian people a rallying cry.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Apr 2
It is evident today that the only Neo-Nazis in Ukraine wear Russian Army uniforms

#BuchaMassacre is only the beginning

As Russian positions are over run. The extent of Putin's plans to "Suppress the Ukrainian people" will show up as the Ukrainian bodies on his FSB kill lists
1/
The Biden Administration "De-Escalation Faction" is now politically dead and damned.

The coming days will find multiple #BuchaMassacre because that is the way Russian "Special Operations" work.

2/
Spreaker Pelosi cannot stop & Senate Majority Leader Schumer won't even try to get in the way of a bi-partisan Congressional resolution demanding the Biden Administration send NATO & surplus US fighters to Ukraine.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 1
This is going to be a Russian casualty ratio🧵thread with a lot of Russian corruption thrown in to give you a feel for the political-military pressures inside Russia's ruling Kleptocracy.

1/
I've done a thread previously on Russian casualty ratios in order to demonstrate how the ratio of dead to wounded meant Russia didn't have a modern military medical system.

This meant that for every two dead Russians, there were three wounded due
2/
...to the complete lack of modern blood clotting bandages & a "golden hour" medivac care system.

So, the UAF report of 17,700 dead Russians means there are another 26,550 wounded out of an estimated invasion force of 190,000.

61,950 total KIA & WIA out of 190,000 is 32.6%

3/
Read 20 tweets
Mar 31
Alright, while there have been a large number of corporate media reports on this latest Russian Invasion of Ukraine. This thread🧵is a series of youtube content creator videos I've watched and found useful.
1/
This Task & Purpose video gives a history of Ukraine's military from the fall of the Soviet Union to recent times.

It is very wisea** & snarky, AKA about my speed.

2/
This is a Battle Order video taking a snap shot of Ukrainian ground forces just prior to this latest invasion of Ukraine.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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