Jack Watling Profile picture
Apr 2 4 tweets 1 min read
On Bucha: after my last meeting in Ukraine I was walking to the car when a senior Ukrainian security official, flanked by two General Officers grabbed my arm and said "by the way; the Russians have moved a unit onto the Belarusian axis who will lead the killings." 1/4.
Anyone saying that Bucha is the result of brutalisation or rogue behaviour is wrong. This was the plan. It was pre-meditated. It is consistent with Russian methods in Chechnya. And if the Russian military had been more successful there would have been many more towns like it. 2/4
This context - in which the Ukrainians knew that there were troops preparing to perpetrate acts like this, with the Kremlin describing Ukrainian identity as an accident of history - also explains why Ukrainian resistence has been so fierce. They see the stakes as existential. 3/4
People calling for a specific response to Bucha are taking an atrocity out of its context. The response should be to ensure that Ukrainians can defeat the invasion through steady and systemic assistance. The volume and speed of kit delivered matters. 4/4

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More from @Jack_Watling

Feb 26
We are headed towards a siege of Kyiv. For those looking for preparations for military resistance, @SpencerGuard is the person to follow. On the non-mil side I am deeply concerned about the impending rise in civilian casualties. Some thoughts on how to prepare 1/15.
1 - WATER - while the mains still work fill every vesel. Fill your bath. Fill pots and pans. Heavy plastic bags. Condoms hold a surprising amount. Be creative. Water will be needed by medics, for fire fighting, and for drinking. And people will need lots of it. 2/15.
2 - FOOD - authorities should have been stockpiling high calorie non-perishable food. They probably haven't. Get all you can. Inventory what you have. Cook and freeze perishables while you have power. Pack in cold place with ice (make ice). Start limiting consumption now. 3/15.
Read 15 tweets
Sep 6, 2021
A quick note on the written statement on Ajax published today as to why resolving the vibration issue is and will continue to be difficult questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statem… I'm not an expert on armoured vehicle design, but I know several people who are. They tell me... 1/12
Vibration in an armoured vehicle is not something you can get rid of. Lots of heavy components moving quickly vibrate. However, across a system these vibrations will interact differently at different speeds as different components move at different rates. 2/12
At some speeds some component's vibrations will cancel one another out. At other speeds they will magnify one another. Where in the vehilce vibration is most intense changes at different speeds. 3/12
Read 12 tweets
Jun 24, 2021
A thought on the incident off Crimea yesterday. I won't comment on the dynamics with Russia because that's already been well covered by colleagues including @KeirGiles and @MarkGaleotti. But a point on credibility and the media. 1/
There are lots of reasons why @DefenceHQ can't play it straight all the time in public statements. While HMG has more credibility than the Russian Government, yesterday could easily have turned into a 'we said, they said' narrative if it weren't for @bealejonathan's reporting 2/
Now @bealejonathan certainly gets under the skin of quite a few people in defence. But when it mattered what we needed was someone with a reputation for being independent, critical, and accurate. We didn't need someone who was 'on side'. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Apr 17, 2021
There is often a peculiar deference that military personnel express for academic writing, as though it were a mystical art. I figured it might be interesting for folks to read about the process, and what it takes to produce good writing.
1) It is a team sport
2) Practice
Writing is a team sport. It is about communication. If someone reads your work and misses the point, it is probably because you didn't express it clearly. So, getting honest feedback before publication is vital.
Almost anything I write at @RUSI_org is first run by Peter Roberts, Paul O'Neill, Mark Proctor, @Justin_Br0nk, Sidharth Kaushal, Alexandra Stickings and Nick Reynolds before it leaves my office. They give me the friendly 'you might want to think about' steer.
Read 18 tweets

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