4. One function of the IPCC is to negotiate the "politically possible" (= agenda setting) & do science within these limits.
Dennis Meadows explains this by contrasting IPCC & Limits to Growth. LTG 1972 defined the physically possible, and was thus promptly ignored by economists.
5. Few pundits and politicians know that ALL IPCC scenarios (SSPs) assume infinite growth even if we lose habitat (RCP85). We'll all get private jets in hell, jests Tim.
This is how we blinded ourselves. Would be nice if economists and IPCC faced reality.
11. Learning can be emotionally & cognitively taxing. Pace yourself.
—@NJHagens is great:
—Understanding grows from reading the original papers. Some take a sabbatical to learn. I did - painful, but needed. read.realityblind.world/view/975731937…
12. Kind souls often ask how climate policy makes sense.
Yes, it's not YOU. It doesn't.
Never prioritize climate hope over truth. Trust is earned; people smell BS a mile against the wind. Our superpower is honesty.
Now you see the context
@KevinClimate
13. @SaraSchurmann's new book #KlartextKlima takes you on a personal journey of learning.
Worth sharing also because she kindly offers media critique from a professional perspective. How can we as societies and journalists learn and move forward?
14. Sorry for length and directness. We covered a lot - take with you what helps you.
Hope the references help some of you learn faster and earlier than I did. The past few years - and for many of you even decades - have been a hard journey.
Thanks for all your work. Way to go!
15. Now, back to organizing. This is about your & your kids' futures, about values you hold dear - empathy, freedoms, human rights, law, justice.
1. Anyone can join @JustStop_Oil @AufstandLastGen @ScientistRebel1.
16. "The collapse of global ecosystems has begun. Only an emergency exit from fossil fuels and the exploitation of our planet can still stop it," says Nikolaus Froitzheim @ExtinctionR_DE @XRBerlin.
This is a call of hope to rethink & rebuild the economy.
@ExtinctionR_DE @XRBerlin 17. Here an overview. Recall: neoclassical economics can address non-climate questions, eg energy economics, but not climate. This explains its schizophrenic character. Even ecological economics struggles. A profound challenge - I hope many can take it on.
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen 20. Context here if you want follow up. Join @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE or start your own networks if aesthetics or TOPC don't speak to you.
Just don't be naïve.
No one is coming to rescue you. Hiding in models that ignore reality is > irresponsible.
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE 21. Forgot to mention @MuellerTadzio as a good soul from whom I learn. To support:
If you see beyond the bubble, you know that the brighter police officers know as well as do we where things are heading. Climate change is changing everything. Think ahead.
@bberwyn @ClimateHuman I wonder why climate scientists don't see it. IPCC models generate the overshoot-and-collapse dynamics of Limits to Growth. The only difference is they assume infinite growth. @bberwyn's article added as background. @ProfBillMcGuire @ProfSteveKeen @IPCC_CH insideclimatenews.org/news/05042022/…
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE @MuellerTadzio 22. Worth adding an update one year later: As I often pointed out, @DrJamesEHansen's prescient warnings of the past 15 years were silenced by the mainstream (his words: censored). Face reality, friends.
Similarly, @RealTadzioM's old account was suspended.
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE @MuellerTadzio @DrJamesEHansen @RealTadzioM 23. Worthy addition to this climate & IPCC review thread. As we warned for 5+ years, notably @dwallacewells in his famous essay. "Fatally flawed" is putting it kindly. Climate economists, anyone of you care to develop better models? theintercept.com/2023/10/29/wil…
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE @MuellerTadzio @DrJamesEHansen @RealTadzioM @dwallacewells I have no fancy professorship in Yale, so when we say this no one listens, but this was long obvious to anyone with academic training in relevant fields. - "Fate of humanity" may be overpromising but we certainly cannot have rational policy without profound failure analysis here.
@jim27182 @ProfSteveKeen @ScientistRebel1 @ClimateHuman @camoranesi_jabo @AufstandLastGen @JustStop_Oil @ExtinctionR_DE @MuellerTadzio @DrJamesEHansen @RealTadzioM @dwallacewells What @cketchamwild gets wrong: the deluded idea of 'climate damages' in neoclassical (mainstream) economics, incl. in the IPCC, isn't "10% loss from current world GDP" but 10% from a future fantastical world economy an order of magnitude larger than today. theintercept.com/2023/10/29/wil…
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“Bamboo is our best chance to slow climate breakdown. It can replace drivers of GHG emissions and biodiversity loss (food, construction, concrete, plastic), build soil & allow regrowing rainforest." - Let's test it. Grow bamboo as blueprint for a future ecological civilization 🧵
2. Giant bamboo dwarfs trees. As grass, it grows 30 times (!) faster and can be harvested every year. Timber takes decades; too slow. Stunningly, no one in the west described the unique climate mitigation potential of bamboo yet. - Note the rhizome system:
3. Climate relevant will be the use in millions of ha of plantations, just like other economically important crops. After two months on this, some significant progress: air pot kindly donated 1 m of their professional U system, so I can test it for bamboo.
SARS-CoV-2 reminder: The more immune compromised the population, the less symptoms, the ‘milder’ it appears, the more severe it really is (=Long Covid, long term damage). That’s what even most scientists seem not to get
Thanks for vivid discussion everyone. It really is a fundamentally important point. Since I deleted most references for lack of structure (and frankly, just being fed up repeating the same points for 3 to 4 years), I'll look for new references that must have been published by now
1. "Bamboo is our best chance to slow climate breakdown: it sustains societies, can protect soil and store carbon for 100 years in food, construction, bio-concrete and plastic." - Let’s test this. As our very German neighbors renew their English Gardens, we start growing bamboo👇
2. Three months ago I started on bamboo: no one else in Europe seemed to have systematically analyzed or even considered its global climate mitigation potential when used as agricultural crop rather than natural forests, which do little climate mitigation.
3. A bamboo focus isn't for the coming years. We are at least a decade early. However, since getting started will take decades, now is a good time. In 10 years, atmospheric CO2 will exceed 450 ppm. That's enough to fundamentally transform the Earth system.
Hybrid immunity was invented in 2021 to sell the idea of SARS-CoV-2 infections as a good. There is no literature pre 2021. The idea to infect the global population with a SARS virus, including all 2 billion children aged 14 yo and younger, didn't exist. scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22h…
You can repeat the same with "immune debt" or "immunity debt", the original flawed idea invented by French pediatrician Cohen in 2021, setting off the whole strain of argument. An incredibly effective PR campaign, less good science. scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&…
1. Europe imports all its bamboo. Plantations on fallow land are one good option to slow climate breakdown and create sustainable jobs. Bamboo is incredibly fast and, unlike timber, active management improves climate and ecological outcomes. Merits focus, baustoff-partner.de/d/moso-reiche-…
SARS-CoV-2 wasn't the last disruption to import based businesses. Our basic climate policy warning for seven years now. One of the reasons I'd encourage everyone to look into starting to grow Moso bamboo (phyllostachys edulis) or other suitable species in Southern Europe as well.
3. Terrestrial mammals and C4 grasses evolved and adapted below a threshold of 550 ppm. Earth will cross it within the lifetime of kids born today. - Bamboo is our most efficient C3 plant. Cenozoic CO2 proxy (CENCO2PIP) Consortium☝️ science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
You need a scale for the collapse of 'doomsday' glacier Thwaites. Compare the past two years: iceberg B22a broke off the glacier in 2002 and gained legs in 2023, freeing Thwaites to flow into the sea over the coming years: here it is today—that's 3,000 km2 worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-2442135.48…
3600 square kilometers, for the mathematicians here