This paper is now out. Planned before @Annaisaac made #nondoms cool again, we use confidential, anonymised HMRC data to look at🧐
🔸who the nondoms are
🔸what they do (incl a look at bankers)
🔸where they are from
🔸where they live
Non-doms are people who live here, like you or me. May spend whole year in UK, working, having families. What makes them diff is that they claim their permanent home is abroad (and can hopefully substantiate this).
What does this get them❓
Benefit of non-dom status is can claim "remittance basis": no tax on foreign investments
That's what @Independent story yday was about: claim that Chancellor's wife didn't pay UK tax on her substantial non-UK income from shares
As a brief aside, citizenship has *nothing* to do with whether you choose to/not to claim remittance basis in the UK. Most non-citizens are not claiming it, and some citizens ARE claiming it (and, to be clear, this is allowed)
First up, there are many more ppl in UK who have benefited from non-dom status than you might think. For every 2 ppl claiming non-dom in 2018, another 5 ppl living in UK had previously claimed.
2017 reforms removed eligibility for some, so was widely reported that number of nondoms had fallen (blue above), but can see from the green that they didn't leave, just stopped claiming status
They are also very rich💰💰💰
4 out of every 10 people with income above £5million has benefitted from non-dom status
From the (longer) paper, get the answer to that poll📊
Looking at dependence of industries on non-doms, see that ore than one in five bankers has benefitted from non-dom status warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/econom…
Pretty striking in that figure are the ⚽️ and 📽️ stars: not only are there a lot of non-doms, but they take home a cool £2m on average.
Non-doms are from EU🇪🇺, US🇺🇸, and ex-colonies.
Share of non-doms from India🇮🇳 has had by far the fastest growth - interesting given the current #nondom news
Not surprising that most live in London. But Aberdeen (oil), Manchester (sports), Oxbridge (education and research) also light up, and have particular industries associated with them
Within central London they live in perhaps the most obvious areas. We put together this map, but then I saw a tweet thread that gave me a better idea how to visualise it
Here is what it looks like to live in one of the top local area for non-doms (City of London 001F), where more than 25% of tax filers claim non-dom status
Also more than a quarter in Kensington and Chelsea 016B.
These pics don't exactly look like the Middle England of the thread that inspired this...
So what should we take from all this?
Use of the remittance basis is a perk that benefits the very wealthiest. At the moment there are no official stats on what it costs us, nor what the benefits are. So we're doing our own work to get some numbers, coming over 2022. 👀
N/N
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aka why do @hmtreasury and @DefraGovUK numbers lead to different conclusions on number of farm(er)s affected by the recent #Budget2024 #IHT changes🧐
#FamilyFarmTax #taxtwitter
@NFUtweets quote @DefraGovUK figures on the number of farms of different sizes, and multiply farm size by estimates of cost per acre to say 70k farms affected.
This tells you about farm size, but not about ownership.
Simple example: wealthy person buys 10 farms worth £10m = total cost £100m
@DefraGovUK stats correctly record that these 10 farms exist & faithfully record their size.
10 tenant farmers work hard to till the soil & feed the animals. Their tax won't be affected by IHT change.
💰𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐮𝐞
🔸Halving rate means halving take from IHT
🔸Small but growing effect - current take is 7bn, but rising to 15bn in 10y - growing fiscal headache🤕
🔸Sense of scale: cost of halving rate = cost of benefit cuts that have been floated
🎩𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
🔸Benefits wealthiest: 83% goes to top 5%, who have >£1,000,000 at death
🔸They get to pass on £180,000 more after tax
🔸More than 90% get nothing at all, since don't have enough to pay IHT anyway
New @TheIFS report out today by @David_Sturrock and me, looking at #inheritancetax, which has been in the news a bit lately
A short 🧵 on what we find
SPOILER: Inheritance tax is useful, but not for the reason you think…
#taxtwitter
First up, a reminder of how IHT works.
Big pic🖼️:
Everyone gets 325k taxfree + 175k taxfree if it comes from a house that they are passing to their kids.
And can transfer taxfree amounts between married (or civil partner) couples = threshold of usu. £1m
Can see a few ppl below this do pay:
325k-500k bcos not valuable enough house or no kids,
500k-1m for same reasons + ppl who are unmarried.
This pic already gives you a sense of who could benefit from abolition.
The real #Zahawi scandal isn't that he failed to pay £3.7m on his £27m, it's that he was only supposed to pay £3.7m. That is a lower tax rate than someone working full time on minimum wage #TaxTwitter theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/f…
After the work of @AnnaIsaac@DanNeidle@Independent (and others) bringing to light this individual case, and whether everything owed was paid, time for us to have a deeper discussion of how much tax is actually owed on capital gains.
Have to say, my least fav. way to start 'evidence' part of an article is with an interested party. This one starts by citing one tax advisor, who says potential tax changes are first topic of conversatn with his clients. I mean, 🤯? What else would you talk to tax advisor abt??
Then this famous graph based on the drop in the number of non-doms
My excellent colleague @D_Burgherr has said everything that needs to be said about this already.
Just heard Cx on @BBCr4today talking about #nondoms. Want to clear up a few points he raised.
1⃣ The 3.2bn (in £2018) raised from abolishing the regime is *our* (me+@D_Burgherr+@Summers_AD) number. Labour and others have used it. But it is produced in an academically rigorous way with full receipts. warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/econom…
2⃣ abolition wd be "wrong thing to do for jobs and prosperity for the UK".
📢The tax benefit for migrants applies ONLY to those who (a) specifically have a load of wealth; (b) DON'T bring that wealth to the UK; (c) promise they intend to leave us📢