Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 9 7 tweets 3 min read
This is a really astute comment that fleshes out a thought in my pre-cast concrete structures 🧵 thread.

Prestige projects like the Kerch Straits bridge beget prestige infrastructure like beam launchers.

1/
If you don't know what a 'beam launcher' is, internet searches can be your friend.

Here are several pictures of Chinese beam launchers.

China has spent a lot of money on developing high productivity civil infrastructure construction techniques people in the West have
2/
...simply ignored.

Infrastructure looks the way it does because of the tools used to build it.

The extensive use of pre-cast concrete structures requires specific mechanized tools in your economy to move & place it.

3/
These mechanized tools are extremely vulnerable to thieves stripping copper cables & wiring.

It requires 24/7 security that cannot be bribed to use it in places over run with such thieves.

4/
What people in the West miss about the Chinese emphasis on speed in building huge civil infrastructure is that it helps defeat the CCP's kleptocratic tendencies.

The faster infrastructure is built. The less time there is to steal stuff from beam launchers & cheapen the
5/
...concrete.

Marginal incentives in an economy matter.

In Russia, only in 'prestige projects' that answer directly to Putin can thievery be kept low enough for massive mechanized infrastructure associated with pre-cast concrete structures like beam launchers be kept

6/
operational.

If you cannot keep the mechanized infrastructure needed to place pre-cast concrete structures operational in Russia outside the Kerch Strait bridge.

You are won't have many pre-cast concrete structures vendors to reach back too.

7/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Apr 11
Alright folks, this is going to be a long logistical thread🧵 where I will try and make the case that that advanced US weapons systems like the Patriot SAM, M1A1 Abrams tank & F-16 with AMRAAM can be both rapidly transitioned & effectively used by Ukraine.

It won't be cheap
1/ ImageImageImage
...to do.

I going to walk you all through about 37 years of US military history (1985-2022) with an emphasis on the concepts of "Contractor Logistical Support" and "Private Military Corporations" with a bit of history involving the personnel policies of Claire Chennault's
2/ Image
Flying Tigers thrown in.

Trust me, it's needed.😉

In the late Cold War year of 1985 LOGCAP or “Logistics Civil Augmentation Program” was established primarily to pre-plan for contingencies and to “leverage existing civilian resources.”

Basically, we are talking a contract
3/ Image
Read 24 tweets
Apr 10
Western Intelligence 🧵

There were eight years of US, UK & other NATO training teams in Ukraine between 2014 & 2022 teaching mechanized logistics as well as modern anti-Russian tactics.👇
1/
So there were literally hundreds of NATO servicemen who could have been debriefed about Ukrainian Armed Forces effectiveness and what Ukrainians know about Russian logistics.

2/
Given the US DoD computer model predicting the outcome of a Russian invasion of Ukraine -- USING THE MOST UP TO DATE INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES -- predicted Ukraine would fall in 72-to-96 hours.

Do you think anyone from the US CIA, DIA, US Military intelligence or their NATO
3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 10
Alright boys and girls, we are going for another wild ride in modern logistics & intelligence🧵

I want you to pay attention to the Russian artillery ammo & it's wood box packaging because I'm going to visually explain why it shows pre-mechanized logistics of the early 1930's
1/
The twitter denizen @thinkdefence has a wonderful blog site that explains lots of things logistical, combat engineering & UK military procurement.

One of his efforts is a multi-part post on modern mechanized logistics with many photos.
2/
thinkdefence.co.uk/2014/11/boxes-…
To quote him:

"...it is preferred to handle stores as ‘unit loads’ in the most appropriate box or container on a sliding scale, for example;

Ammunition box >> Multiple ammunition boxes on a pallet >> Multiple ammunition boxes on multiple pallets inside an ISO container"

3/ Image
Read 20 tweets
Apr 10
If you have not read this ISW 🧵thread today you need to.

I've a comments to add for my own🧵.

ISW Short form:

The Russian military has hit the trained manpower wall until well into June 2022.👇
A major "proxy" supporting this ISW thread surfaced today.

Three Russian Army lieutenants were killed acting as the driver, gunner and commander of a BMP infantry combat vehicle.

See👇
2/
Lieutenants normally act as commanders of three vehicle platoons of Tanks, BMP's or BTR's.

That is, one commander for 3 vehicles and 8-to-19 men.

So, three lieutenants would command all the Mechanized Platoons of a Motor Rifle Company.
3/ Image
Read 14 tweets
Apr 9
When I talk about 'Economic incentives in the Russian economy.'

This is a good explanation of what it means, further expanded in a 🧵 below👇

1/
It is also a an explanation in a tweet why Ukraine is less corrupt than Russia.

And that the DC & EU Defense analysts who said it was the reverse showed they were idiots

Look, the Euromaidan revolution heavily disrupted the Donbas Russian speaking predatory wealth extraction
2/
...mafia around then-president Viktor Yanukovych.

They lost the ability to do further predatory wealth extraction.

This is one of the reasons why Ukraine became such a force on the world grain markets.

Ukrainian businessmen could import foreign capital equipment with the
3/
Read 7 tweets
Apr 9
This is a logistical thread🧵on pre-fabricated concrete structures and gravel for maintaining road lines of communications in a kleptocracy.

Please look closely at the Ukrainian pre-cast concrete drainage culverts being used for a temporary bridge below.
1/
When Russia was conducting it's build up before invading Ukraine in Dec 2021-Feb 2022 I was looking for a lot of gravel, sand & pre-cast concrete structures.

I've mentioned this before.👇
2/
You can do a lot of things with pre-cast concrete.

It is a mark of a modern economy to see a lot of these structures as it indicates highly mechanized productivity to avoid labor costs.
3/
Read 15 tweets

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