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Apr 12 5 tweets 4 min read
Not great news coming from Mariupol.

Based on pro-Russian reports, most of the 36th brigade has surrendered after an unsuccessful attempt at breaking the siege. 1,200 soldiers POW.

This means that the northern front of Mariupol was captured, but Azovsteel still stands.
I doubt the alleged "1,200 soldiers" number, but there indeed was an attempt to break the siege, and at least 100 soldiers have been taken as POWs.

There is a chance that the rest of the brigade returned back to their positions, but need more info to know for sure.
Another update, coming from Ukr sources.

Several hundred soldiers managed to break the siege and get to the Azovsteel plant, joining the Azov regiment.

To sum it up: a group of soldiers tried to escape North and got captured. Rest successfully escaped south to Azovsteel.
With this, Ukr forces in Mariupol have 2 areas under their control remaining: Azovsteel (2K-5K soldiers), and the port area (300-1,500 soldiers). Both are located in the southern part of the city.

Azovsteel has plenty of supplies to keep on fighting, unlike the port area.

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More from @IntelArrow

Apr 13
Ukrainian sources report that the Russian rocket cruiser Moskva has been hit with Neptune rockets and has sunk.

No visual proof yet, but if true, will be a huge blow to the Russian navy. That is a large ship with over 500 people onboard. Largest Russian ship in the Black sea.
Extra details: apparently it was hit by 2 Neptune rockets, but since that ship is so large, it didn't sink yet. It is on fire and requires "tactical flooding" to fight the fire.

We should be able to see proof of the damage in the coming days as the ship gets back to the port. ImageImage
There are currently 2 rescue boats operating in the northern Black sea that might be working on rescuing Moskva.

Even if the ship didn't sink, "tactical flooding" will put it out of commission for years.

Of course, we still need visual proof before celebrating, wait a few days. Image
Read 5 tweets
Apr 3
🧵A thread/rant about #BuchaMassacre and why ordinary Russians vote for Putin and don't mind commiting war crimes.

Things are a bit complicated, so we need to dive into Russian culture and society to understand it.

I promise you, the ride will be worth it.
A lot of foreigners who never had to deal with Russia or Russians hold stereotypical view of "vodka and bears" that was created as a cold war propaganda and doesn't have anything to do with modern realities.

The reality is both better and worse.
The modern day Russia, at least how its government is desperately trying to portray it, is a large modern economy with GDP PPP per capita of Greece and economy almost the size of Germany.

It has a lot of smart people with deep culture that want to see their nation thrive.
Read 14 tweets
Mar 14
🧵Long-ish thread about humanitarian disaster that is slowly, but surely approaching Ukraine:

So far only Mariupol experienced true horrors of total war, with thousands of civilians dying, compared to only hundreds of soldiers KIA there. But things might start to change soon.
While first week gave us hope that Russian army won't start brutally and indiscriminately destroying civilian population and infrastructure, things quickly turned sour, with bridges, TV towers, pipes and electric grid getting bombarded in all Ukrainian cities, one by one.
So far, true devastation has been happening only in towns close to the frontline, and people might start assuming that as long as Russian army doesn't advance, no more suffering will be caused in the rest of the country. But in reality, ALL of Ukraine is under threat of famine.
Read 16 tweets

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