Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 17, 2022 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
I have a very simple question, if this report is true.🧵

Where is the Russian Army artillery ammunition they are fighting their "Donbas Set Piece Battle" with?

If Ukraine is threatening to pocket Izyum. Those attacks should have been buried under Russian Grad rockets👇
1/
If the Russians don't have massive artillery ammunition reserves available to support their possession of Izyum.

Can we assume the Russians have those reserves anywhere in Ukraine, like this War on the rocks article does?

2/
warontherocks.com/2022/04/what-a…
This is what was stated there:

"However, Ukraine has no effective options to counter a prolonged Russian artillery offensive. This should trouble those who want to see Ukraine prevail as Russia can rely upon an extensive supply of artillery platforms and munitions that it...
3/
... will likely use to lay waste to large swaths of eastern Ukraine and thwart a Ukrainian counter-offensive to retake the country."

The lack of Russian artillery ammunition in Russia's response to Ukraine's Izyum counter-attacks is a 'tell' this assumption isn't true.

4/
There are several different sources confirming these Ukrainian counter-offensives.

Here:

5/
Izyum is the stated "schwerpunkt" of the Russian Donbas offensive.

If there is anywhere in Ukraine that should have megatons of Russian artillery ammunition. It is at Izyum.

Yet, nada versus the two Ukrainian bulges attempting to pocket Izyum.

8/
I think the unchallenged Western intelligence assumption that Russian has near inexhaustible reserves of artillery ammunition needs to be torn down to the foundation, frame studs, baseboards & reexamined with the eye that assumption is the same class as Putin would not invade
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More from @TrentTelenko

Jan 2
This is an interesting, and double false, claim by the Russian Fighter bomber channel about boat-drones:

"Due to its speed and maneuverability, it is almost impossible to hit a BEK with a drone, as well as with emergency drops."

1/
@sambendett has posted videos about the Russians successfully destroying Ukrainian boat-drones with FPV drones back in May 2024.

2/
Back in July 2024 the Russians had 250 km/h drones bodies for FPV work which has the power to weight performance to blast through a helicopter downwash.

3/

Read 5 tweets
Jan 2
This is another useful translation thread by @sambendett dealing with the Russian reaction to the downing of two Russian helicopters by boat-drone launched R-73 (NATO reporting name AA-11 Archer) missiles.

Boat-drones vs helicopters🧵
1/
I've tried with an earlier thread to give this engagement both historical context and possible implications for Western naval helicopter operations in littoral waters going forward

2/
What is more interesting about this Russian translation thread is Russian helicopters have deployed FPV's for boat-drone hunting in September 2024.

Apparently, these Russian helicopter FPV's were either daylight only or unavailable for that engagement.
3/
Read 8 tweets
Jan 2
I've gotten some interesting claims of "Cope" from the pro-russian troll accounts on X.

Oh no, Russian VKS backwardness neither begins no ends with a lack of pallets.

Let's talk about the manually hand pumped VKS bomb lifts like the one this Mobik is using⬇️

1/ Image
A long line of VKS bombs are shown here from the same TV clip with orange and green painted, hand pumped, lift trailers.

The big handles on each are how you lift and lower the bombs.

Can you imagine how many handle strokes it required to raise a 500 kg or 1,000kg bomb?

2/ Image
When I was test track driving a FMTV truck. It took between 120 and 150 hand strokes to pop over an unarmored cab.

The later heavier armored cabs took about another 50 more.

Testing the manual hand pump was in the test procedure.🤷‍♂️

3/ Image
Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 31, 2024
Ukraine's use of boat-drones to shoot down a Russian crewed helicopter with a R-73 missile is as historically significant as Israeli destroyer Eilat (ex HMS Zealous) with a Styx missile by Egypt. Image
The era of the armed naval helicopter hunting submarines, small boats and spotting/screening for naval surface warships may be coming to a close.

2/ Image
Small boat-drones as platforms for 20 km(+) range fiber optic guided FPV drones will become huge threat to merchant traffic in the littorals and will bedevil escorting warships denied low altitude helicopter cover.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Dec 31, 2024
Gosh,

This is such a logistical admission against interest by the Russian VKS I don't know where to begin.

We see here a single Russian forklift operator moving a FAB-500 bomb with _chains_ wrapped around forklift tines at the 12-16 sec mark

A USAF safety NCO's head

1/
...would explode seeing the procedure used.

Four men build the UMPK kit on the loaded bomb.

The packaging for the FAB-500 is obviously made to be _rolled_on_the_ground_ by a mobik work gang or stacked in a gondola car of a Russian train by a crane.

2/
The Russians can and do use tactical truck drawn trailers to move FAB-500 bombs, but didn't in the previous video's case.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
The defence-blog -dot- com website reported a very important observation on the production quality of current Russian Shahed production.

It's individual quality is declining, _Hard_.

1/
Russian End Run Production 🧵 Image
From the article:

“The Russians have adapted these drones to their needs, but due to a lack of components and efforts to reduce costs, their quality has declined,” Kulchytsky explained.

Earlier iterations of Shahed drones contained numerous foreign-made components,
2/
...including Japanese-manufactured bearings and precision-built servo drive rods.

However, recent versions have shown a transition to simplified bearings and direct rod assemblies, indicating a shortage of high-quality components."
3/
Read 14 tweets

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