WAYS TO DEFINE CHANGE OF TREND: NOT an exhaustive list & how I’ll use is situational, but here are some ideas. Breaking a trendline. Holding new side of VWAP. Break of prior bars. Break of a moving average. Capitulatory exhaustive price move OR exhaustive volume exchange. (1/4)
Higher highs and higher lows (bullish trend). Change in the tape / level 2 box. Break of resistance level. Stock doesn’t go down on bad news. Relative strength vs market / comparables. And sure many more out there… (2/4)
ADVANCED APPLICATION: Now keep in mind, these aren’t mutually exclusive. Exact opposite. More of these together, the better. That is why so important to be thorough and well-defined in this challenge. If 1 indicator is good, wouldn’t 5 of these together be better? (3/4)
If these occur in conjunction, doesn’t that mean everyone using each of those 5 variables is on your team. I want to align as many traders as possible on my side of things. I want all timeframes, all tape readers, all Indicators to ideally be screaming in favor of my position.
The more timeframes & indicators & types of traders with you, the greater the imbal of supply/demand. It is by combining these variables that win rate can be greatly amplified. I only play best setups when many factors aligning. Never need to squint to be able to see the trade.

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More from @TheOneLanceB

Apr 22
A+ TRADE WRITEUP: Brandon shared this writeup w me having based it on my GME and Yen writeup. Not only did he knock the trade and writeup out of the park, but I traded nat gas similarly myself! Thx to Brandon & @smbcapital for letting me share. Here’s what I loved about it. (1/6)
Great intro context to why the move is occurring. (2/6) Image
Charts included for future review. (3/6) Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 14
HOW TO ESCAPE THE MAZE: This is a metaphor I used w my trainees and part of the work I did on “meta-learning”. So many people would put so much work into the wrong places. Meta-learning helps make sure you are investing your time efficiently. (1/9)
Imagine you are stuck in a huge elaborate maze. Success in trading or life is getting out of the maze. What are the best practices to get out? (2/9)
0️⃣ Before you even start, try to find the best maze for you and make sure it is possible to escape. If you put me in the “become a basketball star” maze or the “become famous DJ” maze, I stand 0% chance. Not my strengths / no passion or interest. (3/9)
Read 10 tweets
Apr 8
MY ACTUAL TRADE WRITEUP: Sharing so you can 👀 some of the details of my trading system & how I use technical analysis to structure a trade. Also, 👀 just how detailed trade write-ups can be. I would do 100s of these, dissecting every bar & what the price action represents. (1/4)
Ideally, my write-up would go even deeper. I’d rate my size, discuss the lvl 2 box, review what changes I could have done better, relate it back to my process goals. You can go infinitely deep. More important the trade, deeper you go. Most trades get no writeup at all. (2/4)
Important to note this is not the “right” way to trade or analyze it. There are many right ways or lenses to view this. This is just what works for ME. Everyone has different timeframes, risk tolerance, views. I know ppl who traded it different than me and made more 🤷‍♂️. (3/4)
Read 4 tweets
Apr 6
MY FAV CONCEPT - THE BOBBLEHEAD CONCEPT 🤴! #1 lesson to my trainees. Every week you’d hear me chirp: “How bout you stop comparing pnl, instead focus on your bobblehead and get to work?” Fun personalized way to visualize the most important concept there is.
OLD MODEL = DAILY PNL OBSESSION = BAD! Focusing on pnl demotivates, misdirects, distracts traders. You will ALWAYS have neg days. Your neg days only get bigger! Obsessing w pnl, neg OR pos, does NOTHING to make you better. Zero effect on what matters, just wasted time.
NEW MODEL = DAILY EV FOCUS (BOBBLEHEAD 🫅)! Visualize a chart of your Daily EV w a bobblehead of you on it. Your SOLE GOAL is to move your little 🤴 higher (⬆️ long-term EV) each day. Forget pnl. Neg pnl, but got 1% better? Bobblehead ⬆️! Neg pnl so you ragequit? Bobblehead ⬇️.
Read 9 tweets
Apr 4
POWER OF GIVING VALUE AND NETWORKS: Mentor introduced me to independent 7-fig futures trader, “CS”. Great trader, even better person, passionately looking to improve his game. He began texting me daily w smart Qs and I happily gave advice seeking nothing in return. 1/5
Before long he has me looking at some goofy stuff I don’t even know ticker for: /HO, /ZC, /6J. “Bro, you crazy” I tell him. Mostly helping him w selectivity: “no, not interested.” “No. No. No… Actually, that yen move is kinda interesting. You’ve got my attention now” 2/5
Two days later, Yen mega capitulates and I overnight became Lance-San, Central Banker of Japan. Immediately text him, I’m going huge in it. Trade ends up my biggest win of the month and makes me not even blink at my silly GME AH news rip. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Mar 31
1️⃣HOW TO FIX OVERTRADING: This is a trick question which is why this is such a common hard to overcome problem. Overtrading is NOT homogenous, many diff causes of overtrading which is why there is NO SINGLE SOLUTION. NEED TO IDENTIFY YOUR PERSONAL ISSUE AND ATTACK ROOT CAUSE. 1/
2️⃣OVERTRADING DUE TO BOREDOM? Create list of busywork and projects to do. Go for a walk or do trade write-ups. This is simplest case and not that common. One of worst is probably… 2/
3️⃣ OVERTRADING TO PROVE YOU ARE RIGHT AND SMART: Often these traders are opinionated, stubborn w views. Care more about market agreeing w them than making $$. Lacks clear playbook but churns it until “proven right”. Trader needs to divorce self from this view of trading. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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