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Apr 21 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
A Russian Ka-52 helicopter was reportedly shot down in Zaporizhzhia Oblast by Ukrainian National Guard troops with a MANPADS.
t.me/mysiagin/7150
Ukraine’s Naval Infantry page said this was a Mi-8 shot down by a Stinger. A second video appears to show two areas on fire (two wreckages?) and an Igla MANPADS. We’ll have to wait to see the wreckage for confirmation.
t.me/dvish_alive/12…
m.facebook.com/kmp.vmsu.ua/vi…
3/
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More from @RALee85

Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 23
Video of a Russian cruise missile that targeted Odesa today. It looks like an air-launched Kh-101.
t.me/milinfolive/81…
t.me/milinfolive/81…
2/
3/
Read 6 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 23
Photos of Russian servicemen with AK-74M (one with KM-AK Obves kit), AK-12, and VSSM rifles with Valday 1P87 optics (some are the 2016 variant) and one 1P90 magnifier.
t.me/milinfolive/81… ImageImageImageImage
More Russian servicemen with 1P87 optics. 2/ ImageImageImage
Russian servicemen with VSSM Vintorez-M rifles with 1P86 sights and an SVD with a 1PN140-2 thermal scope. 3/
t.me/milinfolive/81… ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 22
Rustam Minnekaev, the deputy commander of the Central Military District, said that one of the goals of Russia's second phase of the operation is to establish full control over the Donbas and southern Ukraine as well as to create a land corridor to Crimea.
kommersant.ru/doc/5318738
He said control over the Donbas/southern Ukraine would allow Russia to influence vital Ukrainian military facilities; Ukraine's ports (where agricultural and metallurgical products are exported); and Transnistria, where he said the Russian-speaking population faces oppression. 2/
Considering what Shoigu said yesterday, it seems the news goals involve occupying southern Ukraine and the Donbas, at least in the short term, where they can also coerce/influence Ukraine by choking off international trade or continuing to target Ukrainian military positions. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 21
The commander of the VDV's 11th Air Assault Brigade, Colonel Denis Shishov, has been appointed the commander of the 76th Air Assault Division. He received the Hero of Russia award for leading his brigade across the Dnieper River in Kherson on February 26.
mk-pskov.ru/social/2022/04…
His brigade was responsible for seizing and holding the bridge near Kakhovka and reportedly repelled 7 attacks. He received shrapnel wounds to the head. He replaced Major General Sergei Chubarykin and will likely be promoted. 2/
pravdapskov.ru/news/0026928.h…
gtrkpskov.ru/news-feed/vest…
He previously commanded the 76th Air Assault Division's 104th Air Assault Regiment and then served as the Deputy Commander of the 98th Airborne Division before taking over the 11th Air Assault Brigade. 3/
pskov.aif.ru/society/denis_…
vk.com/wall-106160452…
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 19
VDV and naval infantry are included in the BTG count, both the MoD total and for the invasion force. They are contributing 20-25 BTGs to this war. If you count them separately, your figures will be way off. People are jumping to conclusions with inaccurate data.
A general point about this war is that there is a lot that we don't know, and we are getting low confidence estimates. Combining multiple low confidence estimates will give you an even less certain figure. What size are the BTGs being counted? Are they basically company (+)?
Many of these BTGs arrived in Ukraine well below their T/O manning levels. Two attrited BTGs might basically be the strength of one BTG. How are they being counted? I don't know and if I can't see someone else's math, I'm not exactly sure what the BTG figure means. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Apr 17
Looks like a legit photo of the Moskva after it was struck by Ukrainian Neptun anti-ship missiles.
2/
3/
Read 5 tweets

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