How 'bout a 🧵on the artillery sent to Ukraine, as the narrative is bouncing between "this is pretty good," to "it's still not enough," to "NATO/US needs to do more!"
The devil is in the details.
(As a former tanker I'm not an expert on arty, but I've used it in combat) 1/10
1st, the towed artillery.
There are 2 types. I don't know how many of each are being sent but here are some details.
The older models are the "M198" (cannon-cockers say "M-one-niner-eight"). Produced in 1969, it's a good cannon.
Range 14-30 km, depending on the round. 2/
The new models are the M777 ("M-triple 7" in cannon-cocker speak).
A great system.
Half the weight of the M198, due to titanium construction. Uses a digital fire-control system that provides navigation, pointing & self-location.
Fires 14-40 km, depending on round. 3/
Both CAN fire rocket-assisted projectiles (RAP) to extend range & each CAN also fire precision munitions (that is, a round that will hit a designated target rather than just area explosions)
But the M777 fires the Excaliber GPS-guided munition out to 40 km. That's a big deal. 4/
The number of total cannons in the combined package equates to about 5 US battalions worth of artillery, and the 144+K rounds/projectiles is an awful lot.
Given the precision, and range, of these systems, IMO they will outgun the RUs in any artillery duel. 5/
While self-propelled (those on tracks) artillery can "shoot & scoot" faster after firing their rounds, the digital towed systems allow it to be emplaced as fast & move out almost as quickly as the tracked artillery.
And, the Russians ain't that well-trained in counter-fire. 6/
That brings us to...the radars.
Part of the package also included "artillery finding" radars (it's called the Q36).
Those radars "find" an enemy when they fire a round.
Digital systems then help transfer the location to the US guns to fire back. VERY quickly. "Counterfire." 7/
The package also includes many "small unmanned aerial systems (UAS)," or drones.
Those provide intel on locations, calculate grids & can pass location to a gun firing Excaliber BEFORE the RU even shoot.
For the tactical fight, small drones are MUCH better than Predators. 8/
I won't get into the Switchblade or "Ghost drones" recently developed (mostly for US special operators), but along with the Turkish Bayraktar TB2 all will be effective in both killing RU armored vehicles & increasing RU troops feeling of helplessness on the battlefield. 9/
UA has been effective in establishing kill zones & counterattacking thus far, & they're doing the same in the East.
Key to this phase of the fight for UK: Keep logistics trail light, incorporate simple & new equipment, counter RU arty, move fast , use quick reaction forces.10/10
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WRT national security & global threats, an extremely dangerous time re US "foes." -Massive Russian strikes in Ukraine -Georgia's "frozen conflict" heating up. -Moldova dealing with Russian troops in Transnistria -Russian economy collapsing...due to Putin's wars --Assad flees to Russia 1/4
-China intimidates Philippines, assaults Hong Kong's autonomy, represses Tibet & Xinjiang, threatens Taiwan, blocks international trade routes -N. Korea troops & weapons in Russia, increases missile capabilities -Hamas destroyed, but Hezbollah, IJ, MB & the Africa terror groups still active. 2/4
-Piracy increases in Persian Gulf and Red Sea regions -US, Mexico & Philippines rated as most active human trafficking countries -Draughts, famine & other climate change factors + outcome of conflicts causes increased migration into US & Europe. -Domestic terrorism indicators rising. 3/4
Watching the Israeli operations in S. Lebanon today, as the IDF releases numerous photos of arms caches found in & near homes. 1/7
These are similar to what US forces found throughout Iraq when we were there.
Using civilian locations provides terror organizations w/ unique advantages:
- difficult to find
- difficult to target
- when found, striking/destroying results in civilian casualties. 2/
This morning, the IAF also struck a 3.5 km tunnel complex between Syria & Lebanon that provided a means of bringing those weapons to Hezbollah.
Between 0900-1100 hrs local time today, Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets & drones into N. Israel. 3/
A few thoughts on what occurred in two different conflicts yesterday...the use of "killer pagers" by Israel and Ukraine's attack on the large ammo cache at Toropets military base 300+ miles inside Russia.
A short 🧵 1/12
First, the pagers.
In this article (gifted) from the @nytimes, the author claims there "no clear strategy" for this coordinated attack.
I disagree. Having used electronic & signals countermeasures in Iraq, the strategy is clear. 2/
Terrorist organizations - unlike conventional militaries who have encrypted signal capabilities - must find ways to communiate. It is important to continue to disrupt & counter this ability.
In Iraq, terrorist use of cell phones allowed US and ISF to glean valuable information & disrupt their networks. 3/