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Trent Telenko Profile picture
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Apr 23 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Excalibur with the Canadian 155mm guns is a big <Bleeping> deal.

It is to artillery projectiles what the Javelin is to anti-tank missiles.

It can drop within 2 meters of a target at 40 km in its current 'Excalibur Ib' variant fired from a 155mm/39 caliber gun.🧵
1/
An Excalibur can be programed to land within 150 meters of friendly troops and has a multi-function fuze that can be programmed to explode in the air, once it hits a hard surface, or after it penetrates inside a target.

2/
 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M982_Exca…
And the Excalibur projectile is compatible with the following 155mm guns

British AS-90 SPG,
Swedish Archer Artillery System,
South African G6 howitzer,
United States M198,
M777 Lightweight & M109A6 Paladin SP 155 mm howitzers, &
the German Panzerhaubitze 2000.

3/
Excalibur is used by the following nations:

India
Australia
Canada
Jordan
Netherlands – Royal Netherlands Army
Sweden
United States – U.S. Army & U.S.M.C.

4/
Short form:

Ukrainian artillery counter battery as accurate and deadly as Javelin missiles at nine times the range.

TB2's & Excalibur's together will eat Russian artillery in Donbas like buttered popcorn, fast & enjoyably.

5/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 25
After I posted the artillery logistics thread,🧵 I visited a Twitter space and it was pointed out that the Russian Army wouldn't necessarily use airburst shelling in urban area.

The Russian Army had really some good reasons to do so, like this👇👇
1/
And this👇

2/
 twitter.com/hashtag/Ucrani…
This brings up an important point about modern intelligence analysis.

Just because you might have a both good & correct explanation for the Russians not using airburst artillery to clear roof tops of Ukrainian missile teams like:

"Russia can't do combined arms."

3/
Read 13 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 23
This is going to be a long thread 🧵on artillery logistics in the Ukraine war. It will explain what we should be seeing, but are not.

To get there, I need to start with calling myself out with being wrong and why I think that was.

I was wrong on Russian artillery ammo👇👇
1/
It turned out the Russians refusal to use artillery on Ukrainian counter-attacks at Izyum had to do with a large set piece artillery barrage the Russians had planned to open their Donbas offensive across the entire front.


2/
The logic chain of that thread fell apart on that point.

It also helped I had been tipped off about coming a coming article saying there was a Russian shortage in 160mm & 240mm mortar ammo because of the heavy use of those calibers in Syrian cities.

The article's...
3/
Read 34 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 22
Since most people are not old enough to remember. The meme shown below is normal for the US military procurement system.

Peacetime & wartime US procurement has this two faced Janus-like property. It will take years in peacetime & ordnance appears in weeks during a war.🧵
1/
The Phoenix Ghost is a quad-copter mixed with a winged lifting body with five cameras in several spectra that is radio-silent and can systematically map an area for up to six hours.

2/
 timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/p…
The story of the Desert Storm era GBU-28 5,000-pound (2,268 kg) class laser-guided "bunker busting" bomb is similar.

To get Iraqi bunkers too deep for 2000lb bombs, the Watervliet Arsenal, Watervliet, New York converted an 8-inch artillery gun barrel from deactivated...
2/
Read 20 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 22
SMERCH MLRS system & some US vs Russian Army social history🧵

People have pointed to the cranes for reloading the BM-27 (220mm) & BM-30 (300mm) Smerch as evidence of mechanized logistics in the Russian Army.

It takes more than a crane to have a mechanized logistics system.
1/
When you look at a US Army MLRS or HIMARS launcher.

You see containerized pod six-packs with cranes built into the launcher and in the trucks that pick up & deliver them.

You see a persistent use of capital to replace labor for increased productivity per unit time.

2/
And please carefully note, this emphasis in the US Army predates Frederick Taylor's four principles of Scientific Management.

The M1819 Hall rifle & carbines built with interchangeable, mass produced, parts vastly reduced the number of trained artisans needed to build &
3/
Read 15 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 18
A great point here, where are the Russian tactical trucks that should be here?

'Scooby Doo vans' in lieu of Russian tactical trucks is showing up about 2 weeks earlier than I expected.

IOW, Ukraine has pithed out the core of Russian logistics projecting into Ukraine.
1/
Russian combat & operational attrition of its tactical trucks has to be huge such that we are seeing Russian civilian vehicles in lieu of tactical trucks Mariupol.

There are huge economic implications here for the Russian economy.

2/
Civilian trucks taken from Russia & killed in Ukraine will not be there for the Russian economy.

Most Russian civilian trucks going to Ukraine simply won't be coming back because necessary spare parts are not in the Russian supply system.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 17
I have a very simple question, if this report is true.🧵

Where is the Russian Army artillery ammunition they are fighting their "Donbas Set Piece Battle" with?

If Ukraine is threatening to pocket Izyum. Those attacks should have been buried under Russian Grad rockets👇
1/
If the Russians don't have massive artillery ammunition reserves available to support their possession of Izyum.

Can we assume the Russians have those reserves anywhere in Ukraine, like this War on the rocks article does?

2/
 warontherocks.com/2022/04/what-a…
This is what was stated there:

"However, Ukraine has no effective options to counter a prolonged Russian artillery offensive. This should trouble those who want to see Ukraine prevail as Russia can rely upon an extensive supply of artillery platforms and munitions that it...
3/
Read 9 tweets

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