Do we understand the food we eat? Know it, intimately? The few who do, are making ginormous profits from our ignorance. The state is complicit. We are oblivious.
Farmers sell #wheat for Rs21/kg while we buy packaged whole wheat flour @ Rs41/kg. So how is the food processing industry benefiting either farmers or consumers? What explains this wholesale-retail price wedge?
India's native oils like mustard, groundnut, sesame, coconut etc were sacrificed to push refined and 'pure' packaged oils. Which made us heavily import dependent; now oil prices hit the roof during events beyond our control. Who is minting this crisis?
We are forced to buy packaged food #fortified with vitamins and iron, not because the industry cares about our health but it can convert billions of daily grocery purchases, local and unpacked, into profits
The food industry does not want us to know what ultra processed food contains. So it is resisting #warninglabels on #upf which can warn consumers of high sugar, salt and fat content. The result? We think juices and shakes are healthier than Coke and Pepsi!
The food on our plates is determined by a heady mix of profit, politics, policy, trade, information, energy and weather. Farmers are helpless. And the consumer thinks she's spoilt with choice!
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After speaking to farmers in several states, experts and industry insiders, my sense is that a #wheat crisis is imminent for India in the next 4-5 months, or earlier
The agri ministry is estimating a crop size of record 111 million tonnes, but actual production is likely to be at least 10% lower due to the March heatwave and also shift in acreage from wheat to mustard
India is aspiring to feed the world but might end up with egg on its face when domestic consumer prices rise sharply in near future; retail prices are already on the rise
Will the #farmersbill benefit farmers? The short answer is, we don't know yet. Flagging a few gaps here. A thread.
With the new set of laws, trade will likely move out of regulated mandis to save on taxes and fees. Will traders pass on their savings to farmers? Looks unlikely.
Transactions outside mandis will become invisible, unless the government puts in place a mechanism to record them. If we don't know what price a new buyer is offering farmers, no way we can evaluate if farmers are benefiting or losing out.
The raging debate over @RahulGandhi s promised #MinimumIncomeGuarantee is a good sign. Happened due to the hollowness of the empowerment narrative of Modi. In a country where future well-being of a new born is decided by where she is born, the role of welfare state is immense
PM Modi tried the market/empowerment route to governance. Eg. Crop insurance for farmers, Skill India.. Most of these programs have failed to bring about real change, so we are back to discussing the role and reach of a welfare state.
When there is surplus food production and still citizens die of hunger, it's time to junk the 'I will teach you how to fish' narrative. But #MinimumIncomeGuarantee at the cost of public health or education may not be a good idea.