𝟭/𝟱 𝗣𝗿𝗼 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗙𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗵 & 𝗦𝗹𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻
𝗛𝘂𝗻𝗴𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝗳𝘂𝗿𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱.
#FrenchElection2022
#Slovenia
#Europe
2/5 E Macron won the French election and is reelected as French President for 5 years. R Golob won in Slovenia and will become the new Prime Minister. Both opponents Le Pen in France and Jansa (current PM) in Slovenia are Euro Sceptics. ImageImage
3/5 The focus in this round of EU elections was on France. However the change of Government in Slovenia further isolates V Orban (won reelection in early April 2022) in the EU 27. EU policy formulation and enforcement has become easier.
4/5 In the past Poland, Hungary and Slovenia often put on the breaks on European legislation. Poland has become much more EU friendly in reaction to the Ukraine invasion. A change of gov in Slovenia has made Orban a lonely man for now.
5/5 Sweden in September this year and Italy no later than June 1 next year are the next elections to watch where meaningful Euro skeptic parties are on the ballot. See also my thread Part 3 from April 15th. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with jens muenster 🇩🇪

jens muenster 🇩🇪 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jens39630674

Apr 27
𝟭/𝟲 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝘂𝘁 𝗴𝗮𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗴𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗮 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗹 𝟮𝟳𝘁𝗵 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮.
𝗗𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗮 𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗴𝗮𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗹𝘆 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗱 & 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗴𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗮.
#gas
@JavierBlas Image
2/6 Poland (40%) and Bulgaria (77%) have traditionally been dependent on Russian Gas (numbers are from 2020 and are estimated somewhat higher for 2021). Image
3/6 Both countries have planned well ahead. Poland is opening a gas link with Lithuania in May and the Baltic Pipe connecting to Norway is planed to be operational in October. Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 27
(1) 𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗢𝗶𝗹 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝘂𝗺𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟬𝟭𝟵; 𝗖𝗮𝗽𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗶𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗢𝗶𝗹 𝗦𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘆 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱; 𝗢𝗶𝗹 𝗦𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗺
(2) Here is the forecast from the Energy Information Agency (eia.gov) from late 2021 (Chart by @GregorMacdonald ): Image
(3) Post Ukraine invasion the EIA on March 16th 2022 lowered its forecast by 1 million barrel per day which is below the 2019 peak. I expect more downward revisions to come. Image
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(