🧵 How much less will people consume in response to the recent increase in energy prices? After a period of recovery following the pandemic, the rise in commodity prices since last summer has affected people’s spending plans ecb.europa.eu/pub/economic-b… #EconomicBulletin
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Exposure to fluctuating energy prices differs across income groups: the less people earn, the bigger the impact of higher prices. Poorer households spend a large percentage of their income on energy, meaning they are particularly affected by rising costs
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Targeted fiscal policies can play a key role in supporting those most affected. According to our Consumer Expectations Survey, people with higher exposure to changing energy prices are more likely to feel a need for governments to buffer the impact of increasing costs
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The sharp increase in energy prices has also significantly affected import prices and led to a deterioration in the euro area terms of trade.
🧵 Globally coordinated efforts are needed to bring crypto-assets into a regulatory framework, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta at @Columbia. We must not repeat past mistakes by waiting for the bubble to burst before acting ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date…
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Panetta: Unbacked crypto-assets can’t even fulfil their objective of facilitating payments, since they are too volatile to perform as money. We must decide how to regulate them, seeking a balance between innovation, financial stability and consumer protection
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Panetta: Crypto-assets already have a larger market than sub-prime mortgages had before the global financial crisis started. The longer we wait, the more exposures and vested interests build up. And the harder it will be to act
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A digital euro can only be successful if it meets the payment needs of Europeans, says Executive Board member Fabio Panetta. Focus groups have provided us with key input for the project.
Panetta: We want to ensure the digital euro adds value for users and that they have confidence in it. A digital euro could provide a universally accepted and secure solution that facilitates contactless and instant payments
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Panetta: As important market segments, e-commerce, physical store and person-to-person payments are natural candidates to be prioritised among the possible use cases of a digital euro. A digital euro could also be used for payments between governments and individuals
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Lane: What we’ve seen in the last number of months is the energy shock, which is by far the dominant factor and which is now further amplified by the war
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Lane: Right now clearly inflation is a huge issue across Europe. But this essentially is an imported inflation shock, it’s a supply shock. Most of this inflation will fade away
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The war is expected to have a considerable impact on the global economy, and especially on the European economy, President Christine @Lagarde tells @philenewscy. The overall impact will very much depend on how long the war lasts.
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Lagarde: The war will likely lower euro area growth and push up inflation in the short term through:
➡️ higher energy and commodity prices
➡️ lower consumer confidence
➡️ disruptions to international trade
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Lagarde: The decisions by EU governments clearly demonstrate their determination to respond to this horrible act of aggression and their solidarity with the people of Ukraine.
It is crucial that sanctions are effectively implemented, and we @ecb are doing our part.
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🧵Looking at inflation dynamics, the relative price dislocations caused by bottlenecks are intrinsically short-term, Chief Economist Philip R. Lane writes in #TheECBBlog. Price increases for scarce items stimulate supply, while cooling demand ecb.europa.eu/press/blog/dat…
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Lane: If disruption in supply is caused by a temporary loss of production capacity, for example a factory shutdown, a recovery in supply capacity will put downward pressure on prices once the shock has reversed
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Lane: As the pandemic comes to an end, spending on services can be expected to return to normal, which would also change the demand for goods
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[THREAD]European banks have taken initial steps towards incorporating climate and environmental risks, but none is close to meeting all supervisory expectations. Have a look at our first report on climate-related risks in the European banking sector bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/pr/date/… 1/4
Half of the banks we assessed expect to be affected by climate-related risks within the next 3-5 years. Notably, none of the banks which judged that they were not exposed had conducted a proper risk assessment 2/4
Almost all banks have developed plans to improve their practices, but the quality of these plans varies, and progress is too slow. Only one-third of banks have plans in place that are broadly adequate 3/4