1/ Good BBC radio interview about the Central African Republic's surprising Bitcoin adoption with journalist @clementdiroma who is based in the country 🇨🇫

It provides good color and on-the-ground detail.

Some key points 🧵

bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p0…
2/ The bill has actually been in the works for the past month, with a lot of debate and criticism from the opposition, but it was passed unanimously on April 22nd.

Some opponents of the bill didn't show up for the vote, and some plan to challenge it later.
3/ Only 10% of the Central African Republic's population uses the internet -- and very few have smartphones -- so @clementdiroma expects the CFA franc to remain dominant for now

Worth noting that the CAR is the second-least developed country in the world according to the UN
4/ Why then, did the government adopt Bitcoin if so few can connect online?

a) The government thinks it could open new opportunities and provide new economic development

b) Because of the civil war, it's hard to trade in/out/with the CFA franc. Bitcoin can make things easier.
5/ He says that the opposition/civil society are saying most people won't be able to use Bitcoin, that scams will be rife, that it will be used by the state for money laundering, and that it could scare away donors and international aid

(Same criticisms found in El Salvador)
6/ He says since people don't have full internet access, most people in the streets don't care about the law, or have mocked it as something for the 1%.

Regular folks don't have smartphones and can't afford the internet.

This will certainly be a story worth following!
7/ Only 14% of the population has access to electricity, mainly in the capital Bangui

Hydropower represents more than half the country’s electricity generation

🌊
8/ Really good point here on resisting the CFA system:

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More from @gladstein

Apr 26
1/ NEW: @HRF gifts 500 million satoshis to Bitcoin software development, community building, censorship monitoring, translation and design

Read on for info on grantees from Cuba, Turkey, Pakistan, Ghana, Venezuela, Burma, and beyond 🌍 ⚡

bitcoinmagazine.com/business/human…
2/ 100 million satoshis to the Africa Bitcoin Conference hosted by @Farida_N + @diopfode

Hosted in Accra on Dec. 7-9, the event will unite Bitcoin/Lightning builders from across Africa 🇬🇭

Could it be as big as Bitcoin 2022 in a few short years? Maybe!

afrobitcoin.org
3/ 50 million satoshis to Venezuelan Bitcoin developer Francisco Calderón (@negrunch) for his work on @lnp2pbot, a peer-to-peer telegram bot that allows users to trade Bitcoin using the Lightning Network and fiat in a non-custodial way 🇻🇪

github.com/grunch/p2plnbot
Read 10 tweets
Apr 21
1/ New @MorganStanley report released today focuses on the prospects of using the Lightning Network for retail purchases and on “the long-term transition towards payments and settlements using digital and cryptocurrencies instead of fiat currencies like the US dollar” ⚡️
2/ The report was sparked by the @jackmallers Miami announcement—MS points out that “one in six point of sale devices globally use software provided by NCR, so this announcement is significant even if only a small proportion of retail shops choose to add the crypto functionality”
3/ MS says “in essence, Strike is directly competing with Visa Direct, which offers real time settlement.

The main difference for merchants will be charged a much lower transaction fee…”
Read 9 tweets
Apr 17
1/ Wild new IMF paper "The Electronic Money Standard" outlines a financial future where citizens cannot save because CBDCs with deep negative interest rates allow central bankers to "overcome" the zero lower bound

So grateful the world has a Plan ₿ 🙏

imf.org/en/Publication…
2/ "Breaking the zero lower bound," the IMF writes, "requires eliminating the arbitrage opportunity between cash that guarantees a zero nominal interest rate and money in the bank that would earn negative interest rates if policy rates were cut into negative territory"

🥶
3/ "Much as during the Great Depression—when countries were able to revive their economies by going off the gold standard—moving from a paper standard to an electronic money standard can empower monetary policy to cut interest rates as much as needed for economic stimulus"
Read 6 tweets
Apr 14
1/ Some cogent analysis of the structural shift underway in the global financial system and inevitable demise of the "Treasury Bill Standard" by Zoltan Pozsar:

“When we have the petrodollar and eurodollar as the dominant form of international money…"

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/ "Glencore (for example) brings commodities from port A to port B.

They go to JP Morgan to borrow dollars to lease a ship.

Then another pile of $ to fill up the ship.

And another pile of $ to pay margin as that cargo is in transit and you need to post $ on futures."
3/ "When everything is priced in dollars, and you borrow dollars to move stuff around, more dollar deposits get created, Glencore gives them to the Saudis, the Saudis give them to SAMA, and SAMA shows up at a treasury auction."

[He's describing petrodollar recycling]
Read 12 tweets
Apr 12
1/ Secretary Yellen’s latest public remarks are nothing short of remarkable.

Here, the top US govt official in charge of the financial system talks about Satoshi Nakamoto's innovation:

“New technology has raised the possibility of reduced reliance on centralized intermediaries”
2/ Yellen begins her speech (full remarks below) by observing the digitization of finance, noting that the explosive growth of the internet -- which took us from 3M users in 1990 to 4.5B today -- foreshadows a bigger global electronic economy.

home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…
3/ She then points out Bitcoin’s innovation and how Satoshi solved the double-spend problem.

Of course, she then talks about how Bitcoin’s volatility and high fees (things which can be technologically mitigated) make it less feasible than a CBDC for daily payments... but still.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 3
1/ Thread with some highlights from a superb interview with Zoltan Pozsar and @YraHarris on Bretton Woods III and the macroeconomic landscape for the coming decade, where Z says the world will begin to move seriously away from dollar hegemony

2/ Zoltan has laid out his "Bretton Woods III" thesis in a series of recent articles, link to the latest here

TLDR:

From 1944-1971 was Bretton Woods I, where the world saved in dollars pegged to gold

plus2.credit-suisse.com/shorturlpdf.ht…
3/ From 1971 - 2022 was Bretton Woods II, where the world saved in dollars secured by the petrodollar and eurodollar systems (energy pricing and financial assets)

But now begins Bretton Woods III, where foreign central banks will diversify their savings and commodity pricing
Read 20 tweets

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