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Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | Profile picture
@ChuckPfarrer
Apr 30, 2022 • 1 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
TEN: RU Major General Andrei Simonov was killed today in the vicinity of Izium. He was targeted, in part, by UKR signals intelligence units. The 10th Russian general to die in combat in Ukraine, ironically, Simonov was a senior commander in RU's electronic warfare units. Image

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More from @ChuckPfarrer

Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | Profile picture
Dec 13, 2022
@TrentTelenko 1/5 Trent-- epic thread! The bridge hit was definitely a ‘fast’ job. It is possible to severely damage the piers with an amount of C-4 (or equivalent) that can be ‘carried’ to the site. Using shaped charges and a little pre-op charge calculation, it could pulled off...
@TrentTelenko 2/5 .. with a dozen guys and a couple of vehicles in about 20 minutes. Earlier in the war I saw a vid of UKR SOF do exactly this... several civilian vehicles converged under a road bridge, unloaded haversacks and spread out to the bridge piers. Rehearsed. Quick. Professional.
@TrentTelenko 3/5 I won’t go into the amount of demo required, but it is doable. Again, reconnaissance, charge calculation, operational planning and rehearsal. Taking out just one row of piers would drop (and/or bed) the deck. The damage is sufficient to block tanks. Good enough.
Read 6 tweets
Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | Profile picture
Aug 9, 2022
CRIMEA: The RU Naval Air Station at Saki continues to be rocked by explosions. It's increasingly likely that Ukraine hit the facility with a long range precision strike. A US provided MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) would have the needed range and accuracy.
COMMENT: As a causal factor, accident, or local sabotage cannot be ruled out. But the fact that multiple ammo storage areas have detonated (on different areas of the base) would suggest the likelihood of a UKR long range strike.
COMMENT: It is additionally noted that Russian air defenses appear not to have engaged prior to the explosions. Though well placed missiles from Bayraktar TB2s might possibly have carried out the attack, they would be unlikely to have succeeded in a daylight mission.
Read 5 tweets
Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | Profile picture
Aug 7, 2022
KHERSON / 2130 UTC 7 AUG / Ukrainian Partisans and and Special Operations Forces continue to identify lucrative targets for HIMARS and precision artillery. Reports indicate a strikes in the vicinity of the Kherson airfield and the M-14 HWY bridge.
COMMENT: As a causal factor, accident, or local sabotage cannot be ruled out. But the fact that multiple ammo storage areas have detonated (on different areas of the base) would suggest the likelihood of a UKR long range strike.
COMMENT: It is additionally noted that Russian air defenses appear not to have engaged prior to the explosions. Though well placed missiles from Bayraktar TB2s might possibly have carried out the attack, they would be unlikely to have succeeded in a daylight mission.
Read 4 tweets

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