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May 2 • 7 tweets • 6 min read
The @ngadc is hosting a special exhibit on the "Afro-Atlantic." Immediately thought of the work of @hofrench how we need to broaden our understanding of the Atlantic world beyond the "Euro-Atlantic." This speaks to a larger question for conceptualizing U.S. foreign policy. 1/
The work of @ArtaMoeini, @zpaikin, @chrisdmott & @polanskydj (aligning w/ @carnegiecouncil's @Doorsteppodcast #FracturedGlobalization) argues "region-based economic & political dynamics are likely to become ever more central to international politics." 2/ ethicsandinternationalaffairs.org/2021/revisitin…
"Understanding future geopolitical trends will depend on recognizing the reality and centrifugal force of multiplicity at the regional or sub-system level ..." (Via @Diplomacy_Peace) 3/ peacediplomacy.org/2022/03/26/mid…
Now @CarnegieEndow @darshanabaruah releasing a fascinating interactive map of the trans-Indian oceanic region. 4/
Warming the heart of @NavalWarCollege professors--to view a trans-oceanic region as a coherent entity, stretching from the eastern coast of Africa to the western coast of Australia. In turn, this region interacts with the maritime entry points into the continents, 5/
and then connecting to the two other principal trans-oceanic regions--trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic. #FracturedGlobalization #transoceanicregion 6/
And hot off the presses at @TheNatlInterest: @Diplomacy_Peace's @ArtaMoeini & Coleman Hopkins on the regional middle powers which "demand attention and deserve serious consideration by U.S. policymakers." 7/ nationalinterest.org/feature/americ…

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More from @FPRI_Orbis

Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 25
Still evaluating these reports, but knowledge of the Orthodox Pascha midnight rituals important. Not everyone leaves the church for the procession around the cathedral. In years past, Putin and other VIP guests stay in the special area on the right of the solea, ... 1/
and many people stay inside the church (expanded version of photo shows congregants present). Because the part of the service taking place on the steps outside is broadcast inside the cathedral, congregants can react to the proclamation of "Christ is Risen" ... 2/
(Just as an addendum, @RadioFreeTom tweeted out what was going on outside St. Spyridon's in Newport on Pascha. At the same time, about 30 people stayed inside the church.) 2a/
Read 7 tweets
Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 25
Building off this conversation from last week. while we focus a great deal of attention on Russia, Iran is still there. We included in this current issue of @FPRI Orbis two pieces looking at the Iranian question, and in particular the tradeoffs the U.S. is facing. 1/
The Biden team wants to "solve" or at least get the Iran nuclear question off the agenda, and since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the question of getting more Iranian gas and oil to Europe is more critical. But the U.S. also can't trust that the current management is reliable.2/
Ray Takeyh (at @CFR_org) writes of the dilemma: the Islamic Republic "will be a regime that is growing stronger abroad while weaker at home. The arms controllers will be tempted by its strength and propose various inducement packages to restrain its nuclear appetite. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 25
Just a short historical 🧵as the fighting in Ukraine is now concentrated in the southeast, on territory historically connected to the Don Cossack Host. Places like Izyum and Bakhmut are recognizable to students of the Bulavin rebellion of the early 1700s. 1/
Kondraty Bulavin, an ataman of the Don Cossacks, rebelled against the growing encroachments of the imperial state on Cossack liberties and self-government, and especially the right of Cossack sanctuary to serfs fleeing from central Russia. 2/
Peter the Great crushed this rebellion, in part by suborning part of the Don Cossack elite, and also because the hetman of the Zaporozhian Cossacks, Ivan Mazeppa, chose not to tip his hand about his own plans and refused to aid Bulavin's fight. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 24
This is important. If China seeks to keep the U.S. off balance through the threat of “Eurasian simultaneity” as Dov Zakheim has argued in the current issue of @FPRI Orbis, then China cannot allow Russia to be completely eliminated as a force in Eurasian affairs. 1/
Are China’s aims served if Russia calls to the level of a middle power, per @ArtaMoeini, @ChrisDMott, @zpaikin? 2/
On a separate note, how much does China also quietly do to spoil any U.S.-Iran rapprochement, for similar reasons? 3/
Read 5 tweets
Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 23
Seeing this thread from @RadioFreeTom on nuclear deterrence and #MAD, and it recalls the role @FPRI Orbis played in the 1970s in hosting some of these debates. Amazing that 50 years later, we are revisiting the same issues. A 🧵. 1/
Specifically, Albert Wohlstetter, “Threats and Promises of Peace: Europe and America in the New Era,” Orbis vol. 2, no. 4 (Winter 1974), and William R. Van Cleave and Roger W. Barnett, “Strategic Adaptability,” Orbis vol. 28, no. 3 (Autumn 1974). 2/
(And not to ignore Michael May, “Some Advantages of a Counterforce Deterrent,” in Summer 1970). These pieces helped shape the debate about the desirability of strategic arms limitation talks & the role of nuclear weapons in maintaining deterrence. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Editor of FPRI's Orbis Profile picture
Apr 15
Been working through the "middle powers" report issued by @Diplomacy_Peace (authored by @ArtaMoeini, @zpaikin, @ChrisDMott) and what this may mean for the 21st century. 1/
Middle powers increasingly align with the Chinese concept of zhongeng qiangguo--the mid-level ‘powerful state’ that possesses sufficient military and economic wherewithal to influence international politics. 2/ cirsd.org/en/horizons/ho…
Middle powers cannot dominate the global system but they can be quite influential in specific regions, and so the global agenda setting powers must negotiate with them to some extent. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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