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May 3 25 tweets 7 min read
People don't get it. Modernized coaching and training programs that emphasize the collective in conjunction with a growing glut of good talent is bringing about an heyday of defensively compact teams at the top level.

TAA represents the solution to this evolution.

(a thread) Image
More accessible and better trained international pools of new talent is giving rise to a glut of top talent at the magnetic centre of the football marketplace: the European Top 5 leagues.

Compactness as the holy grail of defensive systems is also burning through coaching schools
As a result, unless a disruptive force comes into play, we will continually go on to have better coaches and better players at the highest levels. This in turn means better teams everywhere, such as can be currently glimpsed from the Premier League.

Better teams everywhere does
not mean more goals or necessarily more entertainment although it could, more specifically, it means better structures and better collectives than before, ultimately bringing about less goals.

Despite the rising glut of new talent in the global marketplace, top teams at the top
level do not have much more room to grow in terms of acquiring and using gamebreaking talent. Manchester City, for example, are not necessarily more talented than other great teams from the past. However, smaller teams have more room for talent.

Using the Premier League as an
instance, many clubs below tenth contain great talent that could potentially play at a much higher level than they currently do. It's a glut. The biggest teams in the world can't steal them all.

Although the EPL's talent collection is assisted by hyper financial growth, the same
will slowly begin to be true in other leagues and at other levels. With new talent pools opening up in previously inaccessible or dimly accessible locations all over the world and most of them gravitating towards the top leagues in Europe, there will be an 'overflow' of talent.
I believe that we are currently in the early stages of this and it will only become more and more prominent as time passes.

In conjunction with the rapidly improving state of knowledge flow in coaching (mostly due to technology improving the efficiency and broader transmission
of information to an increasingly wider pool of management talent), teams at the highest levels in Europe will begin to be better structured, coached and talented than ever before. Whether this leads to more goals will remain to be seen (it's dependent on the dominant tactical
approaches that are rife in general).

One thing it would surely lead to is better defensive structures and units, given the risk-averse nature of the sport at the competitive level (especially in management) and the disproportionate value of scoring events.
Teams will basically become more difficult to break down as the growth of the mid-level clubs in terms of playing and coaching talent rises higher than can possibly occur at the topmost level.

Superiorities generated via tactical structures are (to this author's perception) at a
peak: overloads don't get better, organization in possession doesn't get much better.

Attacking football at the highest level is currently at its peak.

But teams at a lower level will get better at defending for the aforementioned reasons.

Something about diminishing returns.
This will conceivably happen by a reduction in the time and space of execution high in opposition thirds. More compact sides resistant to overloads and better individual defenders overall.

The attacking solution to this will not be tactical. Rather, it will be qualitative.
Currently, most teams operate with the creators in advanced spaces in the opposition third but as those spaces become more rigidly patrolled tactically and by better defenders, diminishing returns will set in in general.

Creative value will drop from those advanced spaces.
The space and time for execution will go deeper. From the attacking thirds to deeper thirds. From the frontline to the rest defence.

As a result, direct creators from those deep positions will increasingly be more valued.

This theory currently explains the great success of
Trent Alexander Arnold and the Liverpool dynamic in extension. Liverpool often try to create from deep areas and succeed at doing so. In fact, a vital portion of their creative success against very compact sides have occurred with this dynamic. Examples are Diaz's goal against
Brighton and Jota's second goal against Arsenal in the league cup or Mané's goal against Bayern Munich.

This theory also validates Pep Guardiola's recruitment and team building approach of highly technical passers among his defenders. While their creation overall is not as
directly deep as Liverpool's, they have found plenty of value in creating from halfspaces and the deliveries of the likes of Fernandinho, Cancelo, Zinchenko from deep.

These two teams are the most evolved teams in the world. They basically already play in the future and their Image
use of deep creators have played a part in their relentless attacking success.

While Manchester City do not have a singular deep player with the consistently brilliant passing quality of Trent, in Ederson and their other defenders, they possess the accumulative quality.
Trent's capacity to so consistently access runners from deep areas is unusual and unique. It represents the next step of general attacking evolution.

More and more dominant teams will increasingly seek this specific quality among their defenders. While there are currently plenty
of good ball progressors from deep areas, the capacity to consistently access runners or final third options from deep is still quite rare at the top level. Even City have to acquire it in aggregate.

This capacity will become more pronounced in recruitment and coaching programs.
Right now, presently because of Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool are at the forefront of this evolution, which is obvious in their interest in a certain Calvin Ramsay, a fullback highly capable of striking the ball accurately across vast distances. ImageImageImageImage
Preeminently, Calvin Ramsay is an 18-year-old playing in Scotland.

The talent glut is upon us and so is football's next turn in its evolution.

The future is upon us 🔥.

(End of thread. Thank you for reading. I hope you enjoyed it).
Unfortunately, I do not know why this is happening. Seems like it's only affected the ones with media attached.

@TwitterSupport why is this happening?

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More from @nonewthing

Jun 15
If there's any team that is 100% sure to get better next season, it's Arsenal.

They have exactly all the minerals you'd expect a team that will improve to have and will likely have even a more robust team quality next season.

Expect Arsenal to do really well.
For people who think European games will have an effect, it's the same story for other teams around them.

Tottenham only played 6 more games and Manchester United 4 more games last season.

European games won't have more of a drastic effect on Arsenal than on other teams.
Arsenal's current senior squad depth.

Potential sales apart, Arsenal are expected to recruit at least two forwards, one midfielder, two defenders and a new goalkeeper.

That is in addition to the expected return of Saliba and Nelson as senior options.

Formation: 4-3-3. ImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Jun 15
I feel like an alternate version of me wrote this. This is a good read on how to maximize the impact of your best attacking players on the pitch. The concept generally discussed is 'overload to isolate'.

You'll do well to read this.

olliehimsworth.substack.com/p/maximising-u…
This cruder thread goes into how I think Mikel can necessarily create a more powerful Arsenal attack without necessarily turning us into Man City B, just by leaning on the best strengths of Saka, Martinelli and Tierney.

Read 4 tweets
Jun 15
People who don't get it often approximate physicality as a solution to defensive woes.

'He's not strong enough.'
'He doesn't have enough pace.'

Ancelotti said it best when he said defending is more about organization and structure than talent. Anyone can be a good defender.
If you let some fans have their way, they'd fill up teams with Abdulayi Doucoures and Victor Wanyamas, yet these players are rarely those that win you games. These are rarely the guys that sell football as the beautiful game. It's the Eriksens, the Farbregas and Silvas.
Arsenal had the 3rd or 4th best defence ITL with a team of post-ACL Bellerin, Rob Holding, 34 yo David Luiz, Granit Xhaka, Cedric Soares and Mohammed Elneny.

Defending is all about anticipation, organization, space and time management. It's 90% collective effort and education.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 15
The Tielemans link is really fulfilling for me. I've long argued that what our midfield misses is more technical ability not physicality. It's our legacy. It's Arsenal through and through. People forget that our bad times began when all the technique disappeared from midfield.
We lost Ozil, Ramsey, Iwobi all in one season and replaced them with Torreira and Guendouzi. And people wonder why the Auba/Lacazette dynamic didn't work as well as before anymore. We couldn't control the ball against Watford. Against anyone. Emery's worst moves that doomed him.
People forget Tielemans almost singlehandedly wrestled the Leceister game away from us at the Emirates in the second half. He was taking us apart and we had a pretty good lowblock.

The days of us scoring just 2 goals against teams we dominate and force into a lowblock are over.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 2
Maximal edges in football...

Certain clubs require certain things and at certain prices. For most top clubs, the certain things they require in attack is dribbling (1v1 play and ball-carrying) and the ability to get into spaces in the box or in behind defences. Scarcity exists.
This is kind of informative as to why City/Bayern tend to hoard certain types of players. It's because of scarcity: there aren't many players in the world who are as good at dribbling as Raheem Sterling or Kingsley Coman.

Not just that, they are disciplined. They know enough to
help their team stretch defences just by staying away from the ball, they know how to use their teammates and to trust their teammates (who are good) so they release the ball quicker than they may have to. They perform lesser roles than their abilities suggest in order to ensure
Read 31 tweets
Jun 1
Salah potentially leaving is a chance for Liverpool to move away from the inside-forward profile to the complete winger profile: one who receives the ball wide, beats his man and makes a delivery into the box, and then turns into a poacher when the ball is on the other flank.
Salah is already playing this role for Liverpool, which is why his creative numbers have gone up and he's still scoring lots. That is the future of wingers at the top level.

Good 1v1 play and good deliveries are required, but you also need to be an instinctive fox in the box.
At the elite level, the likes of Sterling and Gnabry are already top class at this role.

There players who are not yet the complete package (good at the creative side, average at poaching) but have the potential to fulfill this role: Olise, Raphinha.
Read 4 tweets

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