Footage from Mariinka in eastern Ukraine shows an incendiary attack today by Russia against this town of 10,000 people. Although it's being described as a phosphorus attack, it's actually something a lot worse and yet another war crime. A 🧵 to explain. /1
This is not phosphorus; it's thermite, a pyrotechnic composition of metal powder and metal oxide. It burns at up to 3,500°C. It can't be smothered and can't easily be extinguished by water - it can even be used for underwater welding. It can ignite in any environment. /2
It's been used in incendiary bombs since WW2. The Germans pioneered its use against British cities such as Coventry, while the Allies used thermite bombs to raze cities in Germany and Japan (Braunschweig pictured here), killing hundreds of thousands. /3
This was hugely controversial even at the time, and the use of napalm by the US in Vietnam caused further controversy. In 1980 an international protocol was agreed to prohibit the use of air-dropped incendiaries against civilian targets. It entered force in 1983. /4
There is a loophole though - ground-delivered incendiary weapons are permitted if a military target is "is clearly separated from the concentration of civilians and all feasible precautions are taken" to avoid harming civilians and civilian objects. /5
This is what Russia uses to deliver incendiaries: the 9M22S rocket, launched from BM-21 Grad truck-mounted multiple rocket launcher systems. Up to 40 can be fired in a salvo to a range of 20 km (12 miles). It's a notoriously inaccurate and indiscriminate weapon. /6
Each rocket contains 180 hexagonal incendiary elements made of magnesium, packed with thermite and arranged in a matrix within the rocket. Each element is 40 mm long and 25 mm wide. A linear charge ejects them from the rocket and ignites them, to burn for about 2 minutes. /7
This weapon was developed in Russia in 1971 with the objective of igniting fires in areas such as fuel depots, ammunition storage sites, and other flammable military targets. It was also intended to be used against enemy troop concentrations. /8
Russia has used them repeatedly in Syria and Ukraine. In many cases, as apparently today in Mariinka, they've been used indiscrimately against populated places - a clear war crime. This is what it looks like on the receiving end. /9
The effect on the target can be devastating. Thermite burns hot enough to melt steel. It destroys structures and causes "excruciating burns, sometimes to the bone, ... respiratory damage, infection, shock, and organ failure" (Human Rights Watch). /10
Human Rights Watch and other campaign groups have been pressing for years for such weapons to be banned outright. Unfortunately and unsurprisingly, Russia has opposed this, and has continued to use incendiary weapons ruthlessly in its wars. /end
Used against Mariupol's Azovstal plant, reportedly on 14 May - this is the clearest view I've seen of 9M22S thermite submunitions being deployed.
It's worth noting that despite their horrific effect, this is currently allowed by the laws of war as long as it's against a purely military target (as Azovstal appears to be now that civilians have been evacuated).
Read more about Human Rights Watch's campaign to ban these weapons here: hrw.org/topic/arms/inc…
Video from the Russian side of a thermite incendiary attack being carried out against a Ukrainian position:
1/ What can Russian soldiers do with thousands of useless Starlink terminals? One Russian warblogger has some humorous suggestions. ⬇️
2/ 'BKGB Casuar' writes:
"Here are 10 ways to use a broken terminal in the Special Military Operation zone:
3/ "1. Butt Kick.
The ground in the trench is cold and damp, and Elon Musk's plastic is warm and high-tech. Use it as an elite seat. Now you're not just a soldier in the mud, but a cyberpunk on a throne, whose butt is protected from moisture by American technology.
1/ Russian political officers are reportedly using the Epstein files to justify the 'Special Military Operation' (SVO) as a "war against global evil". However, as a frontline Russian warblogger points out, Russia and its soldiers are hardly innocent of crimes against children. ⬇️
2/ 'Vault No. 8', a serving soldier in the Russian army, writes:
"Over dinner, we were shown a report on the Epstein files: Satanism, cannibalism, paedophilia, child trafficking to EU countries in Ukraine, etc. The conclusion: "The SVO is the fight against global evil."
3/ "At the same time, during the SVO:
— I listened to the stories of several female specialists in men's health. One was raped by her grandfather, then later by her first husband. The second had a stepfather who was violent and raped her mother.
1/ The Russian authorities have published details of three people accused of Friday's shooting of Lt Gen Vladimir Alekseyev. Two men have been arrested, one in the UAE, while a woman is said to have escaped to Ukraine, which is blamed for the attack. ⬇️
2/ The Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation (roughly Russia's equivalent of the FBI) has issued a statement, which includes the following:
3/ "Investigators conducted a thorough inspection at the scene, during which they discovered the murder weapon – a Makarov pistol with an attached silencer and three rounds of ammunition.
1/ General Vladimir Alexseyev, who was shot yesterday in a Moscow apartment building, may have been secretly visiting his mistress before the attack. Despite a reputation as an uncorrupt officer, he is said to have enjoyed the same luxurious lifestyle as many of his peers. ⬇️
2/ The building where Alekseyev was shot is a fairly ordinary apartment building in Moscow's Shchukino District. Completed in 2022, it has 10 apartments on each floor. Alekseyev was using an apartment on the 24th floor.
3/ According to neighbours, the apartment is occupied by a younger woman with a young child. They say she was seen often with the child, but Alekseyev was only seen rarely. His 'official' wife is in her 60s (he is 64) and their children are in their 30s.
1/ Why has Russia failed so abysmally at providing secure battlefield communications to its troops in Ukraine? The answer, concludes Russian warblogger Oleg Tsarev, is that the military communications budget has been looted for years by corrupt generals and contractors. ⬇️
2/ Tsarev relates the dismal history of Russia's military communications programmes:
"I remember how, at the beginning of the Special Military Operation, all units were buying Motorola radios. There was no other communications."
3/ "Now, Elon Musk has shut down the Starlink terminals our military used in the Special Military Operation, and our communications at the front have been disrupted. I'm talking to military personnel: many say we still have virtually no communications of our own.
1/ The attempted assassination of Lt Gen Vladimir Alekseyev in Moscow this morning has outraged Russian warbloggers, who regard him as a hero of Russia. They have highlighted his key role and contributions to the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Vladimir Romanov writes:
"An assassination attempt was made on Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseyev [who is known as 'Stepanich'], First Deputy Chief of the Main Intelligence Directorate (GRU) of the Russian Ministry of Defence."
3/ "An unknown assailant fired several shots into his back in the elevator lobby of a building on Volokolamsk Highway at 7:00 a.m. The assassin fled the scene. Alekseyev was hospitalised.