This video from @RALee85 of a Russian Army Grad & 152mm battery firing on Mariupol is a wonderful opportunity for a comparative logistics 🧵thread on rocket artillery ammunition.
Pay attention to the video.
There is a lot to unpack here, literally👇
1/
Pay attention to the video.
There is a lot to unpack here, literally👇
1/
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1522255097287385088
Setup:
Communication Theory 101
o The message you think you send, isn't
o The message you actually send, isn't
o The message your audience actually hears/sees/understands.
Such is the case with that video on several levels.
2/
Communication Theory 101
o The message you think you send, isn't
o The message you actually send, isn't
o The message your audience actually hears/sees/understands.
Such is the case with that video on several levels.
2/
Let's start with this still. You see a couple of "Z", a flag and a big tarp.
That's is a distraction from what it really is.
This is a stack of 122mm rocket boxes containing rockets without fuzes with seven visible boxes & the rest covered.
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That's is a distraction from what it really is.
This is a stack of 122mm rocket boxes containing rockets without fuzes with seven visible boxes & the rest covered.
3/
I did a history thread on US Army TOW anti-tank missile boxes to demonstrate there is a lot of intelligence value to be had from looking at boxes.
The same applies with these 122mm rocket boxes and how they are used in this video.
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The same applies with these 122mm rocket boxes and how they are used in this video.
4/
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1519401901158187009
Lower left, this still is another view of that tarped "Z" box stack.
What is missing from this still?
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What is missing from this still?
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This is another still from the same video. Look at the now uncovered box stack bottom center.
There are others higher left, but that stack is the important one. The tarp is gone with some of the rockets removed from their boxes.
Again, what is missing across the field?
5/
There are others higher left, but that stack is the important one. The tarp is gone with some of the rockets removed from their boxes.
Again, what is missing across the field?
5/
This is the bed of one of those trucks at the beginning of the video. It has two rockets without fuzes and one that is being installed on the right by a technician.
Ask yourself what's wrong with what you are seeing here, in addition to the question of what is missing?
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Ask yourself what's wrong with what you are seeing here, in addition to the question of what is missing?
6/
These stills are your answers.
Everything is done by manual labor. There is no material handling equipment to be seen.
The impact fuzes and the launcher electricals are all installed by hand. Nothing is logistical mechanized or automated.
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Everything is done by manual labor. There is no material handling equipment to be seen.
The impact fuzes and the launcher electricals are all installed by hand. Nothing is logistical mechanized or automated.
7/
Lets compare this to the US Army's MLRS system from one of my earlier threads.
Material handling equipment is right there, built into the launcher.
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Material handling equipment is right there, built into the launcher.
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https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1517323396362772480
The automation is right there, built into the launcher and factory sealed rocket pod.
There is no back breaking manual or futzing with individual rocket fuzes & igniters in heat, cold, rain, or snow.
It's safer & more reliable.
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There is no back breaking manual or futzing with individual rocket fuzes & igniters in heat, cold, rain, or snow.
It's safer & more reliable.
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https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1517323404415848449
Now back to "Communication Theory 101" -
The message Russia thought it was sending was one about strength.
The message it actually sent was one about Russian backwardness & weakness.
So what about that 3rd message?
10/
The message Russia thought it was sending was one about strength.
The message it actually sent was one about Russian backwardness & weakness.
So what about that 3rd message?
10/
The one the audience of this thread actually hears/sees/understands?
Because after looking through that video & the stills from them, the 3rd message isn't about Russian power or weakness at all.
The 3rd message received can best be summed up as "What the H--l?"
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Because after looking through that video & the stills from them, the 3rd message isn't about Russian power or weakness at all.
The 3rd message received can best be summed up as "What the H--l?"
11/
What the h--l was Western Intelligence doing for 80 years not to notice this?
Western intelligence hear the message Russia sent exactly as Russia wanted it heard.
This is utterly unacceptable given that the MLRS was a late 1970's early 1980's weapon system built...
12/
Western intelligence hear the message Russia sent exactly as Russia wanted it heard.
This is utterly unacceptable given that the MLRS was a late 1970's early 1980's weapon system built...
12/
...exactly 1/2 way between 1945 and 2022 to mechanize and automate all those 122mm Grad rocket steps the stills in this thread demonstrated.
MLRS was one of the "Big Five" in the 1980's US Army procurement strategy.
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army.mil/article/249247…
MLRS was one of the "Big Five" in the 1980's US Army procurement strategy.
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army.mil/article/249247…
It's specifications were available for apples to apples comparisons with Soviet & later Russian Army kit for 45 years...
...and nobody noticed the logistical differences between them & US Army artillery logistics?
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...and nobody noticed the logistical differences between them & US Army artillery logistics?
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If "Amateurs study tactics & professionals study logistics"...
...what does that make Western Intelligence?
And how does it regain the credibility it just lost?
15/End
...what does that make Western Intelligence?
And how does it regain the credibility it just lost?
15/End
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