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Shashank Joshi Profile picture
@shashj
May 9, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Macron “warned that while Europe was now helping Ukraine, there would come a point when Moscow and Kyiv would sue for peace and at that point neither side should be humiliated or excluded as had happened to Germany in 1918.” reuters.com/world/europe/l…
More from Macron speech. “It is up to Ukraine to define the conditions for negotiations with Russia. But our duty is to be by his side to obtain the ceasefire and then build peace. Then we will be there to rebuild Ukraine into Europeans, always.” elysee.fr/emmanuel-macro…
Macron invokes Mitterand’s European confederation, which was to include Russia, and says it was “probably too early”. But “this question remains: how to organize Europe from a political and broader point of view than the European Union?” Proposes a “European political community” Image
Macron: "in the end, when peace returns to European soil, we will have to build new balances of security and we must, together, never give in to the temptation of either humiliation or the spirit of revenge" elysee.fr/emmanuel-macro… Image

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More from @shashj

Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Apr 3
“The strike that killed seven WCK aid workers in Gaza was a result of lack of discipline on the part of commanders on the ground, and not due to coordination problems between the army and the humanitarian organization, sources in the IDF told Haaretz.” haaretz.com/israel-news/20…
‘IDF chief of staff Herzi Halevi …said that the attack was "a mistake that followed a misidentification - at night during a war in very complex conditions. It shouldn't have happened," he added’ haaretz.com/israel-news/20…
‘Israeli army sources later refuted their claims [of poor co-ordination] saying the incident has 'no connection to coordination' and was caused by the fact that 'every commander sets the rules for himself'…’ haaretz.com/israel-news/20…
Read 4 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Mar 27
Robert Gates on visiting Russia as CIA director: "One of my most vivid memories, they have this wonderful guest house at KGB headquarters where they have their dinners...We sit down and I ate the worst piece of beef I’ve ever had in my entire life" millercenter.org/the-presidency…
"It was like the reject from an American butcher shop...it was all fatty. I mean, it was just a lousy piece of meat. I thought, if the director of the KGB can’t get a better steak than this, they’re in worse trouble than I thought." millercenter.org/the-presidency…
Gates: "in the post Cold War period...our highest priority targets were not...people we were going to meet in cocktail receptions...I wanted to radically change the nature of the DO away from its dependence on cover of embassies and into nonofficial cover" millercenter.org/the-presidency…
Read 39 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Mar 18
A good reflection on Russia’s attritional way of war and why West isn’t prepared for it. But notable that the word “nuclear” doesn’t appear at any point. How does NATO-Russia nuclear dynamic affect the likelihood & impact of war protraction & attrition? rusi.org/explore-our-re…
“In an attritional war characterised by heavy casualties, there simply isn’t time to replace lost NCOs or generate them for new units … Only time can generate leaders capable of executing NATO doctrine” rusi.org/explore-our-re…
“A key difference between the models is that NATO doctrine cannot function without high-performing NCOs. The Soviet doctrine was enhanced by experienced NCOs but did not require them” rusi.org/explore-our-re…
Read 7 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Mar 12
"The United States should adopt a 4+2 posture beginning in 2025 that consists of four U.S. BCTs—in Poland, Italy, Germany, and Romania—and two headquarters, in Germany and Poland" csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/20…
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"the conventional balance in Europe favors the United States and Europe today. This advantage includes forces currently deployed to NATO’s eastern flank, as well as forces that Russia and NATO could deploy"
csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/20…
Image
"Russia faces considerable force-to-space ratio constraints in Eastern Europe today. A Russian buildup along NATO’s eastern flank...would likely lead to a rapid NATO deterrent buildup in response—& deny Russia from gaining a forceto-space ratio advantage." csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/20…
Read 6 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Mar 1
Ukraine "presents the first instance in which both combatants deploy robust, if still largely primitive, reconnaissance-strike complexes (RSCs) that they innovate during wartime. This...allows observers to identify fundamental mechanics of the interaction" press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewconten…
Image
Not sure this is entirely correct. "These [recon-strike] complexes should also include [AI]; the fact that neither Ukraine nor Russia employs major AI indicates the degree to which their reconnaissance-strike complexes are still primitive." press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewconten…
"It must be noted that Russian forces increasingly replicate Ukrainian [UAS-ISR] practices, though on average w/out commensurate results because of poor training standards, less effective equipment and a lower-quality officer & technical specialist corps" press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewconten…
Read 10 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Mar 1
WSJ has seen the 17-page terms that Russia wanted to impose on Ukraine in *April* 2022. "those objectives remain largely unchanged after two years of fighting: Turn Ukraine into a neutered state permanently vulnerable to Russian military aggression." wsj.com/world/russia-u…
Essentially, Russia wanted a colony: "No foreign weapons would be allowed on Ukrainian soil. Ukraine’s military would be pared down to a specific size. Russia sought to limit everything from the no. of troops and tanks to the max firing range of missiles." wsj.com/world/russia-u…
'while the treaty held, [int'l] guarantors would be required to “terminate international treaties and agreements, incompatible with the permanent neutrality of Ukraine” including any promises of bilateral military aid.' wsj.com/world/russia-u…
Read 4 tweets

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