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May 11 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Despite all the outrage the #RoeVWadeprotest people have voiced over the last week. Despite all the in-person protests.

The groups most outraged STILL indicate that they’re less likely to vote than their opponents.

docs.cdn.yougov.com/o1zu29c4cp/eco…
In today’s Economist/YouGov poll, when asked if they still definitely vote in the 2022 Midterm Elections:

A smaller percentage of women (52%) say they will definitely vote than the percentage of men who say they definitely will (57%).
A smaller percentage of liberals say they will definitely vote in 2022 (63%) than the percentage of conservatives (67%) who say they definitely will.
A smaller percentage of college-educated white women say they will definitely vote (71%) than the percentage or college-educated white men who say they will definitely vote (77%).
A smaller percentage of people of child-bearing age say they will definitely vote than older people.

Less than one quarter of 18-29 year olds (24%) say they will definitely vote. Compared to 70% of 45-64 year olds who say they will definitely vote.
A smaller percentage of voters in the more liberal Northeast and West regions say they will definitely vote (51% and 53%) than those in the more conservative Midwest and South who say they will definitely vote (60% and 54%).
All I’m saying …

If people are saying they are outraged about this or anything else in our democracy, then, whatever else you do, VOTE.

Otherwise nothing else you do affects who gets to make decisions on your behalf.
The future composition of the Supreme Court will not be affected by any number of protests. It just won’t.

It will be affected by who wins Senate races.

Either vote. Or understand that you’re just venting and doing absolutely nothing else.
#ParticipateInDemocracy

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More from @TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 13
So now that we've lost a million Americans to COVID-19, let's take an updated look at the states that have lost the largest and smallest shares of its population to COVID.

The impact of the pandemic has been significantly different in different states. Image
Here are the 15 states that had the highest percentage of its residents die from COVID.

10 of the 15 states voted for Donald Trump in 2020. 13 of the 15 are ranked in the bottom half of the states in terms of the percentage of its population which is fully vaccinated. Image
6 of the 15 states that have had the largest share of its population die from COVID are among the bottom 10 states in lowest fully vaccinated rates. Image
Read 13 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 12
It's interesting looking at the crosstabs for the new Monmouth poll:
monmouth.edu/polling-instit…

Biden's popularity among age groups:
Ages 18-34 - 29% approve/60% disapprove (-31)
Ages 35-54 - 37% approve/58% disapprove (-21)
Ages 55+ - 46% approve/52% disapprove (-6)
It's interesting that Biden's approval is lowest among the age group that is historically least likely to vote.

Among white voters by education:
Whites w/o Degrees: 23% approve/73% disapprove (-50)
Whites w/Degrees: 48% approve/47% disapprove (-1)
A 51 point difference.
On the question about which party they'd like to see in Congress:

Registered voters preferred Republicans, 38-35.

Non-Registered voters preferred Democrats, 26-15.

I'm wondering if the Democrats see the basic problem here.
Read 5 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 12
When Democrats won the House in 2018, they had an 18 seat majority.

Democrats held onto the House in 2020, but their majority had shrunk down to 5 seats (and is, at the moment, only 3 seats).

How much can individual people's votes matter?

A lot more than you think.
Every House District represents approximately 750,000 people.

In 2020, 394,625 people voted in Iowa's Second Congressional District Race for the U.S. House of Representative.

The Republican candidate, Mariannette Miller-Meeks won the election by just 6 votes.
318,607 peopled voted in New York's 22nd Congressional District U.S. House race. Republican Claudia Tenney won the election by 109 votes.

338,943 people voted in California's 25th Congressional District U.S. House Race. Republican Mike Garcia won the election by 333 votes.
Read 8 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 6
Republicans at least publicly imply that whoever leaked the SCOTUS ruling was someone upset by the opinion.

That’s possible. But it also seems possible that whoever leaked it could have had another motive.
This is purely speculation about one of the various possibilities. I have no knowledge at all of what really happened.

But what if you knew the decision would go off like a political nuclear bomb? And you wanted to soften the effect of it some?
What if you knew that the opinion would cause a big reaction in late June. And you wanted to soften the political fallout by letting it leak in early May?

That way when the ruling is finalized, it’s not really a shock: people have been prepared for it.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 4
In today’s Economist/YouGov poll, only 62% of registered voters say that they will definitely vote in the 2022 Midterms. Where voters decide who wins a third of the Senate seats and every House seat.

If you won’t vote, your opinions don’t matter.
docs.cdn.yougov.com/vbhhojqsfe/eco…
No politician is going to get elected or lose their jobs because you gather together about whatever issue upsets you, chant and make protest signs. It will get on TV. But it won’t have any affect on who makes decisions that affect you, directly and indirectly.
All those people on Twitter coming up with the clever hashtags and memes. It might make you feel better and get your online friends fired up about whatever your issue is. But it doesn’t matter. Not if you don’t VOTE.
Read 5 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
May 4
How many American voters are responsible for the U.S. Senate being held by Chuck Schumer and the Democrats instead of by Mitch McConnell and the Republicans?

1,017 voters. That’s it.
#VotingMatters
There are 50 Republicans and 50 Democrats in the U.S. Senate.

The U.S. Vice President, Kamala Harris, breaks the tie, making Chuck Schumer Majority Leader instead of Mitch McConnell.
But if Democrat Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire hadn’t defeated Republican Kelly Ayotte in 2016 by a grand total of only 1,017 votes, there would be 51 Republicans. And Mitch McConnell would be the Majority Leader.
Read 5 tweets

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