May 11, 2022. Russian forces continued efforts to encircle Ukrainian positions in the Severodonetsk-Rubizhne-Lysychansk area but did not make any confirmed advances.

A thread on today's map changes for @TheStudyofWar.
1. We still have not observed open-source evidence to support reports that Ukrainian forces recaptured Borshchova (Борщова), Slobozhanske (Слобожанське), Lyptsi (Липці), or Ternova (Тернова) in Kharkiv Oblast. To this end, Russian source Readkova claimed that Ukrainian forces...
are preparing a full-scale offensive for Kozacha Lopan and Tsupivka and that Russian forces are holding the line in Liptsy on May 11. (Source: t.me/readovkanews/3…)
2. We expanded assessed Russian advances to Velyka Komyshuvakha given Russian forces captured it on May 9. This approach likely came from the northeast from Izyum. (Sources: ; ; )
3. We recessed Russian assessed advances across the Seversky Donetsk River from Pryvillia to Bilohorivka after Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian pontoon bridge to Bilohorivka on May 9. Sources: ; )
4. We expanded Russian control to cover Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, based off reports of Russian occupation activities in the city. (Source: gur.gov.ua/content/vykrad…)
5. We mapped Hannivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, as Ukrainian counteroffensives given Dnipropetrovsk Oblast officials stated on May 11 that Russian forces fired on Hannivka, indicating that RU forces no longer are in it. (Sources: t.me/dnipropetrovsk…; t.me/mykola_lukashu…)
We previously had not observed direct evidence that the known and immediately adjacent Ukrainian counteroffensives in northern Kherson liberated Hannivka and didn't want to make assumptions about the status of the village without evidence.
6. We are unable to verify Ramzan Kadyrov’s claims that Russian forces captured Voievodivka, the Zarya Chemical Plant, and other villages in Luhansk Oblast on May 11 at this time. (Unconfirmed claims: t.me/RKadyrov_95/20…; t.me/istorijaoruzij…; t.me/istorijaoruzij…)
7. The Ukrainian General Staff Report of 1800 May 11 confirmed that Ukrainian forces recaptured Pitomnik, as ISW mapped on May 10. (Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…)
8. Finally, the Kherson Oblast State Administration stated that Russian forces still occupy Petropavlivka, Chervone, Bilyaivka, and Ukrainika as of May 11, verifying ISW’s maps in this area. (Source: facebook.com/khoda.gov.ua/p…)

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More from @georgewbarros

May 13
Ukraine has almost expelled Russian forces on the east side of Kharkiv City from northern Kharkiv Oblast.

Ukraine's General Staff confirmed reports that Ukrainian forces are in Ternova, less than 2 miles from the international border. A thread on map updates for @TheStudyofWar. Image
1. We extended Ukrainian counteroffensives to Petrivka and Ternova in Kharkiv Oblast given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 13 stated that Russian forces fired on Ukrainian positions in these areas. (Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…) Image
This is the first official claim we've observed to substantiate previous reports that Ukrainian forces retook Ternova and Petrivka.
Read 9 tweets
May 11
May 10, 2022. Ukrainian forces continue counterattacks reclaiming territory in Kharkiv Oblast pushing towards Ukraine's international border.

Some notes on today's map changes - as well as evidence for changes - for @TheStudyofWar below.
1. We coded Bayrak and Rubizhne in Kharkiv Oblast as Ukrainian counteroffensives given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 10 states that Ukrainian forces recaptured them. Source: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
2. We also recoded Verknii Saltiv and Zamulivka as Ukrainian counteroffensives given reports that Ukrainian forces recaptured them and that they’re on the way to Rubizhne. Source: nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/po…
Read 11 tweets
May 9
A brief thread on some of the changes to our control of terrain maps for in Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar yesterday.

In addition to mapping Russian forces' capture of Popasna, we advanced Russian control lines in several areas north of Rubizhne and Yampil.
1. We recoded Popasna as Russian-controlled given Head of Luhansk Regional State Administration Serhiy Haidai stated that Ukrainian forces withdrew from Popasna on May 8. (Source: t.me/luhanskaVTSA/2…)
We also recoded neighboring Bohuslavske as Russian-controlled since it makes sense for Russian forces to also control this settlement given we saw evidence of Russian advances in Bohuslavske before.
Read 14 tweets
May 6
May 6, 2022. Ukrainian forces conducted a significant counteroffensive alleviating pressure against Kharkiv City and driving Russian forces from being about 5 kilometers be out of tube artillery range.

Some notes on today's map changes for @TheStudyofWar below. Image
1. We expanded Ukrainian counteroffensives to Oleksandrivka, Fedorivka, Ukrainka, Shestakovo, Peremoha, Tsirkuny and part of Cherkasy Tishki in Kharkiv Oblast as well as in between the fields between these villages given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 6... ImageImageImage
Read 14 tweets
Apr 23
Our latest control of terrain maps for Russia's invasion of Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar.

Some notes on today's changes below:
@TheStudyofWar 1. We recoded Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast, from Russian assessed advance to Russian control after Advisor to the Head of the Ukrainian President’s Office Oleksiy Arestovych said that Russian forces control the settlement on April 23.
2. We recoded one street in Rubizhne, Luhansk Oblast, from Russian claimed control to Russian assessed advance after a social media video showing Russian forces was geolocated to that area on April 20.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 22
Our latest maps on Russia's invasion of Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar. Some notes on their development.

1. We advanced assessed Russian control in Mariupol given Russian reports of capturing the whole city and that the Ukrainian General Staff notably did not mention Ukrainian...
defensive activity near the port of Mariupol or Primorsky District on April 22, indicating Russian clearing efforts. Russian war reporters filmed some Russian elements redeploying from Mariupol northward on April 22, indicating the need for Russian combat power to suppress...
Ukrainian fighters in Mariupol is reduced.

2. We expanded assessed Russian control near the Kharkiv-Donetsk oblast borders given LNR forces were geolocated there.
Read 5 tweets

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