Ukraine has almost expelled Russian forces on the east side of Kharkiv City from northern Kharkiv Oblast.

Ukraine's General Staff confirmed reports that Ukrainian forces are in Ternova, less than 2 miles from the international border. A thread on map updates for @TheStudyofWar.
1. We extended Ukrainian counteroffensives to Petrivka and Ternova in Kharkiv Oblast given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 13 stated that Russian forces fired on Ukrainian positions in these areas. (Source:…)
This is the first official claim we've observed to substantiate previous reports that Ukrainian forces retook Ternova and Petrivka.
2. We recessed Russian assessed control of terrain in north Kharkiv Oblast given the new confirmed Ukrainian positions in Petrivka and Ternova. We recessed it to Vesele in Kharkiv Oblast given the Ukrainian general Staff report of 0600 May 13 stated that Russian forces did not...
conduct offensive operations in the direction of Kharkiv City but focused main efforts on preventing Ukrainian advances toward Vesele. (Source:…)
It's worth noting that Russian positions inside Vesele are outside of the 25 kilometer effective range for Russian tube artillery to strike Kharkiv City.
3. We expanded assessed Russian advance to the outskirts of Zolote and Hirske in Luhansk Oblast given Luhansk Oblast Governor Serhiy Haidai stated that Russian forces attempted attack these settlements. (Sources:…;…)
4. We expanded assessed Russian advance in Neskuchne in Donetsk Oblast after social media users geolocating Russian forces there. (S/o to @GeoConfirmed) (Source: )
5. We slightly expanded assessed Russian advances and control in Mariupol north of the Azovstal factory after social media users geolocated Russian forces there. Sources: ;

End - Have a great weekend, all!

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More from @georgewbarros

May 11
May 11, 2022. Russian forces continued efforts to encircle Ukrainian positions in the Severodonetsk-Rubizhne-Lysychansk area but did not make any confirmed advances.

A thread on today's map changes for @TheStudyofWar.
1. We still have not observed open-source evidence to support reports that Ukrainian forces recaptured Borshchova (Борщова), Slobozhanske (Слобожанське), Lyptsi (Липці), or Ternova (Тернова) in Kharkiv Oblast. To this end, Russian source Readkova claimed that Ukrainian forces...
are preparing a full-scale offensive for Kozacha Lopan and Tsupivka and that Russian forces are holding the line in Liptsy on May 11. (Source:…)
Read 11 tweets
May 11
May 10, 2022. Ukrainian forces continue counterattacks reclaiming territory in Kharkiv Oblast pushing towards Ukraine's international border.

Some notes on today's map changes - as well as evidence for changes - for @TheStudyofWar below.
1. We coded Bayrak and Rubizhne in Kharkiv Oblast as Ukrainian counteroffensives given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 10 states that Ukrainian forces recaptured them. Source:…
2. We also recoded Verknii Saltiv and Zamulivka as Ukrainian counteroffensives given reports that Ukrainian forces recaptured them and that they’re on the way to Rubizhne. Source:…
Read 11 tweets
May 9
A brief thread on some of the changes to our control of terrain maps for in Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar yesterday.

In addition to mapping Russian forces' capture of Popasna, we advanced Russian control lines in several areas north of Rubizhne and Yampil.
1. We recoded Popasna as Russian-controlled given Head of Luhansk Regional State Administration Serhiy Haidai stated that Ukrainian forces withdrew from Popasna on May 8. (Source:…)
We also recoded neighboring Bohuslavske as Russian-controlled since it makes sense for Russian forces to also control this settlement given we saw evidence of Russian advances in Bohuslavske before.
Read 14 tweets
May 6
May 6, 2022. Ukrainian forces conducted a significant counteroffensive alleviating pressure against Kharkiv City and driving Russian forces from being about 5 kilometers be out of tube artillery range.

Some notes on today's map changes for @TheStudyofWar below. Image
1. We expanded Ukrainian counteroffensives to Oleksandrivka, Fedorivka, Ukrainka, Shestakovo, Peremoha, Tsirkuny and part of Cherkasy Tishki in Kharkiv Oblast as well as in between the fields between these villages given the Ukrainian General Staff report of 1800 May 6... ImageImageImage
Read 14 tweets
Apr 23
Our latest control of terrain maps for Russia's invasion of Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar.

Some notes on today's changes below:
@TheStudyofWar 1. We recoded Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast, from Russian assessed advance to Russian control after Advisor to the Head of the Ukrainian President’s Office Oleksiy Arestovych said that Russian forces control the settlement on April 23.
2. We recoded one street in Rubizhne, Luhansk Oblast, from Russian claimed control to Russian assessed advance after a social media video showing Russian forces was geolocated to that area on April 20.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 22
Our latest maps on Russia's invasion of Ukraine for @TheStudyofWar. Some notes on their development.

1. We advanced assessed Russian control in Mariupol given Russian reports of capturing the whole city and that the Ukrainian General Staff notably did not mention Ukrainian...
defensive activity near the port of Mariupol or Primorsky District on April 22, indicating Russian clearing efforts. Russian war reporters filmed some Russian elements redeploying from Mariupol northward on April 22, indicating the need for Russian combat power to suppress...
Ukrainian fighters in Mariupol is reduced.

2. We expanded assessed Russian control near the Kharkiv-Donetsk oblast borders given LNR forces were geolocated there.
Read 5 tweets

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