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May 14, 2022 26 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Thread: Why Moscow is Russia’s Capital

In the course of the Ukraine war, many people have for the first time been exposed to the idea that Kiev was the original capital of the primitive Russian state. So how and why did Moscow rise to become the seat of power? (1) Image
Between roughly 800 and 1240, the East Slavic lands were part of a conglomerated realm known to history as “Kievan Rus.” As the name suggests, Kiev was the seat of power, and the “Mother of Rus Cities.” (2) Image
While the name “Kievan Rus” has endured, this was nothing like a unified kingdom or empire. It was a loosely connected assortment of principalities and city states. Kiev was the preeminent city, but did not control the realm. There was no centralized power. (3) Image
The Rus principalities had two important things in common. First, a Slavic culture shaped by Orthodox Christianity, and secondly, all their ruling princes were descended from the first Christian prince: Vladimir the Great. (4) Image
These princely clans, though all part of the same larger dynasty, branched into loosely connected family lines that ruled in the various regions. In the northeastern forest region, power was held by the line of Prince Vsevolod Big Nest - so named because he had 14 children. (5) Image
By the 1100’s, the Kievan lands had largely split into two spheres: a southern realm where the Grand Prince of Kiev held seniority, and a northern realm under Vsevolod’s heirs, who ruled as “Grand Princes of Vladimir.” (6) Image
Everything changed when the Mongols arrived. In 1237, a Mongol army under Batu Khan - a grandson of Genghis - swept through the Rus lands, sacking virtually all the major cities, including Kiev. (7) Image
The Mongols weren’t just passing through. They soon established a permanent steppe empire directly on the southern border of the Rus - known to us as the Golden Horde. They would be Russia’s overlords for centuries. (8) Image
Here, geography becomes crucial. The western Rus lands were able to escape Mongol orbit, both because they were farther from the Mongol capital, and because they were closer to Europe and could get help. Kiev and it’s environs eventually became a Polish-Lithuanian holding. (9) Image
For the Rus in the northern forest zone, there was no escaping Mongol overlordship. They were forced to pay heavy taxes, and threatened with punitive raids if they failed to pay up. (10) Image
This was a truly unique situation: Orthodox Christian, and under Mongol rule. Unlike the rest of Europe, Russia never had a pope, but it did have a Khan! Prince Alexander Nevsky became a Russian hero, not for fighting the Mongols, but for fighting Catholic crusaders. (11) Image
The Mongols, however, soon decided that it was inconvenient to maintain a tax collection force in Russia, so they looked for ways to outsource this job. This is where Moscow comes in. (12) Image
Moscow was originally a tiny, unimportant town. Its princes were not prominent, its traders were not wealthy, its army was not strong. It had a decently strategic location in the center of Russia’s heartland river network, but little else to recommend it. (13) Image
What Moscow did have was shrewd princes who realized that the Mongols were their ticket to rising far above their station. Muscovite princes quickly earned a reputation for being the most loyal and reliable tax collectors for the Khans. (14) Image
The Mongols empowered Moscow to collect taxes from across the Russian lands. This allowed Moscow to become very rich. Not by embezzling the tax - that would get you killed - but by collecting the entire Russian tax payment from other cities, turning Moscow into a tax haven. (15) Image
Soon, Moscow’s princes were the richest in Russia. Prince Ivan I became known as “Ivan Kalita” - Ivan Moneybag. Mongol favor also shielded Moscow from the sporadic raids that they would launch into Russia to punish rebellious cities. (16) Image
Moscow managed to rise from obscurity to wealth and prominence by being the Golden Horde’s most reliable collaborators. However, this alone was not enough to vault Moscow to true national power. The real twist was Moscow’s fantastic 14th century pivot. (17) Image
The Golden Horde began to crack. Plague, palace coups, and wars with other Mongol states destabilized it. With perfect timing, Moscow reversed course: from being a Mongol collaborator, to leading open Russian resistance to Mongol rule. (18) Image
In 1380, young Prince Dmitri of Moscow defeated a Mongol army at Kulikovo field near the river Don - the first time Russia ever beat the Mongols in the field. For this achievement, he is remembered as Dmitri Donskoi. (19) Image
Mongol power would wax and wane before finally being pushed out of Russia for good. But from the mid-1300’s onward, Moscow was the undisputed center of Russian resistance, and eventually the leader of its liberation. (20) Image
With the fall of Byzantium in 1453, a new religious dimension entered the equation. Russia was now the last independent Orthodox land in the world. Feeling vulnerable and under siege by Islam and Catholicism, the Church rallied behind its protectors: the Princes of Moscow. (21) Image
By the late 1400’s, Prince Ivan III was styling himself “Grand Prince of all Rus”, and even informally using the title царь, or “Tsar” in a Slavic variant of Caesar. Now the undisputed ruler of the Russian heartland, he began to directly annex the lands of all other princes. (22) Image
By the reign of Ivan III’s grandson, this process was complete. Ivan IV was the sole Tsar and Autocrat of all Russia. We know him as Иван Грозный - Ivan the Terrible. Moscow’s rise to power was accomplished. (23) Image
Moscow’s rise was the result of its princes adapting their policies perfectly around the Mongols. While the Khans were strong, they cooperated and grew rich. When the Khans were weak, they instantly pivoted and lead the national resistance. (24) Image
Ultimately, Moscow won the struggle for power in Russia by constantly leveraging new sources of power, from Mongol muscle, to the Russian independence movement, to the Orthodox Church. And to this day, that formerly insignificant little town is a seat of world shaking power. (25) Image
Addendum: Kievan Rus remains a highly controversial topic. Where these people Russian or Ukrainian? Truly, neither. They were the East Slavic ancestors of these modern nations. I have tried my best to show this organic development and be respectful of the great Slavic peoples.

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More from @witte_sergei

Dec 18, 2024
Thread: Verdun and the Lure of Attrition

This December 18th marks the 108th anniversary of the end of the Battle of Verdun - an infamously bloody episode of the First World War which killed over 700,000 French and German troops over nearly ten months of fighting. (1) Image
Verdun in many ways was the seminal First World War battle, in that it churned up dozens of divisions fighting for apparently meager gains of just a few kilometers. It appears at first brush to be entirely senseless, but the strategic conception deserves close scrutiny. (2) Image
By the end of 1915, German hopes for a quick resolution to the war had been firmly dashed. The initial command cadre had been replaced, and General Erich von Falkenhayn had taken command of the German general staff with an unenviable strategic position. (3) Image
Read 31 tweets
Nov 6, 2024
Robert Drews book on the Bronze Age Collapse is one of my absolute favorites, and it's one that I find myself thinking about a lot with the advent of cheap FPV drones as a military expedient, as seen in Ukraine. (1) Image
Drews basic argument is that the collapse of rich and stable late bronze age societies was due to the advent of new technical and tactical methodologies which made the aristocratic chariot armies of the day obsolete. (2)
Warfare in the bronze age centered on armies comprised principally of chariots deployed as mobile archery platforms, with infantry playing a subordinate role as auxiliaries and security troops. (3)
Read 8 tweets
Oct 14, 2024
Maybe instead of arguing online about Columbus/Indigenous Peoples Day, you read this excellent book? This dismisses the myth of the helpless native and presents a coherent story of the European encounter with North America. Image
The key theme here is that Europeans didn’t encounter a virginal land occupied by naïve peoples. North America already had a scheme of geopolitics, with diplomatic protocols, alliance systems, and warfare.
Native Americans by and large did not see Europeans as alien intruders, but as a new chess piece in this power system. Europeans were integrated into the diplomatic web, and native tribes tried to leverage them against each other.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 26, 2024
So, the Russians hit Ukraine with one of the largest strike packages of the war - over 200 launches including drones and a wide spectrum of missiles. It looks like they mostly hit power generation and transmission, with a few military facilities sprinkled in. (1)
A few notable things that stand out against other strikes (besides the size) were hits on three separate 750kv substations in western Ukraine, including one in Vinnytsia. (2)
This is very important, because sufficient damage to transmission in the western oblasts will prevent Ukraine from importing European electricity to replace its own lost generation. They've relied heavily on imports to prop up their grid. (3)

kyivindependent.com/ukraine-import…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 22, 2024
To the extent that there is an over-arching strategic logic in Ukraine, I think they are trying to "prove" that NATO forces can enter into direct combat with Russia without a colossal escalation. This is the thread that links their more random strategic choices. (1)
"Look, we invaded Kursk and they didn't nuke us. We shot a missile at their early warning radar and they didn't nuke us. We launched a drone at the Kremlin and they didn't nuke us. It's all a bluff - feel free to deploy a French armored brigade to Kharkov." (2)
Ukraine's mosquito bites obviously don't pose an existential threat to Russia, but they create the perception that Moscow doesn't respond to provocation. Useful idiots in the west have already latched on to this. (3) Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 15, 2024
Stalin was an ethnic Georgian from Gori. His mother was a devout Orthodox Christian who desperately wanted him to become a priest. His father was an alcoholic shoemaker. The big "secret" of Stalin is that he was a true believing communist with exceptional political skills.
The Soviet regime did perpetrate horrible crimes against the Orthodox church in Russia, but they did this because the church was a pillar of the parochial peasant civilization which they wanted to shatter, not because Stalin had a secret blood vendetta against Christians. Sorry.
I'm not like, some fan of Stalin, but you pretty much explain the guy via the fact that he was actually a communist who believed everything he said about Marxism-Leninism providing a solution to human want. He was a communist, and he was a peerless political operator. That's it.
Read 7 tweets

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