Working the polls today and this was the best “trust me I’m repping pgh” my clean clothes had to offer 😂. @scott_bot !
So far Merlin sound ID has identified mockingbird, swift, cardinal, flicker, robin, wren, song sparrow, and grackle. Slow and beautiful morning here in the big city
Update: Did not have literal dumpster fire in the middle of the Liberty Bridge on my PA primary bingo card #rookiemistake
World”s tiniest data point, reported without comment, from a Mastriano-McCormick (!!) precinct in Beechview: Election Day votes cast
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"Radicals won!" framings really mislead, IMHO. This is about a new panorama of possibility that has brought real, materially-self-interested muscle into the work of expanding the electorate. That is a good thing if you care about small-d democracy's future
1) @gelliottmorris's thoughtful latest newsletter has everyone in my TL reacting simultaneously, a very broadcast moment in this narrowcast world, & 2) it brings back to the fore for me a serious, not-trolly question: why is there no centrist-Dem equivalent to @runforsomething ?
It seems like there are lots of influential people in Dem politics who think amplifying the voices of assertively progressive young candidates is not the direction the party should go. But as far as I can see they are not doing anything to create local ladders for ...anyone else?
It's a genuine question: do folks arguing "Dems shd look+talk more like the median American" have a theory of change in which routes for recruiting & supporting such people is irrelevant—maybe only ads matter? Or do they (wrongly) imagine structures are already in place to do so?
Social media, disinformation & "anti-mandate" convoys are connected: but with deeper roots and stronger impact that just foreign bots hyping Ottawa. @b_schwanke@colaresi and I share thoughts here based on the organizing we see underway here in western PA thehill.com/opinion/techno…
People spent yesterday (a lifetime ago) #onhere laughing about Bob Bolus's fizzled 1-truck convoy from Scranton, but I tend to draw a different lesson from the disproportion btwn the passionate array of folks eager to support truckers convoying: & the lack of truckers to support
There are 5 announced drop-off sites in Allegheny alone. Others in Beaver; Erie. Meanwhile the big convoy support group in eastern PA already has too many donations in hand & is trying to redirect. It's the opposite of astroturf: this is passionate local volunteers way out ahead
Was talking today re complexity of 3 distinct-but-overlapping 2020 shifts, which shd make everyone humble re 2022 predictions: 1) decline in votes cast in marginalized urban cores, 2) small ppt shift > Trump among African American voters, 3) larger ppt shift among Hispanic voters
So eg here's what the percent decline (orange) or increase (green) in votes cast 2016-20 looked like in Philly precincts clustered by %AfricanAmerican & %Hispanic, based on 2010 census data. (About 1% of 1700+ precincts were changed btwn 2016-20, so data not perfect but not bad)
The defacto residential segregation of the communities most Philadelphians live in means when we look at absolute change in votes cast (rather than %chng) it's the growth in votes in the whitest (also=highest SES) precincts & decline in most heavily Black (&marginalized) that pop
Facebook also lets child sexual endangerment groups flourish in Spanish: I've been trying to get them taken down since November. Every single response fr Support? "Doesn't violate community standards" 😶
I've largely stopped tweeting about it bc I didn't want to turn my twitter into a constant stream of child sexual endangerment despair. But it's still ongoing. This is from a 3k+member public group called "Find a boyfriend 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 years old" @Meta refuses to remove
It's not hidden and it's not subtle. It's real children being harmed in real time in plain view & I have tried backstage contacting & public denunciation & everything I can think of and: crickets.
A few groups disappeared in December. Identical new ones have taken their place.
Fun fact*: In the first half of 2021, Democrats gained a net 18,041 voters statewide in PA due to party registration switchers. In the second half, they lost 17,476
*not really fun
The last decade-plus has seen strong GOP gains from vote switching almost every year (Philly collar being only exception👇). Most years that has been offset, in statewide totals, by new voter registration, which is usually disproportionately Dem