What the #SupremeCourt Order fatally doesn’t appear 2 account for is the following: (1) Political parties run as fiefdoms/personality cults in Pakistan. What if the party head does egregious things or becomes an erratic & dangerous egomaniac or otherwise 1/5 #COAS#HamzaShahbaz
undermines democratic principles/norms or commits other outrages? (2) What if he then becomes entrenched because of the initial calculus of seats? Is a member then bound to not dissent on essentially national & larger than party considerations? An additional question is that 2/5
what’s the point of any voting at all? Everything is predetermined by electoral outcomes as to numbers in assembly. Members should then just sign over to party their votes to be used as it wishes. VONC becomes ineffectual except if coalition partners break off. While clamping 3/5
down on proven horse trading through imposition of cost of desertion - deseating or worse - wouldn’t it have been better to retain room for conscientious independent voting when being egregiously locked in by party policy/party leaders’ whims, that would in turn lead to 4/5
sub-optimal supra/larger than party/party leader outcomes at national level? By going to other extreme SC bench maj diminishing members to the extent that party (which really means party leader) can become an absolute despot & use its captive audience members as mere pawns. 5/5
An ego-centric cricket player finally found prominence in politics when he was adopted/catapulted by Deep State. He made an ass of himself in office & was ousted by a valid VONC. His ego couldn't take it & he declared everyone except himself a traitor, claimed that a foreign 1/n
conspiracy ousted him, announced threat to his life, said nation ought to be nuked instead of his opponents coming to power, & exhorted Deep State to readopt him or else. Along the way he started posturing as if divinely anointed, routinely slandered his opponents, & incited 2/n
violence against them. His stance on desecration of holy places by his zealots was dubious. He blatantly violated Constitution. He regularly instigated his comrades to flout the law. He incited violence against his detractors. He threatened to bring country to a standstill 3/n
Imran khan came to power supported by a cultish fan base; a hopeful following; blatant military support; coalition partners; lotas & big financiers. This was the base of his so-called tabdeeli. He then strutted & fretted upon the stage for 4 years with very little to show. 1/10
His core cult is intact & vocal (amplified by some partisan media); chunks of his following (rural & urban working classes & more sensible middle/upper middle class voters - tired of empty slogans) has eroded, military has badly burnt fingers but some loyal top brass remains 2/10
coalition partners have abandoned; lotas bolted; & financial sugar daddies ruing they invested in him. His ouster politically expected & perfectly legal. He was sub-par, silly & aloof. Alienated many. Yet he continues to mischaracterize it as an international conspiracy that 3/10
FIRs in #MasjidENabvi Outrage DON'T allege blasphemy. ESSENTIAL to understand. Context: Chapter XV of Pakistan Penal Code (PPC) contains offences against religion. It has pre-Zia colonial era sections & post-Zia blasphemy sections. Colonial era sections stem from Indian 1/8
Penal Code, 1860. Meant to protect freedom of exercise of religion & prevent one person from insulting religion of another. Thus curbing of hate speech & resulting law & order disruption & dissolution of society. Importantly, they are meant for all religions & to protect each 2/8
creed from attack on its beliefs & practices as well as protection of minority faiths. They all specifically require intent. They all have definitional specificity. In short they provide various protections & are hard to abuse. These include ss 295, 295-A, 296, 297 & 298. 3/8
HOPE
These are dark times. But for different reasons for different people. In this doom & gloom I see 15 positives. Call me an eternal optimist. My perspective purely that of someone who wants to see civilian supremacy, democratic continuity & constitutionalism. So here goes 1/10
1) IK’s ouster has meant resounding PTI attack on role of Deep State (for wrong reasons - they want it to help) but that means a larger section of Pakistanis questioning Deep State 2) Deep State seems to be questioning its role & may likely stay neutral in next election 2/10
3) PTI made multiple blunders & now hiding behind international conspiracy narrative. Signs that narrative will be fully exposed. Will force it to hopefully rethink & have a real manifesto 4) A vocal & mobilized PTI puts pressure on PDM to perform. So far they 3/10
Is voting against your own party’s PM allowed? Does it involve a moral issue? Is it allowed but carries a cost? Imp questions taken up by SC but in an opaque fashion? Snr & much respected SC lawyer Abid Hasan Minto sahib writes an open letter to SC raising imp Qs about its 1/7
shutting out other imp stakeholders/interested parties in this matter of great public importance. It also raises questions as to whether a moral hazard attaches to such a vote. Related to these Qs is the imp question to my mind of whether the Vote of No Confidence mechanism 2/7
has much value left if ruling party dissidents denied a vote or if cost of such a vote too high? Should it then even be part of the Constitution? It will be of relevance only in patently coalition situations. Also is it inconceivable that treasury members may lose faith in a 3/7
A Con Man applied for a faculty position at a well known local university. He said he had a Master’s degree but that he was enrolled in a prestigious university abroad for a PhD. He wasn’t 1/
special but the PhD enrollment tilted the balance & he was hired with the expectation that he would finish his doctorate in a year.
A few years passed & then some faculty pointed out that there was no news on his PhD & the university should check. The Con Man made excuses & 2/
successive admin heads & university leaders were lax, didn’t do their job & procrastinated. Meanwhile, the Con Man learnt to play the victim card, characterized any probing into his PhD as targeting & manipulated some students to agitate and politicize.