Have to say, I'm quite astonished having watched the recent CDC presentations on fulminant hepatitis in children. So much discussed on Adv, with a passing mention of COVID serology (not yet done). Not a single biopsy with Adv in the liver- yet children treated with antivirals.🧵
I'm a trained clinician and epidemiologist. During my clinical training, I'd have had to rigorously justify why I did any test (to avoid incidental positives), why I made a specific diagnosis on a patient, and why I treated for it. I can't really fathom what's happening here.
1) How plausible is it that Adv is doing this?
Let's look at Adv here- Adv 41F has *never* caused this. Other Advs have *never* caused hepatitis in healthy children.

2) Did we at least find Adv in the liver in these cases?No. This is the key feature of Adv fulminant hepatitis
If there's no evidence of Adv in the actually tissue affected- the literal *diagnostic criterion* for fulminant hepatitis- you simply cannot diagnose it.

The biopsies suggest some sort of auto-inflammatory process rather than direct infection.
On the other hand, this could be post-COVID. Why haven't we specifically evaluated this? Given we actually know SARS-CoV-2 causes hepatitis- both with direct infection, and post-infection (as part of MIS-C but also without). Many reports already show this.
The positivity for SARS-CoV-2 is in line with previous reports for MIS-C. And seropositivity in the very limited sampling we've seen is considerably high. And Israel and Austria have both reported past/recent SARS-CoV-2 infection in all cases.
Yet, we've gone down looking for a pathogen that's never done this before, & doesn't even fulfil the diagnostic criteria. And patients are being treated for this nevertheless? The treatment for several patients was cidofovir (an antiviral)
What worries me even more is that this is a continuing education teaching session on paediatric hepatitis from the CDC. Shouldn't we be teaching more critical thinking in clinical training? Any clinician would be hard pressed to justify the thinking and decisions made here.
Why are clinicians making this diagnosis, without the actual diagnostic criterion needed for this consulting with others who've treated this as post-inflammatory/post-COVID? Austria, Israel & Italy have done this- treated with immunomodulation.
Isn't it worth understanding their experience? Both Austria and Israel had previous COVID-19 in all cases. Isn't it worth understanding the clinical course, what the thinking behind the diagnosis was, and whether it improved with steroids?
It seems bizarre to me that we have this clinical entity that some countries are treating as post-infectious inflammatory, while others are treating with antivirals despite no evidence that the viral agent is causal. And without evaluating one of the more likely causes.
Had I presented this on grand rounds I'd have been hard pressed to justify:
1. Why I considered Adv as my 1st differential given lack of previous evidence & more plausible causes
2. How I diagnosed and treated for Adv fulminant hepatitis without the diagnostic criterion being met
From an epidemiological perspective it's hard to think about what criteria for causality are being met here. As the clinicians describe, there isn't even specificity, given 75% of patients in one cohort had more than one virus on testing. And the Advs weren't even the same type!
I know I'll be attacked for this thread, but this sort of groupthink in clinical medicine is worrying. Yes, I know these are difficult decisions to make because the stakes are high- but that's exactly why it's important to apply basic principles of clinical diagnostic work
And to me, these don't meet that standard. Nor do they meet the standards of any epidemiological investigation or criteria for causality. And it's astonishing to me that the most plausible cause *still* hasn't been investigated despite so much time gone by.
This is the really key part for me. We've had loads of tests done in different centres across the world- down to metagenomics and what not. Why don't we have COVID-19 serology- perhaps one of the 1st differentials that should've been considered here? I just don't get it.
And getting this right is vitally important. What if this is something that was post-infectious, and auto-inflammatory, and would benefit from steroid treatment? What if some children would be saved a transplant with the right treatment? So rapid assessment for this is vital.
If you're attacking me-please engage on the evidence, and justify how a clinical diagnosis of Adv can be made in this case, when the key diagnostic criterion isn't met. And how a patient can be treated without. And why after wks & wks we still don't have covid serologies for most
I mean even if Adv is playing a role here, isn't it more likely this is still a post-infectious or inflammatory response, given there is no virus in the liver? Shouldn't the treatment be tailored to that?
For those interested in watching:
emergency.cdc.gov/coca/calls/202…

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More from @dgurdasani1

May 20
Just find it truly bizarre that the @UKHSA hepatitis report that came out yesterday, while dedicating pages & pages to different ways to detect Adv has no mention of the results of the two most clinically important investigations:
-liver histopathology
-COVID-19 serology🧵
The report not only shows such low Adv virus loads so as to not even allowing sequencing, but also that among the 68% who did have Adv in blood, it wan't even necessarily the same type. Of those typed (only 35), 77% were 41F, & others presumably other types. US data similar.
I really don't understand the causal framework here- it fails on biological plausibility, specificity, consistency, dose-response -almost every criterion. It's present at high frequency, but is there any evidence that
it's causing the disease? It's not even the same subtype.
Read 12 tweets
May 17
Hearing from many parents struggling to access vaccination for their 5-11 yr olds. You can book appointments online for all 5+ through the online booking website- this will also tell you about walk-in centres near you (accessible with or without appts)
nhs.uk/conditions/cor…
Note: If your child belongs to a high risk group and the gap between doses is 8 wks for them (and not 12 wks), you may not be able to book with this gap using the website, but you can still drop-in to walk-in centres, with the letter showing that your child is eligible for this.
This is what we did- I wish the website did allow this, but it didn't at least when we booked for our daughter. But our walk-in centre didn't have much of a rush, so it wasn't much of a wait even without an appt. They just asked for the letter, and vaccinated her.
Read 4 tweets
May 17
We were sold removal of mitigations as vital to protect economy- now, when the Bank of England is sounding the alarm about poor recovery of the labour market due to long COVID/continuing shielding by those at risk, it's clear there was never a dichotomy between health & economy.
It's worth watching the clip- the Governor of the Bank of England actually states that this wasn't even seen after the deep 2008 recession. That this slow recovery of the labour market is worrying, and possibly represents long term impact of the pandemic

parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/eb…
Anyone see this being widely reported in the news? Given how important our economic growth is, as we head into another crisis? I was hoping that at least when the impact of unmitigated spread on economy was realised, our media would wake up, but that's too much to expect.
Read 7 tweets
May 14
First bit of analysis from the CDC on hepatitis cases out yesterday. Summary:
-232 cases <=16 yrs
-76% are <5 yrs
-15% admitted to ICU, 6% transplanted, 1 death
-60% adv positive
-74% SARS-CoV-2 positive on serology with 12% PCR +ve
🧵
Epidemiology of these cases- the vast majority have been identified this year, with numbers increasing from week 9 onwards. Cases were sporadically seen before this but appear to have been much rarer.
Across the countries examined in Europe, the highest number of reported cases are from the UK. Whether this is down to higher numbers here, or differences in surveillance isn't entirely clear yet. Population size will of course also make a difference.
Read 22 tweets
May 13
Several people have reached out to me with this problematic article in the Guardian. Having read it, I think it needs a thorough rebuttal. So here goes. 🧵
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
First, I agree with the author that the impact of omicron has been devastating- in terms of the numbers infected, the substantial increases in long COVID toll in the UK, and >18,600 deaths just this year (yes, deaths with COVID on the death certificate before anyone asks) Image
Yes, the BA.2 wave peaked without any mask mandates, because that's what epidemics do- there are waves that come, and die out from a combination of population immunity + behaviour change - until that immunity wanes and/or a new variant emerged. Image
Read 27 tweets
May 11
A question for those of you who're black/brown/marginalised/have faced adversity - given your different perspective on the world - how do you deal with feeling isolated/'outside' because of your diff experience/worldview - which would take immense labour to convey to anyone else?
I really struggle with this- often find myself in discussions where I feel like an outsider. These often seem irrelevant/abstract/philosophical to me. I find I can't contribute because they seem trivial to me - and out of touch with at least my view of reality.
How does anyone reconcile this? Or do you accept that you'll always be an outsider, and that's ok. And seek to make connections with people who share your experience, or can 'see' you and get you.
Read 5 tweets

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