Vivek Mashrani, CFA Profile picture
May 20 β€’ 16 tweets β€’ 4 min read
13 harsh truths about investing...

A thread...🧡
1. Markets are REGRET Machine

It starts off awesome...quick money, research, screenshots etc.

But then..

Stock can go up multifold after you sell it

It can start going down as soon as you buy it

If you don't buy and it goes up, you are unhappy

BE HAPPY IF YOU MAKE PROFITS
2. Risks will emerge very badly...you will have no idea WHEN and HOW...

Investing is RISKY....PERIOD...

Only thing that can save you is RISK MANAGEMENT, Asset Allocation and Your Behaviour...

3. Sometimes, you will fall in love with stocks...

Because

It was your first investment
or
You worked in that company
or
It was gifted to you

And even if it goes bad, we won't sell

BE DETACHED....that's advantage we have vs. promoter

Move On...Understand opportunity cost..
4. Adding more of companies which are not performing and causing big loss in our portfolio

We don't like losses...it creates loss aversion

And we tend to average down losers...please don't make this mistake...most people still do

This is another bitter truth about investing...
5. Follow-up to last point...

You will be scared to book losses and accept mistakes..

Taking profits is easy...taking loss in mistake is tough

Bite the bullet...take that loss and move on...don't ruin your portfolio..
6. Searching for reasons to buy your favorite stock or something which has come as stock tip

We tend to ignore anti-thesis....those risks built inside businesses while investing...

We just see positive side and jump in...looking for only positive validation...

BE BALANCED
7. FOMO is for real..fear of missing out when stocks are running fast...that momentum

Quick decisions can bring lot of pain

To avoid that...go slow...do proper research...take tracking position initially

Avoid FOMO...take fewer decisions
(Checkout video on my Youtube channel)
8. No matter how hard you try....you will never be able to perfectly understand any business 100%

You don't need to wait for perfection...

Even 80% big picture understanding is sufficient...

Remember: Investing is a game of probability not accurate forecasting
9. Best investments are made when thesis is simple..

Our brain keeps seeking complexity, jargons...

but best investments are those which can be explained to a 5 year old...

KEEP IT SIMPLE
10. Market will keep punishing those who don't learn from mistakes...

It's very important to keep learning and evolving...

Not just from your own mistakes but more importantly from other's mistakes..

My Video on mistakes:
11. Investing is a lonely game..

Yes, although it might look very glamourous during the bull market

Being Long term investor is a lonely game

You need to keep reading, researching, build conviction, convince yourself, be responsible for mistakes

Develop a good hobby alongside
12. SHIT HAPPENS

World is very dynamic...SHIT HAPPENS every time...

Be strong...have courage...have right mindset...

HAVE EMERGENCY FUNDS in Place

Have Health and Life insurance in place..

Diversify well...
13. As an investor, after doing research and sometimes after creating wealth....particularly during bull market, it feels we know it all...

But that's never the case...

Drop your EGO...be HUBLE...Keep Learning..

Respect Others..
Hope you found this thread useful...it would be great if you could retweet from the start of this thread and spread it with fellow investors...

You call follow me @MashraniVivek for more such content..
Check out my upcoming book trailer of #YouCanCompound here:

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More from @MashraniVivek

Mar 16
πŸ™

Special thanks to 75k Investor Friends

You have all been an inspiration for my learning journey.

Sincere gratitude to allπŸ™

Here is a return gift of ultimate guide for investing in the form of thread of threads

Hope you will enjoy it...Don't forget to bookmark these

πŸ’‘ Image
1>> Lessons of bull market....thinking to create a thread where I will keep posting on euphoria phase we all had been into.

No offense to anyone, we all are human and we make mistakes, just for serious learning.

2>> What happens when you go behind DIVIDEND YIELD ignoring GROWTH...

Educational thread based on learning from Mr. Market...

READ ON..

Read 12 tweets
Jan 15
Some amazing anecdote on Tax disputes in India..

This is about none other than NESTLE..

It was year of 1999..

2 decades ago...when they launched their signature product "KITKAT"

(1/n) Image
Commissioner of Excise challenged Kitkat...that it was not a WAFER but a CHOCOLATE..

Why?

Wafer was taxed @ 10%

While Chocolate was taxed @ 20%

So, while filing the tax, Nestle claimed that KitKat is 'Wafer coated with chocolate'.

So, we will pay 10% tax on it

But..

(2/n)
Tax authorities objected..

They said that it is "Chocolate coated with wafer inside". So, you have to pay 20% tax.

To solve the dispute, the matter was brought before the Mumbai Customs, Excise and Gold Tribunal.

What did court decide?

(3/n)
Read 6 tweets
Nov 13, 2021
Many times we wonder why is stock not moving despite future triggers...??

My learnings and understanding (please feel free to correct if you have any other insights)

I used to wonder that company has growth triggers in form of capex, operational enhancement in future
🧡

(1/n)
And it was in public domain, market knew that it's going to happen in future...

Then why are not market participants immediately jumping in and discount it?

Answer is 2 parts - Opportunity Cost and Operational/Execution Risk..

Let's go to deeper...

(2/n)
As an investor, we generally don't want to take execution or operational risk

What if capex is delayed?
What if they are not able to execute?
what if they don't get regulatory clearance?

If you understand probabilistic bayesian thought process, we need to give weights..

(3/n)
Read 11 tweets
Nov 2, 2021
New game-changer addition announced by Income Tax Department..AIS is the name

This will make tax filing more easy and evasion more difficult...Bliss for honest citizens...

Detailed statement for majority of your tax needs..

So what is AIS? Let's understand..

(1/n)
AIS - Annual Information Statement

Is it replacing 26AS? No...this is an additional statement..

This is much granular - includes dividends, shares/MF transactions, Salary, outward remittances, savings bank interest and much more...

(2/n)
So basically income tax department pretty much knows all your financial transactions touching bank/ demat (at least now they are telling you)

Do we need to worry about?

Absolutely not - infact it will help file accurate tax returns & avoid any penalty

How it looks like?

(3/n)
Read 7 tweets
Sep 26, 2021
🎯

Most successful investors will have 3-5 companies in 1-2 decade that made it big....

Question is - will you get these on day 1 of building your portfolio?

Will you know which company will make it BIG?

Answer is NO...

So what to do..?

Here are my thoughts..

🧡🧡

(1/n)
We just hear success stories of famous investors who made it big in few companies by holding for long term...

But there are thousands who failed...thousands of companies closed down..just vanished..

It's survivorship bias..

We ignore luck and process..

(2/n)
So if only few companies will make it big...can initial big allocation work in all companies in portfolio

Most likely NO..you will have loosers too (and we will only know in hindsight) which will suck capital

Even if this works, CAGR returns on portfolio will be moderate

(3/n)
Read 13 tweets
Sep 10, 2021
🎯

How understand world of investing and capital through the lens of Cycles..

Time for a thread on an amazing book "CAPITAL RETURNS"..

Capital is the engine of all cycles if you think about it..

And we need framework around it.. which is
(1/n)
🧡🧡🧡

amzn.to/38ZlhE1
Theme of this book how capital cycles can help predict periods of booms and bursts for an industry.

If you can understand these 4 stages

You can understand how changes in amount of capital employed / supply within any industry are likely to impact future returns..

How?

(2/n)
Ultimately, it's all about demand and supply...world, countries, economies, companies, products

Stage-1: New investors in any sector/industry gets attracted by prospects of high returns

Think about startups around us...they see problems..they see opportunities..

Next is

(3/n)
Read 14 tweets

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