1⃣We are not going to limit warming to no more than 1.5°C. Anyone who says otherwise is misinformed, or in denial, or dishonest. Does that mean we are doomed in the future? Ask that question to someone suffering the brutal heat in India. eu.usatoday.com/story/news/wor…
2⃣Accepting the failure of the Paris Agreement means stopping asking for "more political will". We cannot continue to have faith in the political & economic systems that are unable to deliver the scale of change required. unfccc.int/process-and-me…
3⃣We've had decades of fine words & pledges but the fundamentals remain. 80% of global energy is still supplied by fossil fuels. That's 1970s levels. iea.org/reports/world-… 
4⃣Fossil fuel use & emissions continue to increase. Remember #BuildBackBetter? It would be a disaster if we simply powered back all the fossil fuelled systems paused during the Covid19 lockdowns... iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
5⃣The only way politicians can continue to claim that "1.5 is still alive" is by invoking imaginary carbon removal in the future. How will this work? Who knows? The assumption seems to be that large-scale removal will work because it has to work.
6⃣This is wishful thinking. And rather than call it out, academics I fear all too often actively support it with the most fabulous scenarios that produce a 'safe landing' at 1.5 - scenarios that I would not be surprised to learn they have zero faith in. nature.com/articles/d4158…
7⃣It seems we will all play this game until 1.5 is passed in about a decade. By that time we will be in the same place we are now but with barelling past 2°C on the cards. nature.com/articles/52102…
8⃣And then what? Back to the "are we doomed?" question. The world will not end at 1.5. Perhaps tipping points will be triggered but they will take many years to unfold. media.nature.com/original/magaz…
9⃣Simply and brutally put: more warming means more destruction, suffering & death. Unless you are really rich, private-army-owning-huge-estate-in-New-Zealand-rich, then climate change is coming for you. And even then there comes a point... theconversation.com/climate-change…
🔟The risk with end of civilisation doomism is that it erodes away the understanding of what there is to fight for right now - which is everything! But for us to have any chance, we must accept where we are, what has failed & failing.
1⃣1⃣There is a dangerous tendancy to hold the line, to double down, to argue for one more push. This is locking us into further warming. It's not as if we don't have a vast number of alternative approaches to take. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
1⃣2⃣Saying 1.5 is over doesn't mean getting over 1.5. It doesn't mean giving up. It means we should fight harder for climate justice. 🙏 theconversation.com/climate-breakd…
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