Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 26, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Getting MLRS guided rockets in either M142 HIMARS wheeled or M270 tracked launchers represents a phase shift increase in artillery capability for Ukraine.👇

MLRS Technology Thread🧵
1/
American Guided MLRS artillery rockets are a combat proven precision guided weapon (thousands fired) with a 200lb (90.7kg) insensitive explosive warhead equipped with multi option fuzing that is set electronically.

They use GPS & inertial guidance for 3 meter accuracy.
2/
Both the US move away from cluster munitions & the 30 year rocket age have seen early MLRS unguided rockets disposed of.

And while pilot quantities of GMLRS were built with cluster munitions in the early 2000's. Most (>99%) GMLRS built have unitary warheads.
3/
To restore lost lethality of cluster munitions against radars, towed artillery & missile launchers in peer combat, a modified version of GMLRS has been given a much improved fragmentation warhead.

This "Alternate Warhead" will be available for GMLRS ammo shipments to Ukraine.
4/
Given the bad memories of losing soldiers to unexploded M26 rocket cluster munitions in 1991's Desert Storm operations. The US Army spend a lot of money to make the GMLRS fuze as reliable as possible, in addition to being multi-option.

It functioned 74/75 times in testing.
5/
It is accurate to say that the arrival of GMLRS missiles, and their launchers in numbers similar to the M777, in Ukraine's hands will overwhelm both Russian artillery and the railway logistics it in the Donbas.

The USA has over 40,000 GMLRS missiles available in stock.

6/
This is the Lockheed-Martin video celebrating the 50,000th GMLRS produced.

The recent lot 14 production award was for 9,500 GMLRS unitary and alternative-warhead (AW) rockets and over 300 low-cost reduced-range training rockets.

7/End

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More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 19
This is a wonderful thread by @DWB55 dealing with human porter logistics in the South West Pacific Theater.⬇️

But wait, there's more!

1/
MacArthur's SWPA is one of the least studied Theater of WW2 in terms of signals, electronic warfare, and littoral logistics.

I did a 2020 thread laying much of that out.
2/
@DWB55 gives the Australian side of those human porter efforts.

My earlier thread gave the American air supply portion with an eye towards the signals efforts involved.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 17
Yes, the head of the USSS really is gaslighting the heck out of the American public over her agency's incompetence, rather than resigning like she should.

Federal agencies, like Russian propagandists, use a "firehose of falsehoods" to confuse the...

Fed lying two-step🧵
1/
...audience & fragment any emerging consensus on what should be done. That way none of them get fired.

Incompetence led to negligence that created an opportunity for a nut hearing Ross Perot in his fillings to take a shot.

Admitting either incompetence or negligence...

2/
...or both is career suicide.

We saw this after 9/11/2001.

We saw it in the Afghan pull out.

We saw it in the Pentagon's prediction Kyiv would fall in 3-to-5 days.

3/ Image
Read 9 tweets
Jul 17
It's nice to someone at the Economist finally got around to reading Nadin Brzezinski's July 17, 2022 article "Logistics Collapse" about the lack of Russian artillery barrel specialty steel

The death of the Russian God of War🧵
1/
nadinbrzezinski.medium.com/logistics-coll…

Image
...or low production capability with that subpar steel.

That we are seeing Russian artillery tube mass burn out now was absolutely predictable years ago.

I was talking about it being a limiting factor in the summer of 2022.

2/
It was utterly simple beer math that Western Logistical Intelligence seems to have missed, just like it missed the lack of Russian artillery shell pallets & truck bed D-rings.

This is stuff so simple that a retired DCMA quality guy can do it.
3/
Read 21 tweets
Jul 16
Where we are here because the head of the USSS didn't immediately resign:

"...it’s just a question of active malice at worst vs spiteful incompetence at best."

This will have mid-term effects leading to a new political spoils hiring system for the Federal Civil Service.

1/
Diversity, Equity and Inclusion hiring objectives in the Federal Civil Service picks AGAINST professional merit.

That is, D.E.I. is not professional. It is a form of political spoils system.

There is a reason for the meme that DEI stands for "Didn't Earn It."

2/
The USSS incompetently letting Trump get shot in the head, the failed COVID-19 mandatory vax jab & the disastrous Afghan pullout have destroyed the public's trust in the "Professional Federal Civil Service."

No one was fired for incompetence nor can be.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16
>>Chinese PLA: "You need to use forklifts and pallets. There are huge manpower savings and cargo productivity advantages in using them"

>>Russians: "Why? Mobiks are good enough and always more mobiks backs where those came from."

1/
>>Chinese PLA: Seriously?!?

>>Russians: Seriously, comrade.

2/
>>Chinese PLA: Do you Russian Army officers know what a pallet or forklift look like?

3/3 End
Read 4 tweets
Jul 15
The videos of the USSS catastrophic failure during the assassination attempt on former President Trump are beyond control and are utterly toxic for public trust that the Federal government is fair and has institutional competency.

(Image H/T @Peoples_Pundit)
1/ Image
A public mea culpa would have been the smart play for the USSS bureaucracy.

Instead we are getting the gaslighting that we always see from Feds that are engaged in bureaucratic group narcissism and the institutional failure that groupthink dictates.

2/ Image
The only reasonable explanation for the current director of the USSS not speaking out about her agency's failure in letting an assassin shoot Former Pres. Trump in the head is that she is busy lawyering up for the FBI investigation...
3/ Image
Read 8 tweets

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