Duo Nine โšก YCC Profile picture
May 28, 2022 โ€ข 20 tweets โ€ข 11 min read โ€ข Read on X
1/ #USDD is NOT a stablecoin! WHAT? ๐Ÿ˜ฒ

Here's my review of the USDD cryptocurrency on #Tron network. #TRX

Read the above again. This is the label they used for USDD in their whitepaper!

A clear red flag & there are more.

You asked & I delivered. A thread. ๐Ÿงต

๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡
2/ What is #USDD?

USDD is a cryptocurrency native to #Tron network.

This is nothing big on its own.

However, if you thought USDD was a regular stablecoin, I got a surprise for you. ๐Ÿ‘‡
3/ Check out this abstract from the USDD whitepaper.

Highlights are mine.

Let me dissect that for you in more detail below.

There is a reason the whitepaper is so... vague.

It's pretty obvious what's going on. ๐Ÿ‘‡
4/ "a cryptocurrency issued by Tron DAO Reserve"

This means it is centralized, full stop. Don't be fooled.

Look at Terra/Luna if you are in doubt (see link).

The Tron DAO has some clear members calling the shots.

Let's check them out. ๐Ÿ‘‡

5/ Whenever you read USDD is decentralized it means these "members" are in charge of it (see pics).

The Tron DAO Reserve is controlled by them and so is USDD issuance & burn.

If you hold USDD, you in effect trust these entities with your money.

Not convinced? ๐Ÿ‘‡
6/ The only thing decentralized about USDD is the Tron network.

The rest is about the above members sitting down & deciding "monetary policy" for USDD.

That is their whitepaper language, not mine! ๐Ÿคฃ

Let us check the peg mechanism next... now we get to the juicy stuff. ๐Ÿ‘‡
7/ "a cryptocurrency [...] with a stable price"

Nowhere in the whitepaper do they say that #USDD should be pegged to the USD at a 1:1 rate.

NOWHERE!

USDD could very well be "pegged" to the USD at 10 cents in the future & it would still work as intended!

Wait, what? ๐Ÿ‘‡
8/ They do explain how the peg mechanism works, it is similar to Luna. ๐Ÿคฃ

But the peg rate could be any: $1, 50 cents, 10 cents... or 0.

Users & arbitrageurs "can" choose to re-peg, or not! ๐Ÿ˜…

This is where things get fuzzy & funny! ๐Ÿ‘‡
9/ We have little info on #USDD backing.

The USDD "reserve" did buy some USDT + BTC to "defend" the peg.

Do they have enough in the reserve to back USDD? Probably not.

But this is fine so long TRX market cap > USDD mcap.

If not, see UST. Next ๐Ÿ‘‡

10/ Today's USDD mcap is 0.6 bil vs Tron's 7.7 bil mcap.

Not bad.

But I'd be very careful once USDD mcap is more than half of TRX mcap.

So why even do this, what do those "DAO members" gain? What's the incentive?

Leverage, arbitrage & market share! ๐Ÿ‘‡
11/ First, they can issue USDD against TRX market cap without backing. Yay free money!

This is similar to what Do Kwon did with UST, then bought BTC for free!

But they need to be careful as they can crash USDD/TRX if they leverage too high.

Next ๐Ÿ‘‡

12/ Second, only these DAO members "manage" the peg mechanism & can make a lot of profit from it.

Every time USDD goes above or below $1, they stand to profit.

If it goes too low, will they save the peg? For UST, $3 bil was not enough to save it.

What about the USDD users? ๐Ÿ‘‡
13/ To boost USDD market share (= pump TRX + leverage more), the "Tron DAO" gives incentives to users.

Sun.io USDD & USDT pool has 30% APY at the time of this post.

Not bad, but the risks are clear.

If USDD mcap gets too big = crash. ๐Ÿคฏ

What should you do?
14/ Understand that USDD market cap is basically a leverage position on the ENTIRE Tron ecosystem!

See Terra / Luna crash for more (video)

If they get greedy, as Lunatics did, it will end in disaster for all involved

Plus, remember the whitepaper? ๐Ÿ‘‡

15/ To me, they have NO OBLIGATION to keep the peg at 1:1 with USD.

Even the title of their whitepaper is "Decentralized Stablecoin Protocol"

That can mean ANYTHING.

Don't be fooled or get too greedy, it may cost you. ๐Ÿ‘‡
16/ USDD is neither decentralized nor a safe stablecoin.

These labels mean little so long there is no transparency on its backing or the "USDD DAO" decisions.

Check out my guide on stablecoins to learn more.

Next ๐Ÿ‘‡

17/ Do your due diligence!

USDD may offer a juicy +30% yield, but is that worth the risks?

Are you comfortable with losing all your money?

This is exactly what happened to #UST + all token holders across the entire Terra ecosystem!

My risk assessment on USDD is next. ๐Ÿ‘‡
18/ Calling #USDD a stablecoin is very misleading & risky!

Calling it a cryptocurrency is much better, as per their whitepaper. ๐Ÿคฃ

If you are a degen, you can farm that yield no questions asked.

Just get out early & don't look back once USDD mcap grows too big.

Finally ๐Ÿ‘‡
19/ If you liked this thread, #retweet the first post to get more of this content in the future! ๐Ÿ˜

Stay in touch + follow @DU09BTC:

Discord: bit.ly/3n2gng0
TradingView: bit.ly/3FUjwHj
YouTube: bit.ly/3p8vPdf
Newsletter: bit.ly/3MUpkna
Retweet for more content like this! ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

Thank you!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
ใ€€

Keep Current with Duo Nine โšก YCC

Duo Nine โšก YCC Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DU09BTC

Apr 9
๐Ÿšจ There is a hidden war on Solana between big players.

Users have no clue, but the consequence of that are endless failed transactions!

There is only so much space available and the ones with the bigger guns win.

Here's what they don't tell you. A thread (1/10). ๐Ÿงต Image
2/ Big players on Solana are at war. How?

They DDOS each other for block space priority.

The victims of this war are Solana users. You can't get your transaction confirmed because big players take up all that space for themselves to come on top.

Here's how they wage war. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
3/ A specific Solana wallet can be attacked by spamming it from +100 different bot wallets.

You DDOS it every second with the smallest Solana unit = a Lamport or 0.000000001 SOL!

What happens next will surprise you. ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Read 11 tweets
Apr 2
๐Ÿงต Issuing $100 mil DAI to farm USDe is one thing, issuing billions is asking to get hurt.

Why does MakerDAO plan to risk it and mint $1 bil DAI to farm Ethena yields?

Can DAI depeg when USDe inevitably falls under $1?

A bold move or something else? A thread (1/20). ๐Ÿ‘‡
2/ This post was inspired by AAVE Chan founder @lemiscate who raised the alarm.

TLRD: He's right. MakerDAO actions are reckless and fueled by greed.

But if you take a closer look at the risks for DAI, a new image emerges. ๐Ÿ‘‡

3/ MakerDAO is printing free cash right now, at your expense, of course.

They issued 100 mil DAI which can only be accessed by borrowing it against USDe/sUSDe collateral.

At a HUGE costs for users & mega profits for Maker - 66% APY on 100 mil!

What's really happening here? Image
Read 21 tweets
Feb 20
1/ What Ethena has built is impressive & hard. A short ๐Ÿงต

The reason every big name is on board is the opportunity for profits.

For every perpetual long in crypto, Ethena will be the counterparty farming the ETH funding rates you pay.

A day after launch, USDe TVL is $300 mil Image
2/ Ethena is impressive due to its scale, complexities required and parties involved, but also benefits.

USDe is a synthetic stable 100% backed by a delta neutral ETH position farming yields:

50% stETH (spot), 3-6% APY
50% ETH short position, funding rates <30% APY

Nice eh? Image
3/ Exchanges (DEX & CEX) are happy because of all that liquidity & volume & fees.

USDe stakers (sUSDe) are happy because the yield is real.

USDe users are happy because they have a censorship resistant stable + ETH users see prices go up.

But at what risks? Plenty of that. Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 6
๐Ÿšจ Are Liquid Staking Tokens (LST) creating a ponzi?

โ–ซ๏ธ I stake ETH and get stETH
โ–ซ๏ธ I re-stake stETH and get lpETH
โ–ซ๏ธ I re-stake lpETH and get xxETH
โ–ซ๏ธ ...infinity...

stETH lost its peg vs ETH in the past!

This will turn into a giant crash one day.
Image
Image
You cannot create more value from NOTHING!

Restacking and LST tokens start to sound like ponzinomics to me.

Every cycle of re-stacking is just MORE LEVERAGE on the original asset, i.e. Ethereum!

When the peg WILL be lost, it will be BRUTAL.

Plan for it if you use LST. 100%!
Oh and if you think your ETH is safe in stETH, it's not!

You can lose all your ETH by staking. The risk is real and material.

The bigger this LST bubble gets and the deeper you go in the cycles, the higher your risk of losing it all.

If you value your ETH, don't do LST. ๐Ÿ‘€
Read 4 tweets
Dec 15, 2023
๐Ÿงต The best trader in the world is Jim Simons.

Average yearly return of 66% for 30 years. His Medallion Fund is open only to his staff.

His secret? Mechanical trading using computers and gazillions of data to predict the future.

He lived in 2023 back in 1988. But there's more! Image
2/ To join him you need a degree in computer science, mathematics, physics or statistics.

Out of 300 employees, 100 have a PhD in the above. If you're a Wall Street trader you wont be hired.

In the beginning, he failed as a trader using traditional methods. Image
3/ As a math genius, he knew he could build an algo to beat everyone else and remove emotion from trades.

โ€œIf we have enough data, I know we can make predictions.โ€

His algo works best at $10 bil before returns decline.

Their data set grows by more than 40 terabytes a day. Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 6, 2023
I've been researching @THORChain

They say you can take loans at:

๐Ÿ”ธ 0% interest
๐Ÿ”ธ no liquidations
๐Ÿ”ธ no expiry

What? Here are my findings. A thread. ๐Ÿงต

(01/16) #RUNE Image
2/ I became intrigued by RUNE pumping after they launched their new lending mechanism.

If their loan terms don't surprise you, then this may:

๐Ÿ”ธ They don't even want you to pay back your loan

What's going on here? Red flag or a smart design? Image
3/ Every time you deposit collateral, the lending mechanism uses it to buy RUNE, then sells half to pay you in USD.

Price pumps + they burn RUNE too = less supply

See where this is going?

Note that they LIQUIDATE ALL your collateral!

They don't want you to come back - why? Image
Read 16 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(