Thread by @TrentTelenko

This is a Starlink in Ukraine & future history thread🧵

In case you all haven't noticed, Starlink connected to the Ukrainian 'Gis Arta' artillery C3I app in a vehicle mobile device is pure death for Russians.

For which, see here👇

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https://twitter.com/kms_d4k/status/1532721470262153222

And also see Ukraine's PzH-2000 155mm self-propelled gun software upgrade here:

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https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1533434784843702272

The Russians have a great many reasons to be utterly pissed off at Elon Musk.

I have referred to the Russo-Ukrainian War as the "First Starlink War" for many good & sufficient reasons.

The military & political power accruing to Musk from Starlink and Starship will not
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...be broken up by the American SCOTUS for the next 20 years.

And I mentioned the military dimension for a reason. If Russia wants to start "Space War One" with Elon. It will lose it for logistical reasons.

1st, Russia failed at hacking Starlink.

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2nd, every satellite with a working thruster can be an anti-satellite weapon ONCE.

Musk has more ion drive 'space ammo' than everyone else in humanity combined & can launch it faster & cheaper than Russia without Starship.

Software used to avoid space impacts can be used
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...to direct them.

And this leaves out the possibility that multiple close approaches by Starlink satellite's won't be arranged such that a Russian ASAT gets blasted & 'soft killed' by Kryption fueled ion thrusters using temporarily positive-charged ion thrust streams.

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And by the way, with sufficient warning from the US Space Force, the delta vee that Starlink satellites have from their ion thrusters make them a slippery target for an orbital maneuvering ASAT.

Superior specific impulse & long burn times do that.
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This doesn't mean a direct assent Russian ASAT can't tag a Starlink bird.

The problem is that after the 1st try, they will be harder to hit.

Plus, Musk's SpaceX simply has more replacement Starlink satellites in his next Falcon-9 launch than Russia has direct assent ASATs.
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So playing high tech "Hybrid War" with SpaceX is a losing hand for the Putin Regime.

Russia attacking SpaceX launch or control facilities in the territory of USA will start a war Putin is guaranteed to lose.

That leaves assassination, which is where Ukraine comes in.
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However the Russo-Ukrainian War ends, the Ukrainian people will be a very close political and military ally of Musk for the rest of his life.

It is a Ukrainian blood debt to be repaid to Elon Musk which hits a whole lot of deep cultural identity keys
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...in the Ukrainian national character.

There is a lot that flows from that fact which many of Musk's detractors & enemies clearly have not begun to think through.

A lot of Humanity's future history will have its roots in this 21st century blood-debt relationship.
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Frankly, things have been so "science fiction turned reality" lately.

I would not be surprised if SpaceX gets a detachment of Ukrainian Space Marine-Astronauts for Elon's personal & Martian colony security in the 2030's.

12/End