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Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
@ZiadFazel
Jun 7, 2022 • 8 tweets • 23 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Alberta continues to burn deeper into exponential growth of COVID-19, worse than any other province.

Led by Calgary, by far worst in Canada, with cases doubling every 4.2 Generation cycles, at 3.5 days/cycle = doubling every ~14 days.

Joined by Edmonton. Central & North close.
Both the daily R from @imgrund and semi-weekly Wastewater Sampling at @ucalgaryCHI are leading indicators of #COVID19AB prevalence, ~5 days ahead of PCR.

Calgary has not recovered from 6th Wave, which GoA launched w rushed drop of safety measures through Feb (latest data 2 Jun).
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI More recent wastewater sampling shows:
• Edmonton had more pronounced surge in May, and is rising again
• Medicine Hat & High River rising again
• Banff never recovered from May surge

We're sitting ducks for Omicron's ongoing mutation without (proven, simple) safety measures.
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall As I said ⬆️, R & Wastewater Sampling predict PCR results by ~5 days.

covid-tracker.chi-csm.ca

We can already see test positivity stopped falling in Calgary AHS Zone, per GoA stats 30 June. Watch tomorrow's release for 5 June stats.

alberta.ca/stats/covid-19…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall What happens when you ignore:
• leading indicators like R & 💩
• current measures like PCR %

or lie that hospital admissions you promised to "closely monitor" are not rising?

1. Hospitals so full capacity is negative
2. Ambulances get tied up waiting
3. Lots of Albertans die
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall You must be asking how Hospital Capacity becomes negative - even a province-wide average.

According to @HQCA, it is when patients are shoehorned into hallways & lounges. AFAIK, doesn't count "blocked beds" where people wait in ER or ambulance for a bed.

focus.hqca.ca/emergencydepar…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall @HQCA @AHS_media is supposed to report certain performance measures like Hospital Occupancy quarterly.

But I see nothing more recent than quarter ended 30 Sep 2021, reported 16 Nov. At least @HQCA gives us end Dec 2021.

By now we should have 31 Mar 2022.

albertahealthservices.ca/about/Page1264…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall @HQCA @AHS_media An example how old, averaged stats are misleading. Hides overflow at individual hospitals.

Red Deer Regional was at 82% 👍 in December 2021.

By April 2022, 14 ambulances backed up and surgeries being moved to other cities.

/c @HSAAlbertaEMS @PfParks

globalnews.ca/news/8850342/a…

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More from @ZiadFazel

Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Mar 23
Thank you Markham and Houston Energy Economist @edhirs for a fresh analysis this morning on the chaos from Trump knowing how to Start a War, but not End a War.

Oil, LNG and fertilizer I knew, but apparently aluminum now too.

I’ve read elsewhere about pharmaceutical feedstock…
You two have a nice combination of academic rigor but also straight talk.

Here’s the post I saw on pharmaceutical feedstock, using acetaminophen example. I believe Atabay in Turkey uses slightly different process. Bad importer for Canada, tho’.

@LukesDrugMart @TheBreakdownAB
@LukesDrugMart @TheBreakdownAB On @NewsHour 4 March, US Sen Katie Britt "explained" why MAGA voted down debate on war, claiming Trump had it under control.

But plan is vague, only considered offence, not Iran's pushback, creeped in interview "days" ➡️ "weeks".

@edhirs @politicalham
pbs.org/newshour/show/…
Read 4 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Jan 6
I have watched, and learned from, fellow professional engineers responsibly warning govs + public for over 35 years.

@cityofcalgary Infrastructure GM Michael Thompson, over 10 years.

Can't recall warnings so grave as #BearspawSouthFeederMain yesterday.

Gm Michael Thompson, PEng, begins his update
"5 6 7 8 9 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 views Streamed live on 5 Jan 2026 The City of Calgary’s focus remains to fix the impacted portion of the Bearspaw South Feeder Main to bring it back into service next week and take pressure off the smaller Glenmore Water Treatment Plant. With water usage trending higher, Infrastructure Services General Manager Michael Thompson said the overreliance on the Glenmore Treatment Plan...
"Unlike the 2024 break – where multiple repairs were made before the feeder main was brought back into service – the priority will be to get the Bearspaw South Feeder Main back up and running as soon as possible and reinforcing parts of the line as future work. “This work will likely include reinforcing segments of pipe using the concrete encasement method which we used in 2024,” said Thompson. “These reinforcements will take place as soon as possible, no later than the spring of 2026." The dependability of feeder main line remains a concern and will continue to be until a ne...
"The dependability of feeder main line remains a concern and will continue to be until a new, parallel line, is put in place. “I understand this news regarding the stability of the pipe is not what anyone wants to hear,” said Thompson. “While planning for urgent reinforcement work, we will be looking for every possible opportunity to advance the Bearspaw South Feeder Main Replacement project to get us out of this vulnerable situation.” Thompson said shutdowns of the feeder main in Spring and Fall, may be necessary to complete reinforcement work.
@cityofcalgary @paulisci @DuaneBratt @TheBreakdownAB @RobBreakenridge @LiveWireCalgary @CTVMarkVillani @CBCScott @davidbarrettyyc @JeromyYYC @iceTyyc GM Thompson stressed we're big city on two small rivers, which themselves are dependent on snowmelt from the Rockies.

For too long, we have tolerated lack of redundancy in essential water services.

I see hard limits to Calgary's growth: short + long term.
@jvipondmd @sameo416
@cityofcalgary @paulisci @DuaneBratt @TheBreakdownAB @RobBreakenridge @LiveWireCalgary @CTVMarkVillani @CBCScott @davidbarrettyyc @JeromyYYC @iceTyyc @jvipondmd @sameo416 Mayor @JeromyYYC described Bearspaw South Feeder Main as "beating heart" of Calgary's water system.

With hindsight, Bearspaw South Feeder Main = aorta, the largest artery in the body.

It can no longer reliably carry flow & pressure from heart = Bearspaw Water Treatment Plant. Medical diagram of aorta from https://www.vch.ca/en/your-heart-and-how-it-works
Read 5 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Dec 2, 2025
🧵
On #GivingTuesday, my surprisingly bushy #Movember broom and I would like you to support @YYC_counselling. Here's why.

Today, 2 Dec 2025, is the LAST day for donations from you to be matched by an anonymous donor, thereby 2X your money.

1/
In August 2011, @BalBrach @CBCCalgary was assigned to the story, because IIRC 18% of victims that @CalgaryPolice encountered were men, but there was no gov program to support them/us.

@YYC_counselling offered a donation-funded program, and they recommended me to interview.

2/
@BalBrach @CBCCalgary @CalgaryPolice @YYC_counselling I'd recently completed a 14-week group therapy program for Male Victims of Domestic Violence.

CCC continually improves, so you can see its successor here "Turn for the Better" in its list of Group Counselling Programs, but only "On Demand" due to $$.

3/
calgarycounselling.com/counselling/gr…
Read 8 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Sep 21, 2025
The drummer in this video is my favourite person this weekend. Everything about her is energetic performance:
• drumming of course
• hair
• silver jumpsuit
• attitude.

I want to power into EVERY Monday morning with that energy.

@FionaMattatall

@FionaMattatall Here is the same band performing:

Simple Minds - Someone Somewhere In Summertime (Live from Paisley Abbey)

They're all having a great time, but she is a combination of Determined and Delighted.

I just found my wake-up with or without caffeine videos.

@FionaMattatall Found her! Thanks to @YouTube always working to make lists + mixes for me, her name is Cherisse Osei @Cherissedrums and she is deservedly a @ZildjianCompany artist.

This is a technical showcase. Watch her light up in front of a big live audience.

Read 4 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Jul 9, 2025
Yesterday @Rogers @RogersHelps [sic] "Terry in Charlottetown, PEI" cancelled my home office internet service AGAINST MY EXPRESS INSTRUCTIONS in order to upsell me to new plan.

Can @TELUSsupport move up my install date from 16 July to add @TELUS TV & Internet to my mobile plan? Page 1 of 3-page chat transcript between me and Rogers
Page 2 of 3-page chat transcript between me and Rogers
Page 3 of 3-page chat transcript between me and Rogers
Rogers INSISTS that they have not outsourced their support to India, or anyone. Given that my phone call of two (2) hours on Saturday was with 2 Indians with insufficient authority or account access, including "Jaz the tech support supervisor in Calgary" [what a coincidence!]...
I say that is BS. I was a loyal Shaw customer for years because they were based in Calgary. The transition to Rogers was a mess: passwords + challenge questions/answers got lost in the shift.

Rogers does not empower their "support" to support. Only to stall, obstruct or upsell.
Read 9 tweets
Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦💉 Profile picture
Jun 16, 2025
If you come to Palomino early enough on a weekday, the soup of the day may still be available.

Having lunch here now at 1.30pm and first time for me, and it is heaven.

Clam chowder with a delicacy in the spices and herbs you wouldn’t expect from a “BBQ Joint”.

Thank you Chef. My photo of my clam chowder with unexpected cornbread loaf on the side.
My mistake. CORN chowder, not clam chowder as I said above.

First bite blew me away, so I tweeted right away. They have a similar classic base, IIRC.

I can’t eat pork, so I got it without bacon garnish (therefore also vegetarian).

For those who do 🐖, party on people. My photo of chalkboard sidewalk sign.
For “main course” you need video, not photo.

This is Elote Taco Salad, with the smoked turkey I added, to the music of Talking Heads “Burning Down the House” which Palomino provides with your meal.

After the soup, at least half of this will go home for dinner/midnight snack.
My screenshot of “Greens” section of menu.
Read 5 tweets

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