Ziad 😷 Fazel 🇨🇦🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jun 7, 2022 8 tweets 23 min read Read on X
Alberta continues to burn deeper into exponential growth of COVID-19, worse than any other province.

Led by Calgary, by far worst in Canada, with cases doubling every 4.2 Generation cycles, at 3.5 days/cycle = doubling every ~14 days.

Joined by Edmonton. Central & North close.
Both the daily R from @imgrund and semi-weekly Wastewater Sampling at @ucalgaryCHI are leading indicators of #COVID19AB prevalence, ~5 days ahead of PCR.

Calgary has not recovered from 6th Wave, which GoA launched w rushed drop of safety measures through Feb (latest data 2 Jun).
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI More recent wastewater sampling shows:
• Edmonton had more pronounced surge in May, and is rising again
• Medicine Hat & High River rising again
• Banff never recovered from May surge

We're sitting ducks for Omicron's ongoing mutation without (proven, simple) safety measures.
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall As I said ⬆️, R & Wastewater Sampling predict PCR results by ~5 days.

covid-tracker.chi-csm.ca

We can already see test positivity stopped falling in Calgary AHS Zone, per GoA stats 30 June. Watch tomorrow's release for 5 June stats.

alberta.ca/stats/covid-19…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall What happens when you ignore:
• leading indicators like R & 💩
• current measures like PCR %

or lie that hospital admissions you promised to "closely monitor" are not rising?

1. Hospitals so full capacity is negative
2. Ambulances get tied up waiting
3. Lots of Albertans die
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall You must be asking how Hospital Capacity becomes negative - even a province-wide average.

According to @HQCA, it is when patients are shoehorned into hallways & lounges. AFAIK, doesn't count "blocked beds" where people wait in ER or ambulance for a bed.

focus.hqca.ca/emergencydepar…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall @HQCA @AHS_media is supposed to report certain performance measures like Hospital Occupancy quarterly.

But I see nothing more recent than quarter ended 30 Sep 2021, reported 16 Nov. At least @HQCA gives us end Dec 2021.

By now we should have 31 Mar 2022.

albertahealthservices.ca/about/Page1264…
@imgrund @ucalgaryCHI @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @LeylaDAsadi @jvipondmd @demandsbetter @noelgibney @stuckncalgary @kasza_leslie @Adam_Toy @FionaMattatall @HQCA @AHS_media An example how old, averaged stats are misleading. Hides overflow at individual hospitals.

Red Deer Regional was at 82% 👍 in December 2021.

By April 2022, 14 ambulances backed up and surgeries being moved to other cities.

/c @HSAAlbertaEMS @PfParks

globalnews.ca/news/8850342/a…

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More from @ZiadFazel

Apr 7
🧵I live dangerously. Last night I was on the Red Line headed north from Somerset, shortly after the après-Flames crowd had thinned.

I threw on my respirator as I boarded (measles is transmitted by aerosol, as are COVID and influenza and RSV, etc)

You know where this goes…
A fellow train rider already seated 1 m away to my left took issue with it, even though (I swear) I did not offer him a respirator to wear.

So, even if I were to believe Droplet nonsense, we were within each other’s 2 m ABSOLUTELY SAFE SOCIAL DISTANCING MINIMUM.

Chatty fellow.
He asked me if I was aware “that f-ing thing did nothing for me.”

As I had not reviewed the gentleman’s curriculum vitae before our impromptu debate, I chose to nod, in submission to his likely superior IPAC gravitas.
Read 24 tweets
Mar 14
🧵Respected Alberta political scientist @DuaneBratt posted in the friendlier place this same-day review of Health Min LaGrange's Statement of Defence in wrongful termination lawsuit from fired AHS CEO Athana Mentzelopoulos.

I have some thoughts too...

skyview.social/?url=https%3A%…
@DuaneBratt AB Justice Minister posted a link to the Statement of Defence from the Dropbox of a Heather Jenkins, who appears to be the Ministry's Press Secretary.

alberta.ca/news-spokesper…

x.com/mickeyamery/st… Screenshot of Min Amery's link showing the Statement of Defence on Heather Jenkins' Dropbox.
Screenshot from GoA "Media Inquiries" page showing role of Ms Jenkins.
@DuaneBratt GoA is again using external counsel rather than (excellent) in-house lawyers, just as they did in CM v Alberta in 2022, when LaGrange was Minister of Education.

Taxpayers paid for their representation + Justice Dunlop's penalty to pay Plaintiff's Costs.

canlii.org/en/ab/abkb/doc…Style of Cause for CM v Alberta Ruling on costs, from CanLII link in my tweet.
Scathing conclusion from Justice Dunlop's ruling, same link.
Read 24 tweets
Mar 13
🧵

The Honourable Raymond E. Wyant, former Chief Judge of the Provincial Court of Manitoba, certainly has a sparkling resumé and history of service.

However, there may be a problem with him providing these legal services to the Government of Alberta.

alberta.ca/release.cfm?xI…
That problem: no evidence that Judge Wyant is entitled to practice law in Alberta.

Search result from Law Society of Alberta directory, which lists lawyers of different practising statuses:
• lots of Raymond___
• no ___Wyant

/c @KathleenGanley

documents.lawsociety.ab.ca/wp-content/upl…no result for Wyant last name
Lots of Ray and Raymond, but none with last name Wyant
I've tagged my MLA Kathleen Ganley on this, as she is a lawyer and former Justice Minister. I am neither, so I would appreciate her review of this, with advisors at @albertaNDP as required.

It is baffling to me, but as a layperson I looked deeper...
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
Hey Bath Fitter!

You're apparently renovating the bathroom above my friend's high-rise condo suite in NW Calgary, and here's what you (?) have done to her ceiling. Your "installer" apparently ran down to say he would "clean it up".

She called condo mgr.

bathfitteralberta.caPhoto of hole in ceiling - IIRC this WAS the access panel from suite below to tub in suite above.
Rain shower head in lower suite covered in junk
Way more debris in the floor drain of my friend's shower
Access panel from ceiling fallen into my friend's shower, likely because Bath Fitter or whoever did not come to "access" the bathtub below through it first.
My friend is worried about her safety. We recently had to get restraining order against a man who nearly sexually assaulted her there on 16 Dec 24.

💩 condo manager GAVE THE PREDATOR her suite number and allowed him up to her floor, without checking ID or calling her.

@CBCMeg
@CBCMeg So this banging on her bathroom ceiling and shower floor today..

..is reminding her of the man banging on her door on Mon 16 Dec 2024..

..is flashing back to an abusive marriage where my friend hid/barricaded in the bathroom from a husband banging on the bathroom door.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9
Sunday Brunch Buffet at @HyattCalgary with my sister for her birthday tomorrow. All this chef-prepared food, on heavy plates and silverware, and graceful perfect service for $45.

Don’t tell her I could probably afford this more than once/year.

thomsonskitchenbar.ca/promotions
And yes, my video work is extremely sub-par. @rodmaldaner would give it an F if he were teaching me in a class. 😏

But:
• I’m hungry. Come film and eat your own.
• I promised the staff no faces - chefs, customers, staff. Just food.
@rodmaldaner Before the pandemic, @HyattCalgary used to have a weekday breakfast buffet. Best value in town.

First course would be sliced melon, with more of my weight in smoked salmon than a sea lion would eat, by proportion or absolute. My plate today of buttery, fork-tender smoked salmon with assorted melon, capers and berries.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 9
🧵I remember when AHS was an arms-length agency that delivered health care, and left the politicking to Health Minister, currently @AdrianaLaGrange.

Now, "refocused" AHS is schlepping Premier @ABDanielleSmith self-serving idea to dump $80m MHCare/Atabay boondoggle on Ukraine. Screenshot of tweet 1/7 below.
@AdrianaLaGrange @ABDanielleSmith @JMeddings @alanna_smithh @TheBreakdownAB @JenLeeCBC @PfParks @LukaszukAB @reportrix @CheSkulskiCTV @ByMatthewBlack @DuaneBratt We know 120 mg/5 mL is European concentration, and 160 mg/5 mL is N American.

Yet you paid MHCare Medical $70m for 5m bottles (10-14x Canada's annual demand) of European concentration, when Atabay would have happily mixed the Canadian concentration in this custom order for us. Image
@AdrianaLaGrange @ABDanielleSmith @JMeddings @alanna_smithh @TheBreakdownAB @JenLeeCBC @PfParks @LukaszukAB @reportrix @CheSkulskiCTV @ByMatthewBlack @DuaneBratt This "risk was identified" AFTER this thick suspension clogged the tiny diameter gastric feeding tubes of infants in Neonatal ICU, not "children under two years of age".

Evasive minimizers!

And you still defended this off-label use afterwards.

albertahealthservices.ca/news/Page17971… Tweet 3 of 7
Read 9 tweets

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