Inflation thread 🧵
Beneath the models, mainstream economists make huge assumptions about the nature of individuals allegedly constituting “the market”. Yet they have never made any robust or close intellectual contact with the field of psychology and don’t care to do so
Instead, it has always relied on a poor imitation of 19th century energy physics. It is this ideological and religious attachment to outdated science disguised as a theory of the market that tells us “printing money” causes inflation, like magic or gravity
“Printing money” is rhetorical code for excess, linked to social unrest and many of the bigotries/scapegoating we project onto marginalized people (gay, women, POC, immigrants, etc) in times of collective anxiety and hardship to associate with economic volatility w/ the “Other”
Any reasonable person knows most money exists as numbers on computer screens. But even the “moderate” mainstream economists are telling us that it is the deficit (federal spending into economy that remains after taxes) that has created too much demand and made wages too high! 👻
There is now a bipartisan effort, led by these pseudo mystics (economists) to slow down the economy to address price increases by throwing people out of work and bringing wages down. Then they will all act surprised when we have both price issues AND a recession
The truth is there is no relationship between “excess demand” and any kind of predictable regular dynamics. This is because prices are SET not overdetermined. As Alan Kirman points out “one cannot talk of equilibrium prices independently of market *organization*”
He goes on to say, “Demand is not defined in any simple general way but depends upon the institutional framework in which it is expressed”. Let’s compare that to the vapid nonsense dominating policy discourse and trying to reduce society’s complexity to two intersecting lines 🥴
Market composition/institutional structure is what #MMTers & people like @IsabellaMWeber & @owenslindsay1 emphasize when we discuss the pandemic’s impact on supply ⛓s, price gauging, the awful state of infrastructure, abuse faced by today’s work force & fossil fuels re: prices
This is where the real and intellectually honest debate is at. How do we reshape the structure of markets and the public in order to start moving towards resiliency sustainability and maybe some God damn equity and justice for a change
In my opinion MMT successfully shifted a lot of the conversation away from budgets and towards inflation. But we still have a lot of work to do to really internalize what that actually means in the social imaginary
Shout out to Phillip Mirowski for inspiring this thread 👍🏼
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Current interest rate policy is still a consequence of neoliberal ideology. Before the Regan revolution, the mainstream Keynesians had already evacuated Keynes’ legacy of its most intellectually transformative potential and assimilated it into neoclassical policy /1
So when the oil shocks hit in the 70’s, they had no answer for inflation issues and or “stagflation”. They (and the rising New Democrats) had already given up on the macro economics of full employment and functional finance (MMT) /2
They didn’t have the vision to push for a just renewable energy transition. Coupled with racist resistance to civil rights and pressures from big business to weaken the new deal’s most progressive institutions, the setting was set for reactionary monetarism to take over /3
Truth is that @StephanieKelton & @ptcherneva are rockstars and world builders because their work frees economics from technocratic value free modeling. Their approach to budgets and employment recognizes that any worthy economic theory must be BOTH descriptive AND perspective
And this is by far the best definition of MMT. Sorry I don’t make the rules
Any descriptive framework carries political assumptions and consequences with it about the social world. Neoclassicals do this all the time via welfare economics, cost benefit analysis, pareto optimality, the Phillips curve, and sound money finance etc but pretend it’s objective
One big reason we insist that taxes don’t finance spending, even though otherwise important, is that “redistributing” taxes doesn’t do anything about resource constraints that matter. Inflation is not a dis-equilibrium of quantity. That’s why we need non-fiscal pay fors instead
Taxing elites is good for democracy but doesn’t do absolutely anything about the hospitals, doctors, nurses, and infrastructure you need for single payer healthcare. In fact shrinking the private insurance system would likely free up resources rather than be inflationary
Overcoming climate change may very well take us to our productive limits and require freeing up resources and massively expanding our energy efficiency and sustainable productive capacity. But we may also need to put controls on private credit that mobilizes toxic resource use
Saying Free money and printing money are both incoherent-dumb terms used to try to provide deep analysis of macroeconomics and or critique modern monetary theory but exposes how the most important insights of a monetary-economy have not been understood
1) money is neither free or not free. It is a governance technology that mediates debts and obligations via socially negotiated and administered prices. It is not required to exclusively proceed a transaction because it also mobilizes action and settles balances
2) All money issued is new credit introduced into a socially provisioning system of institutions whether printed, key stroked, transferred, scratched on a stick, or minted. All money taxed is deleted from this system as opposed to “recycled” or collected for (re)distribution
*Incluiré una traducción al Español al final de este hilo* Last night I went into the lion’s den to debate the future of the Colombian economy, progressive policies, and heterodox economics via MMT with a group of right wing market fundamentalists both neoclassical and Austrian
I did so entirely in Spanish, my second language of which I have conversational skills and no formal education. It was an insightful conversation and relatively respectful with some big exceptions. However, a few of my assertions caused outrage from my orthodox opponents
The following points were the most controversial given that in “developing nations”, or the Global South, market fundamentalism often becomes so hegemonic that expertise is attributed to one’s willingness to blindly accept inaccurate premises about the economy and policy as fact
Things to know about Colombia: Clinton’s Plan Colombia was a human rights and environmental disaster. The FBI listed Uribe, the right wing hero and current shadow President, as associated with Escobar in 91. Land distribution in the countryside is near feudal
Hundreds of social and environmental leaders have been murdered in the last few years. Foreign mining and extractive companies hire mercenaries to kill them. The Colombian state has a reputation for disappearing people including students during moments of major protesting
The CIA helped assassinate beloved Colombian Presidential hopeful and leftist Jorge Eliécer Gaitán Ayala in 1948 triggering massive riots. There has been a civil war almost consistently since then. Paramilitary groups have committed unimaginable atrocities for decades