Sticking with the spirit of ten years of energy policy debacles.
Lest we inadvertently enable another ten years of absolute nonsense at the country's expense there's a couple of things I need to get off my chest about nuclear and the Liberals and Nationals.
1. It's fine to have a debate about nuclear. I doubt we'll need it in Australia, but if you think we need to hit net zero by 2050 (and we do), everything should be on the table, including nuclear.
2. But if we are having this *debate*, it can't be devoid of context.
3. First thing to know: nuclear was explored by John Howard back in 2006. That debate led Howard to accept the rationale for a carbon price, which he supported in the end by backing an ETS in 2007.
4. Roll forward to Tony Abbott. The Coalition went from supporting a carbon price to opposing it. Nuclear morphed from a means of facilitating a carbon price to a means of delaying one. Ever since that point, the Coalition has invoked nuclear to DELAY the transition.
5. All the research I've seen says nuclear is not economically viable in the absence of CO2 pricing or massive government subsidies. So when Libs/Nats say they support nuclear, they need to be asked: do you support a CO2 price? Can you quantify the $ value of taxpayer subsidies?
6. If they are not pressed on these questions, then this is a debate about nothing, leading nowhere. Which is the story of the past decade in climate/energy policy. Which is partly why we are in the mess we are in today. Best not to keep enabling the mess. Seriously.
The PM was asked this morning whether the government introduced a carbon tax when it introduced the safeguard mechanism in 2013. Morrison said this: "No, the difference is, as would you know, how the thresholds work and the fact we put incentives in place".
"What Labor is doing is binding them on this and issuing penalties on those companies, so they couldn’t be more different. What Labor has is a tax, a sneaky carbon tax and that’s not good for regional Australia. It is not good at all".
I think it's important that people are very clear about what the PM is saying here. When he argues the Coalition has a credible climate policy, he says the safeguard mechanism is part of the tool kit for net zero by 2050.
🧵Dave Sharma on @RNBreakfast says net zero is the government’s policy. He says Matt Canavan lost the argument on net zero and green hydrogen #auspol
Sharma says there are different views in different parts of the country. He says no single issue drives voters, including in Wentworth #auspol
I don’t expect there to be an homogenised national conversation on this issue, Sharma says. [Narrator: The issue isn’t the conversation, the issue is whether net zero is a commitment the Coalition will actually deliver] #auspol
🧵Just one more quick observation on the moving parts. Angus Taylor says critics won’t be happy until they’ve got a carbon tax. I can speak for all critics but this would be my counter. If we were starting climate policy from scratch you would not start here.
That’s the problem. We have a live test of this we can all draw on. When John Howard started from scratch in 2007 he started with a carbon price and an emissions trading scheme because that was the most efficient approach. Centre right leaders used to favour markets.
An ETS isn’t a tax. Neither was Labor’s scheme, which was the one that got legislated. Also, just in case this isn’t clear in all the derision, this government favours trading in offsets. That’s part of the roadmap. The reason a market mechanism isn’t in play broadly is politics.
I've found today pretty hard. Have to be honest about that. There has been so much nonsense, so much time wasted – and reporting that looks at climate change through the prism of whether particular strategy wins elections is a big part of the problem.
Global heating is an urgent problem. The planet is on the line. The future comforts, opportunities and prosperity of our kids are at stake. This is not Scrabble, or three dimensional chess, or the atomic wedgie hour. This is serious. And yet this reluctance to be serious.
Morrison has landed net zero. That was difficult. This is important. We are inching away from the decade of mendacity and destruction. But my observations about what was delivered today are about the substance of the "plan".
Kerry Chant: "So in terms of the Doherty modelling, what they're saying is around 80% you have options and choices. It's not to say you're not going to have to calibrate and respond your level of restrictions, what you permit ...
... it may be that we actually have indoor mask-wearing for years in certain settings ... that you're only permitted to go to certain high risk venues if you're vaccinated and show proof of vaccination ...
... the world is grappling with how we co-exist with COVID and this virus may throw us curve balls ...