Kelly Brown (fungus beggar) Profile picture
Jun 10, 2022 9 tweets 5 min read Read on X
New Brunswick, 🇨🇦
Latest from @StatsCanada

Excess mortality (all ages) accelerates beginning in summer 2021.📈

Last 25 weeks of 2021:
4,599 actual deaths, minus
3,713 expected deaths...
=886 excess deaths (24% excess)

Only 114 Covid-19 deaths in the same period.
Quick🧵(1/9)
As reported by @CBCNB, the NB Health Minister @ShephardDorothy confirmed the province is investigating, with the support of Premier @premierbhiggs, and with opposition leader, @RogerMelanson pressing them. (2/9) cbc.ca/news/canada/ne…
Some in the science community are already blaming (at least in part) underreported Covid deaths.

CBC New Brunswick quotes Tara Moriarty, @MoriartyLab, an "infectious disease expert" in the UofT crowd, who suggests health authorities may have missed Covid deaths... (3/9)
...she notes the large Covid outbreak in the last five weeks of 2021 and suggests the overlap with excess deaths is almost perfect, and so that's a clue the deaths are Covid related...

...that seems a little intellectually lazy to me! (4/9)
...from this basic chart comparing excess deaths with Covid deaths, we clearly see the waves of excess deaths are in no way correlated with the waves in recorded Covid deaths, with significant excess deaths already occurring before the "significant" fall/winter Covid waves. (5/9)
It is troubling to see infectious disease scientists so quickly jumping to conclusions about the potential causes of these excess deaths, and the media immediately printing these undercounting hypotheses with no evidence supporting the possibly. (6/9)
...the Health Minister @ShephardDorothy even said @MoriartyLAB was fear mongering.

Either way, a very positive step that the NB Health Minister, Premier, and Opposition Leader all want answers. (7/9)
To my knowledge, NB is the only province in Canada that has so openly acknowledged the need to investigate the excess deaths problem occurring countrywide, and I look forward to following the outcome there. Hopefully other provinces, especially Ont, AB, BC follow suit. (8/9)
Lastly, one item that makes NB unique is that it does not have the same degree of opioid/drug related deaths as other provinces that otherwise muddies excess death analyses. Nor did it have the same acceleration in opioid deaths in 2020/2021 as seen in other provinces. (9/9)

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More from @rubiconcapital_

Apr 2, 2023
RESILIENCE🧵

In 2019, I suffered a humiliating public and costly investment loss at the hands of cannabis "shitco" I got behind.

My peak-to-trough portfolio loss in just 15 months was -73%.

Prior to that, my 6.5yr CAGR was 33%.

I could have given up.

But I didn't...
My 2019 loss was the most challenging experience of not only my investing career but of my entire life.

I lost 73% of my capital in 15 months – capital I had compounded at a high rate for 7 years, in a prudent, disciplined manner, that brought many inward and outward emoluments.
I had two choices: give up, or keep going. I don't know how I did it, but chose the latter.

Luckily, thanks to my network of brilliant investing peers and experience, I had other assets in my portfolio, namely $XPEL and $CPH.to, that have brought my capital back from the depths.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
I would like to disabuse everyone, including the media, of the notion that drug/opioid toxicity deaths and COVID-19 explain all of the increase in total deaths in 🇨🇦. They do not.

A brief 🧵, with just the raw numbers, in an easily digestible format. Please share widely.
Note: for simplicity, the figures I present in the tweets below are for three provinces only, combined: Ontario, Alberta and BC. They have the country's largest drug epidemics with the highest absolute drug death counts:
Q1 Deaths (Jan to Mar)
Total ▪️ Opioid ▪️ C-19

2016: 41,737 ▪️ 554 ▪️ 0
2017: 45,109 ▪️ 797 ▪️ 0
2018: 46,693 ▪️ 904 ▪️ 0
2019: 44,918 ▪️ 917 ▪️ 0
2020: 46,169 ▪️ 910 ▪️ 77
2021: 49,343 ▪️ 1,638 ▪️ 4,228
2022: 53,664 ▪️ 1,684 ▪️ 3,886

(note the changes from '21 to '22)
Read 8 tweets
Aug 21, 2022
Unfortunately, Statistics Canada can no longer be trusted.

After at least 5 months of published estimates showing growing excess all-cause mortality in New Brunswick 🇨🇦, in their August update @StatCan_eng has revised NB deaths down to the baseline.

Colour me skeptical.
The excess deaths in New Brunswick 🇨🇦 first garnered the attention of national media in June 2022...
cbc.ca/news/canada/ne…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 16, 2022
IMPORTANT

This Alberta 🇨🇦 study vilifying unvaccinated people made the rounds yesterday.

But it does not address some serious flaws in the way vax/unvax data is collected. I will ask @drseanbagshaw to address them here in this short 🧵. Please read and share. cc:@AlexBerenson
Two Major Flaws:

#1. Does not indicate whether unvaccinated patients include those patients that received their 1st dose <13 days prior to admission.

We know from Alberta statistics (no longer available) that a striking # of admits (and deaths) occur shortly after 1st dose.👇🏼
We know this from great work done by @AlexBerenson, who noticed the above data was scrubbed from the Alberta Covid site in Jan 2022. The images in the above tweet are from Alex's substack article (below), which I encourage @drseanbagshaw to read carefully. alexberenson.substack.com/p/the-governme…
Read 7 tweets
Jul 15, 2022
🚨THIS IS MASSIVE NEWS🚨

In response to Dr. Moore's sensible risk/reward vaccine guidance, @KateHanneman of the Cardiology community is PUSHING BACK, and downplaying the risk of Myocarditis!

They are WRONG, they have been WRONG, and now they know they are wrong!
The above article from @RichardCityNews needs to be retracted! He is citing 204 cases of Myocarditis of the 775 total cases of Myo or Pericarditis heart damage, IGNORING ALL 572 other cases of heart damage deemed peri or myo/peri, therefore citing a false 1 in 61,000 (all ages)! Image
@RichardCityNews this is terrible journalism! Correct it at once!
Read 4 tweets
Jul 4, 2022
Ontario Mortality Update
(@StatsCanada Estimates)

*Record High Deaths in Q1/2022*

33,183 total deaths (all ages)
+17% vs. '17-'19 Q1 average
+10% vs. Q1/'21

WHY IS ONTARIO EXPERIENCING RECORD HIGH MORTALITY IN 2022 AMID WEAKER VARIANTS & 50+ AGES 95% FULLY-VAXED & 81% BOOSTED?
Note: the "Non C-19 Excess" in the above chart refers simply to the total number of deaths above the 2017-2019 average that are not explained by Covid-19 death counts.
Also Note: Opioid deaths are only a small portion of the "Non C-19 Excess". For example, in Q4/21 and Q1/22 there were 2,256 and 2,177 "Non C-19 Excess" deaths, respectively, while Opioid deaths averaged ~705 per in 2021 (360 per quarter in '17-'19).
Read 5 tweets

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