Simon Evans Profile picture
Jun 15 15 tweets 11 min read
THREAD

This week & last, climate negotiators from around the world have been meeting in Bonn #SB56 ahead of the next UN climate talks COP27 in Egypt

We'll be publishing a full @CarbonBrief summary

But meanwhile, what have they been talking about?

1/n

unfccc.int/SB56
COP26 last year finalised the Paris Agreement, but it also gave climate diplomats a lengthy to-do list

✅A "dialogue" on loss & damage finance
✅A "work programme" on adaptation targets
✅A "work programme" on faster emissions cuts
✅…and much more!

2/

carbonbrief.org/cop26-key-outc…
If you're brave, you can see these to-do list items reflected in the *provisional* agendas of the meetings (yes, meetings plural) in Bonn…

SBSTA, the UNFCCC technical body
unfccc.int/event/sbsta-56

SBI, its implementation arm
unfccc.int/event/sbi-56

3/
In fact, the "Glasgow Dialogue" on loss and damage finance did not make the cut and so has not been formally part of the SBI agenda, as @ChloeFarand reported here:

4/

climatechangenews.com/2022/06/10/fru…
…but the dialogue itself did start to take place in Bonn. You can even watch the sessions on demand.

Confused? Me too!

In short:

Dialogue = talking
On the agenda = decisions can be made

You'd need a decision to set up a new finance facility…

5/

unfccc.int/event/glasgow-…
The "work programme" towards a global goal on adaptation (GGA, as if there weren't enough acronyms already) did make the cut to be on the formal agenda in Bonn; some groups formally submitted their views and we even got a draft (decision) text

6/

unfccc.int/event/sbi-56#e…
The LMDC group of big developing countries, including China & India, submitted a paper calling for, amongst other things, extra finance for adaptation

7/

unfccc.int/sites/default/…
The draft GGA decision text draws on a paper from the African Group, but is heavily bracketed (22) & filled with options (37), meaning it's far from being agreed

At this stage, they're haggling over what to discuss in a series of workshops (!)

8/

unfccc.int/sites/default/…
For the "work programme" on "urgently" scaling up emissions cuts, discussions look to be a long way from consensus, which is v reassuring 🤡

It was on the agenda, they talked about it, but couldn't agree even on basics like how long it should last

9/

unfccc.int/event/sbi-56#e…
You can see the draft conclusions here

To paraphrase "we couldn't agree, ppl suggested some ideas, pls send more ideas before October"

…even the invitation to submit more ideas is, in itself, not agreed (see the [square brackets] around item 4)

10/

unfccc.int/sites/default/…
You can see the grab-bag of ideas being discussed in this "informal note", which is a collection of everything suggested, without any judgement on what should ultimately be included

11/

unfccc.int/sites/default/…
As reported by @ClimateHome latest newsletter and shown by the "informal note", countries can't even agree on how long the "urgent" dialogue on raising ambition should last – whether one year only or all the way out to 2030 – or who should be focus

12/

unfccc.int/sites/default/…
Elsewhere, the Bonn talks also included "technical expert dialogue" on climate finance, looking ahead to the new target that will replace the existing (not yet met) goal of $100bn by 2020

This new target will be a big feature at COP27…

13/

unfccc.int/process-and-me…
If you thought "Article 6" on intl carbon markets was agreed at COP26, you're right, but there's still a whole bunch of new processes to put in place before any of it can start to operate… (6.4, L)

…and guidance needed for bilateral deals (6.2, R)

14/

unfccc.int/event/sbsta-56…
Beyond those items, a whole load of other stuff was being discussed in Bonn, from the Global Stocktake that will show (again) how far off track we are, to the Koronivia joint work on agriculture, the WIM on loss and damage, or the forum on response measures

15/ends

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Simon Evans

Simon Evans Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DrSimEvans

Jun 16
Today's Times amusingly reports No 10 officials' idea for an energy efficiency plan called "Insulate Britain"

The real story is less funny

💷Trying to raid green ££ to pay for it
🙈Failing to extend existing ECO scheme
🏡Ignoring manifesto pledge

1/

getrevue.co/profile/Carbon… Image
The Times notes that govt has failed to extend existing ECO efficiency scheme, which was already doing what the article says Johnson wants to achieve

ECO ended in March, despite govt consulting last yr (see link) on a £1bn/yr extension to 2026

2/

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
The Times also reports Johnson trying to get ministers to raid other green budgets to pay for his energy efficiency plans, but fails to mention the (unmet) Tory manifesto pledge to spend £9.2bn on efficiency

3/

carbonbrief.org/election-2019-… Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 15
In all seriousness, the lack of transparency around UK govt decisionmaking on new nuclear plants is a major issue – it allows no opportunity for informed public or political scrutiny over tens of billions of investment
Exactly the same issues came up around Hinkley C, with sparse value for money justification published well after the deal had been signed

(the deal was signed in 2016 and the detailed VfM doc published only a year later)

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
The @instituteforgov described the situation in Oct 2016 as "simply not good enough", concluding:

"Is Hinkley good value? We can’t say"

instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/hinkley-d…
Read 4 tweets
Jun 14
UK, host of COP26, is extending the life of a coal fired power station, West Burton, by 6mths

Does it matter for climate?

TL;DR only symbolically

1/4
In recent yrs, the 2GW West Burton site has run at around 5% of capacity. Only 1GW remains.

At a conservative 10% for that extra six months, I estimate it'd emit 0.5MtCO2 - roughly 0.1% of UK annual GHG total

2/4
Generating the same electricity with gas would emit roughly half that amount, so the saving of not running West Burton would be even smaller, 0.25MtCO2 / 0.05%

(Given timeline to this winter it's unlikely more wind/solar could be built in addition to current plans)

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jun 14
ANALYSIS/FACTCHECK

EV drivers in the UK could save more than £1,500 a year vs driving the same distance in a petrol car

I estimate yr1 savings of £1,063 (avg mileage, home energy price cap) or £1,501 on Octopus "Go" with cheap overnight charging

More if you drive further

1/ Image
UK govt is ending the £1,500 plug-in car grant, arguing running cost savings "can often exceed" this amount

Based on my analysis above…

FACTCHECK: True

(But there are caveats)

2/

gov.uk/government/new… Image
This all reinforces the point I made last week:

EV drivers enjoy significant running cost savings vs petrol car drivers, particularly given currently inflated oil/petrol prices

Biggest caveat is you need ££ to buy an EV, which was point of the grant

3/

Read 7 tweets
Jun 9
Analysis:

UK drivers are paying nearly £100 to fill up a family car. An EV owner would save more than £63.

THREAD with data sources

1/ Image
High oil prices are driving up petrol prices in the UK and around the world.

Several of today's papers featured the story on the frontpage, reporting that an average family car now costs nearly £100 to fill up with petrol (55 litres).

2/ ImageImageImage
We know that EVs are MUCH more efficient than combustion engine cars, using 3-4 less energy to drive the same distance

3/

Read 10 tweets
Jun 7
Australia's new govt has pledged to raise its climate goal, with a new target of cutting emissions to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030, instead of only 28%

How much more ambitious is it?
And what does it leave out?

(TL;DR a bit; and a lot)

THREAD

1/ Image
So the Labor govt won Australia's recent election, promising to end the country's "climate wars" and pledging to cut emissions to 43% below 2005 levels by 2030 (this is actually less than it had pledged in 2016 or 2019)

carbonbrief.org/qa-what-does-t…

2/
Now, Australia's ambassador for the envt has reiterated that 43% pledge and promised to formally submit it to the UN "soon"



3/
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(