First, a special mention. Russia is attacking the small border town of Bachivsk. It is about 110km north of Sumy. There is an ongoing firefight supported by artillery on both sides.
The Kharkiv area: Russia is still attacking around Rubizhne (1). I have the town listed as a "no man's land", meaning neither Ukraine nor Russia control the town.
The Izyum area: Russia is attacking west and south from Mazanivka (2). Ukraine appears to be putting up stiff resistance in both cases, and fighting is still taking place 2-3km west of Krasnopillya.
Russia tried to storm Dolyna today, but they were repelled. I am still not sure if the town remains in Ukrainian hands or if it is contested. Either way, Russia does not control the town.
I am not sure what is going on in Bohorodychne. I did not see any reliable news on the town, so Russia may control it. I am leaving the town listed as contested until I find more information.
Russia is continually pounding the towns of Tetyanivka and Pryshyb with artillery, thus confirming that the Russians had lied when they had claimed to have captured these two towns.
The Severodonetsk area: Russia appears to have total control over downtown Severodonetsk, and they are pushing into the eastern section of the industrial area, which is Ukraine's strongest defensive area.
South of the city, there is fierce fighting going on around Borivske (5) and Russia is trying to push north towards Ustynivka from Toshkivka (6). It seems that Russia finally has control over Toshkivka after 50+ days of fighting.
Zooming in a bit, Russia is also pushing north east from Toshkivka towards Myrna Dolyna (7) and west towards Hirske (8). There is heavy fighting going on in each case.
Russia is trying to close in around Zolote by pushing west from Orikhove (9) and east from Zolote-3 (11) but Ukrainian defenses are holding. These two areas have heavy fighting. Russia is also pushing smaller attacks towards Zolote itself (10).
Russia tried to attack towards Mykolaivka and were repelled (12) and today they made multiple attempts to push up the hill towards Berestove (13) but each attempt failed.
There is heavy fighting near Pokrovske (14a,14b), but the Ukrainian defenders are holding strong. A bit further south, the Russians are trying to push into Vershyna (15), and I am unsure of the current state of the battle.
Yesterday I heard they are stuck in the trench system, but today I heard ambiguous statements about fighting in the town. Those statements could be interpreted as being "near" the town, meaning in the trenches, but I am not positive on that.
Further south, Russians are pushing towards Semyhirja (16) and I have the same sort of ambiguous statements regarding fighting in the trenches or within the town. I will assume fighting is still in the trenches until I have clarification.
South of Donetsk on the Zaporizhzhia front there is news and confirmation of a Ukrainian counter attack south from Vuhledar (17). They appear to have captured Shevchenko, a town that I thought was under Russian control but was in fact a gray zone.
Ukrainians moved in, and Russians pushed a recon unit into the town to check out what was going on (18). The recon unit was repulsed, and now there may be a battle brewing for Yehorivka, which is on the road that feeds supplies to the Russian forces in Pavlivka just north.
The Kherson/Mykolaiv area: There is ongoing fighting around Snihurivka (19). More interestingly, I found confirmation that Ukraine captured Soldatske (21), Pravdyne (22), and Oleksandrivka (23). There is still fighting going on towards Kyselivka (20).
Also, take note of the very, very large amount of artillery Russia has deployed in this area today. Typically, when Russia is preparing to withdraw forces from an area they lead off by substantially increasing the amount of artillery they fire.
They will then remove forces very slowly over a period of time, perhaps 10-20 days. This happened around Kyiv, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Izyum. In each case, it took seven days, minimum, before we saw forces begin to be redeployed.
I am not saying Russia is withdrawing, but if you see continued reports of substantial increases in Russian shelling it could point towards that sort of maneuver. And to state this plainly, Russia will not withdraw from Kherson. They would withdraw to Kherson.
Finally, I do not typically post images or videos like this, but this broke my heart today. This boy is 6 years old. His name is Oleg. Russians shelled his home in Lysychansk and killed him. This is the cost of war.
First, the Kharkiv area: Russians tried to push a recon unit out of Kochubeivka (1), but it was met with heavy resistance and they retreated back home. There is still fighting near Rubizhne (2), but I now believe the town is in Ukrainian control so I have marked it blue.
The Izyum area: Russia is closing in on Krasnopilla (3a,3b), but fighting is still on the outskirts of town. Russia has penetrated the defenses of Dolyna (4) and the town is contested. These two towns are very close together, less than 1km apart.
Ukraine announced today they have lost 1300 armored fighting vehicles, 400 tanks, and 700 pieces of artillery. The tank part in particular may shock some, but I have long noticed their tank losses are much higher than stated publicly. The US needs to start supplying armor.
There are so many m113 sitting around doing nothing. Pack them on a boat and send them. Not 100 of them. Not 200 of them. Send 1000. Send 2000.
I wish congress would get off its ass and write a bill granting loads of armored vehicles to Ukraine. Not through aid packages. Not “we give you this many dollars worth of vehicles.” Send vehicles. Pass a law giving 2000 armored vehicles.
First, the Kharkiv area: Not much is going on. I'm seeing fewer reports of combat, limited only to Tsupivka (1) and Rubizhne (2). Russian propaganda is beginning to admit their most recent offensive in this area has failed, which may be the biggest change in this area.
The Izyum area: I have seen Russian sources confirming Ukrainian attacks in the forest west of Izyum, so I feel more confident marking those three towns as under Ukrainian control. In addition, Ukraine is pushing north and east towards Izyum (3a,3b,3c).
Russian sources are claiming that there are 2000 ukrainian soldiers stopping their advance in Zolote. From what I can tell, Russia is attacking the area with between 5000 and 12000 men, and they have suffered catastrophic casualties including losing many high ranking officers.
I don’t think Zolote will hold much longer given the actions of the past 24 hours. But the damage they have caused to the Russian war machine is absolutely immense.
If/When Zolote falls, the Ukrainian front line will shrink by about 50km and Russia will have to push through all over again, suffering even more losses.
First, the Kharkiv area: Nothing much has changed. There is combat along the points of contact (1,2,3,5), Russia used MLRS to lay more mines around Peremoha and Shestakove (4).
I changed the graphic to have yellow outlines around the areas Russia is shooting mines into. Russia launched an attack out of Rubizhne and there is ongoing fighting (6). Everything is more or less status quo.
My daily update! I want to state up front that I have no idea what is going on in Kherson, and I spent all day trying to understand Kharkiv. And I probably still don't. #ukrdailyupdate
First, the Kharkiv area: I am confused. Let me explain. In the past, I have heard that Ukraine sent a recon unit up through Izbytske, but that they did not control the area.
Today, there is a report that Russia sent forces to Izbytske from the direction of Ternova (6), i.e. from the west, and that their assault on the town failed but they established control over the northern outskirts. Which I have depicted on the map.