Some reasons that @petrogustavo's victory today in #Colombia is historic. 🧵 These are not normative judgments, but realities after a half century of conflict and all that it entailed.

1. Fear & stigmatization of the political left is no longer a winning campaign strategy.
2. Day-to-day concerns now dominate #Colombia political debate - inequality, lack of opportunity, rural development. The conflict-and fear of its existential threat to Bogota-are moved to the back burner

3. Diversity is not a liability but an asset, politically.
4. Colombians voted for a candidate who promises to negotiate with the ELN and dismantle other armed groups, in consultation with the society.

5. An outsider won, but with the support of many familiar faces from the political class.
6. For the first time, campesinos, social movements, and civil organisations have been vital to electing a president. This is no small change; it is fundamental to understanding the new political space.

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More from @dickinsonbeth

Feb 7
When I asked a youth leader in Quibdó what daily life is like, she put it this way:

“Our challenge here is to make it through the day alive.”

In January alone, at least 14 youth were murdered in Quibdó, a city of just 120,000.

Brief thread🧵about our recent @crisisgroup visit
There are two conflicts in Chocó today.

One is ongoing since 2017: btwn ELN and Clan del Golfo for territorial control. The AGC is winning.

Two is even more alarming: the fight by the AGC to cement its presence in the fabric of society. Consolidation, purging of resistance.
Conflict 1:

The AGC’s push into Chocó, from its base in Uraba, Antioquia, has been ruthless and swift.

From a small presence in 2017, today communities say the group controls nearly every major urban center in Chocó.
Read 13 tweets

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