Now we really have reached the witch-burning stage of Brexit, which makes no pretext of needing evidence to make its cases or explain why the policy is failing. I give you this report by the Centre for Brexit Policy attributed to a wide range of figures. centreforbrexitpolicy.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
Its most extraordinary aspect is a constant attack on 'elites' (usually Remainer and often in London) who have undermined the great Brexit project. However the extraordinary thing is that these elites are never named and no examples are given of how they undermined Brexit.
The paragraphs above are typical--lots of scary rhetoric, but not a single piece of evidence, or example. Its pure and simple witch burning (or witch-doctering). Just state your substanceless case over and over again, and maybe some people (maybe even the authors) will believe it
Now, Im fascinated to find my own work cited in the report, but in a way that makes me convinced the authors have no idea of what they are saying. My work, How the War was Won, argues that Britain was far more powerful in WWII than people often realize (see note 12).
Its the first book in the report to show how strong Britain was during WWII--but then the author's do something weird, they go on to say that Britain hasnt declined really from that point, but can still be a powerful, global force (if not held back by those devious elites.
The whole point of the argument about Britain's strength in WWII(and WWI) was that then Britain was a global, technological, industrial and strategic superpower. It was not a 'medium' size power--it was a truly great power--and has certainly undergone relative decline since.
Indeed you can get a read of the first chapter of How the War was Won as a free sample through Amazon, and the point is made than except for the USA, the UK is the world's most impressive technological/industrial power in the war.
Here is a link to the amazon page where you can read that section for free. So certainly if they are using my book to make their argument--they have not understood it (even if they wanted to). Britain has certainly undergone relative decline since WWII. amazon.com/How-War-Was-Wo…
And the idea that it hasnt is bonkers. Britain cant simply imagine itself and act today as if it were something similar to its position in 1939-1945. Thats a recipe for imperial delusion, that will only make British relative decline, exacerbated by Brexit, worse.
If this is the intellectual underpinnings of the pro-Brexit crowd, its terribly worrying. They have no evidence for their main contentions, dont understand things that they quote in support, and have no realistic understanding of Britain's place in the world.
But they can happily keep burning all those elite, remain witches....
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I get alot of comment from Brexiteers (usually when they announce that they are no longer following me like below) assuming that I am regularly pointing out the flaws in Brexit because Im anti-British, or the like. They could not be more wrong.
I tweet regularly about Brexit because I believe it is a problem that will have to be changed, the sooner the better. The deal agreed is so terrible for Britain that is cannot last and will need to be changed. The deal makes Britain weak.
I want the deal changed so that Britain can be a more productive and influential player. Those who like this deal and just want people to shut up are actually happy to see Britain slip into a steep relative decline and become increasingly irrelevant as part of their identity.
Interesting that this is being said so openly, with reference to official U.K. intelligence. It jibes exactly with what the Ukrainians have been saying (and doing) since the start of the Battle of the Donbas.
Let the Russians attack and wear them out/attrit them down. Make them fight for cities where casualties can be extracted and start getting more and more ranged systems to engage Russian forces are greater distance behind the lines.
Try and keep Ukrainian casualties down in the meantime, so that the Russian loss rate is higher (and in many ways the Russian ability to regenerate front line forces becomes less as they have to dip into stockpiles).
Its now been more than 4 weeks since the great Popasna breakthrough by the Russians, which supposedly heralded the collapse of the SDonetsk/Lysychansk pocket. And how far have the Russians actually advanced in that month?
There greatest advances have been about 15 kilometres (10 miles). Yet they haven’t taken Bakhmut and they haven’t even cut the roads to SDonetsk.
To the north the Russian advance was even less. They took Lyman, but since then have hardly moved. Indeed the @GeneralStaffUA update for a while has said there has been very little movement in that area (indeed in the whole pocket) by the Russians. This morning below.
This is a myth, I would say. The points I made are all U.K. focussed and all Brexit related. People need to admit this. They mignt want Brexit, but they need to admit the costs they’ve incurred.
The decline of the pound since the Brexit referendum has been clear. There was the initial decline right from the bat and then the recent decline when it’s been shown that the U.K. economy is the weakest major economy. poundsterlinglive.com/gbp-live-today…
The pound-euro decline is only hitting pound travellers, so that is not happening ‘in the EU and elsewhere’
Travelling to Europe this summer is proving a test case for the disaster-Brexit that has been deliberately chosen. It’s a step by step process of loss and a little humiliation.
You get to the airport and you might find your fight is cancelled. The inability to recruit enough employees to make up for the lack of European workers has left the travel industry badly exposed. It’s so bad, companies are being urged to cancel flights now instead of waiting.
Then when Brits get to their destination, they can find themselves in the slowest entrance line. Visiting Italy now, and here the passport control put Brits in the slowest line, which is the exact same for EU citizens coming into the U.K. the situation in Spain seems even worse.
This is a really interesting set of reflections by US Undersecretary of Defense Colin Kahl. @DOD_Policy . Tries to put what we are seeing in the Donbas in perspective, well done I would say in comparison to all those who are saying the Russians have somehow been succeeding there.
Shows in fact that they are suffering greatly for small gains (if at all) and that actually Putin is struggling coming up with any real path to victory.
The frustrating thing that all this Russian success narrative has done, is that it provides a great deal of impetus to those who want to pressure Ukraine to make major concessions. The analysis of Undsecty Kahl shows that indeed Ukraine can win and is performing well.