I'm trying to cut back on dunking on Yglesias, but compare this glib utterly uniformed tweet with the excellent discussion of the right's long term court strategy on recent @KnowYrEnemyPod & @fivefourpod podcasts (the first of which is here: stitcher.com/show/know-your…
I'm blocked so could someone tell Mr. Yglesias that there are people known as "scholars" who write things called "books and articles." If you consult those, you will find overwhelming documentation of a long term right-wing strategy on the courts that led to this moment.
It's true that the right's long-term strategy met roadblocks and setbacks along the way -- the Bork fiasco, the fact in early stages they didn't vet judges perfectly so got Kennedy & Souter -- but on the whole it's been a very determined 50 year long march which paid off.
To put this another way: why did Kennedy strategically retire & RBG didn't? Could it be that the right created an infrastructure where its members, including justices, see themselves as team players while liberals prioritized glamor of pioneering achievement?
This is good frame. Even if the proximate cause is individual decisions (and stipulating, arguendo, those decision could be separated from broader political culture), what led to those decisions being pivotal is ultimate cause of political organizing
The proper way to understand this tweet is that Yglesias is deeply adverse to political organizing. That's been the case since he was a student at Yale & hated anti-war movement. So success of anti-choice movement via organizing has to be downplayed. Everything is about elites.
Obviously there's an element of contingency in all human affairs, but the reason you organize politically is to create opportunity to take advantage when contingent events break your way, as they did in RBG's & Kennedy's decision. Right organized to seize that moment.
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1. In terms of where USA is heading, important to understand that Dem establishment is spending millions in multiple races to elevate the most batshit insane Republicans in hope they'll win nomination.
2. The centrist Dem policy of elevating GOP extremists is usually defended along Machiavellians line: hey, it's cynical but it works. One problem is that it doesn't always work i.e. 2015/2016 Clinton move to elevate Trump.
3. More to the pint, the policy is not just Machiavellian but associated with a particular type of politics. Early advocate was Dick Morris who as Bill Clinton's bagman urged this as part of triangulation: by elevating hard right, Clinton would be moderator unity candidate.
Teenagers can be mean. That seems true. Hard to argue with, really.
As the father of a tween & as a former (and recovering) child, I'm familiar with the drama that goes in school. Rather than looking at it through a partisan lens, let me suggest that socialization is hard, emotions are influenced by hormones, patience & forgiveness are good, etc
It would be good to both teach kids forgiveness & for society to be more forgiving as a whole but the prime example of social punitiveness isn't high school or college drama but the incarceration rate (including incarceration of children).
This was prescient. Governing theory of Dem elites is 1) USA has to be 2-party system 2) so GOP must exist 3) only way to wrest power away from Trump is to create alternative within GOP (Never Trump/Pence/Cheney in "Reaganite" garb). A bold strategy, which I think can't work.
The choice was always between 1) do you try to build a large enough & partisan enough Dem coalition to marginalize GOP or 2) try to build a "strong GOP" that wasn't beholden to Trump. But not even a choice since Dem elites rejected 1 out of hand & pursued 2.
What was Jan. 6? It wasn't just assault on capitol: it was Trump & his cronies honing GOP into partisan machine willing to do whatever it took, by hook or by crook, to hold power & vanquish Dems. Dem response has been to try to craft non-partisan coalition against that.
1. Good stuff here and there's one point in particular that gets made that could easily be expanded to its own episode: Federalist Society & conservative legal movement have succeeded in part thanks to buy in from liberal legal establishment.
2. Every time the GOP nominated some far right judge to the Supreme Court, you could find some Ivy League liberal to write an op ed about how they're very thoughtful, will grow over time, etc.
3. And within legal academy, always liberal law profs willing to treat Federalist Society as a debating club, rather than major player in organized, partisan effort to remake legal system.
1. The fact GOP's "solutions" to mass shootings grow ever more absurd (reducing doors has become a consensus talking point) is symptomatic of the gun lobby's combination of intellectual bankruptcy & political dominance. They have what they want, so don't need good arguments
2. The gun debate is really a non-debate. Everyone knows the problem in USA is quantity of guns, their availability & their increasingly deadliness. Knowning that, the pro-gun side has no option but to deflect, distract, & verbally filibuster.
3. The more sophisticated conservative arguments would be honesty about trade-offs (i.e. your dead kids are the price of our freedom to own guns) or some version of futility (sure, would've been good not to have guns is USA) but it's too late now
1. The USA right's love affair with Hungary is a prime example of what Orwell called "transferred nationalism" -- i.e ideologues idealizing foreign regime for qualities their homeland lacks (c.f. Shaw on USSR, Bozell II on fascist Spain)
2. If you listened to the CPAC in Budapest speakers, it's clear that they see Obran's Hungary as not just an ally but a role model, an integralist City on a Hill. One speaker said, “We demand nothing short of an American Orbánism." He also said this:
3. CPAC in Budapest casts a new light on fascism debate. I take the point of critics of the fascist analogy that the preconditions of classical fascism (a mobilized mass party, total war militarizing generation) aren't here. But if social reality is lacking, aspiration is there