Speaking of HIMARs the Pentagon anonymous briefing was explicit today on why they really matter. These are not to be compared to traditional artillery or presently anything the Russians have that seems to be working.
These are longer ranged and far more accurate. Both these factors are massive effectiveness multipliers. Impossible to put a number on it, but a working HIMARs system is far more valuable than a large number of traditional howitzers.
Ukraine does not necessarily need masses of HIMARs to compete with Russian artillery mass. They need a significant number and, maybe more important, the right ammunition with the most range that they can get. That’s why they are so important
Adding this here, at present US is limiting the ammo to 40 mile (60 km) range. Thats longer than any accurate Russian system that seems to be operating. And the US can send longer range ammo if they feel it’s needed.
Ukrainian armed forces @GeneralStaffUA have released their first video of the HIMARS in action. They seem pleased.

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More from @PhillipsPOBrien

Jun 26
Ukraine War/Battle of the Donbas update. Sorry I have not done this for 3 weeks, but actually had a break and went to Sicily and have been trying to catch up with loads since. However, tbh, since the last update far less has happened on the ground than you might think.
Looking at claims of Ukrainian losses, the war and the Battle of the Donbas has stayed at a much lower (and overall decreasing) intensity over the last three weeks. ImageImage
Ukrainian claims used as a gauge of intensity have losses running at around one third of where they were when the battle had its first peak of intensity, and around half (if not a little less) than it was for the first 3-4 weeks.
Read 35 tweets
Jun 25
Happy to find you 20 prominent southern politicians who started as democrats and became Republicans. The CRA statement you make is bogus as those were passed in the 1960s and the strong party switching started later.
Many segregationists such as John Stennis, remained Dems
But voted with the Republicans. However here is a list of 20 prominent politicians who switched.
1 James Byrnes: 2 Strom Thurmond. 3. Thad Cochran. 4 Jesse Helms. 5 Bob Barr. 6 Trent Lott. 7 John Connally. 8 Phil Gramm. 9. David Duke (enuf said) 10 Rick Perry. 11. Tommy Robinson. 12 John Tower. 13 Charles Pickering. 14 Albert Watson. 15 Thomas Wofford. 16 William O Mills
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
Its amazing how Republicans are so ignorant of their own party's history that they think this is owning the libs. The southern whites that founded the Klan, etc, moved wholesale to the Republican Party in the 1970s and 1980s.
The Republican Party of today is the Democratic Party of the 1865-1920 period. Indeed the two parties have basically just switched the state's that backed them. Here is a map of the 1896 and 2022 election. Image
It was the constituency of today's Republican Party that founded the KKK and brought in enforced segregation. Just shows how those who claim to be patriotic Americans know nothing of the country of which they claim to be so proud.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 24
Why are only decisions considered a sin by certain religious faiths to be reconsidered? This is worrying, a Supreme Court justice prioritising the deligitimizing things that are religiously motivated. Does anyone secular have a problem with any of these?
Btw, if within the American context you don’t admit that this is being driven by a religious interest (evangelical Christians and more fundamentalist Catholics), I don’t think you’re being honest with what’s happened. The anti abortion movement is dominated by these groups.
What I bet they discover though, is that they will accelerate the secularisation of US society. The US was already becoming much less religious over the last 20 years. news.gallup.com/poll/341963/ch… Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 24
Some pro Putin troll has posted this to have a dig. Actually, stand by the basic claim of what I said on April 30. The Battle of the Donbas has turned into a battle of attrition that holds out no prospect of a major Russian victory.
The battle didn’t peter out because the Russians decided to, rashly I would argue, throw everything they can into a very small area of operations to make incremental advances that make little strategic difference and aren’t worth the cost. I didn’t think they’d be so rash.
So happy with the overall evaluation of where the battle was heading, just didn’t think the Russians would be willing to expend so much force for so little.
Read 6 tweets

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