I was pretty shocked to learn that the racial composition of those opposed to abortion looks almost exactly like the racial composition of the United States overall.
White folks are not overrepresented in the anti-abortion subset of the population.
In terms of religion, the gaps aren't as large as many people would assume.
Catholics are 18% of America and 20% of the anti-abortion subset.
Protestants are 12 points different (46% vs. 34%), while the nones are 21% vs 34%. But no other differences to speak of.
However, when it comes to church attendance that disparity between the two groups grows substantially.
49% of anti-abortion people attend church weekly or more. It's just a quarter of the gen pop.
It's notable that 31% of anti-abortion folks attend less than yearly, tho.
Finally, the political ideology of anti-abortion Americans is obviously more conservative. 63% of them ID as conservative vs. 40% of the gen pop.
However, 18% of anti-abortion people ID as liberal - much higher than I would have guessed.
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I'm just going to throw a bunch of graphs in this thread about views of abortion.
Here's a good place to start - allow abortion for any reason.
1977 vs 2021
Entire Sample: 37% to 54%
Democrats: 35% to 71%
Independents: 35% to 44%
Republicans: 39% to 34%
There were some *huge* shifts among Democrats when it comes to abortion in the following scenarios between 2016 and 2021.
The couple is not married
2016: 53% in favor
2021: 70%
Cannot afford more children
2016: 56%
2021: 72%
Wants no more children
2016: 58%
2021: 74%
Here those six scenarios among the three types of white Christians - Evangelicals, mainline, and Catholic.
There is overwhelming support for access to abortion in the case of rape, the mother's health, and serious defect in the child among all three of these groups.
Share in 2018 vs 2021:
Evangelicals: 22.5% to 13.3%
Mainline: 10.8% to 11.4%
B. Prot: 11.4% to 6.4%
Catholic: 23% to 21.3%
Jewish: 1.6% to 1.5%
Other Faith: 6.2% to 7.6%
Nones: 23.1% to 28.4%
Unclassified: 6.5% to 15.8%
COVID ruined this.
This is with the other weight supplied by the GSS. It doesn't fix the problem.
Somehow a lot more people chose odd responses for religious affiliation.
But, that impacted black Protestants and evangelicals. And no other tradition. This is going to take a while to sort out.
This thread is just watching me flail now.
I broke non-denoms away from the evangelical category here.
This data says that there are 2x non-denoms vs evangelicals in 2021.
One of the most important new measurements in political science is racial resentment. It's adjacent to racism, but tries to understand some of the thinking behind racist views.
This is a scale from zero (no resentment) to four.
The Qs are in the next tweet.
Over 60% of white evangelicals score a 3 or 4 on the scale, followed by 52.5% of Orthodox Christians.
It's about half of white Catholic in the top two categories, but mainline Prots aren't far behind (42.2%).
62.6% of agnostics and 70.6% of atheists score zero
Just to add on to this:
White evangelicals who attend church more than once a week have the highest racial resentment score of any attendance group.