So I'm reviewing $XELA and I have seen that the company is rather beat-down lately, being one of the few Fintech sector growth stocks that has been consistently putting out good news, announcing profitable customer contracts, yet continuously selling off...
DD Thread to follow:
What I find so curious is that $XELA has had a run of good luck in terms of its financial debt restructuring, adding up to a $6M yearly savings on interest, plus multiple new contracts with international and domestic clients adding over $180M to their revenue in just 3 months.
$XELA even announced a massive share buyback for $100M at $1.25 per share in mid-April (extremely generous, given the market price of $0.42 that day
But the stock barely moved?
This is why. 3/8 - 3/15, an average of 15% of the stock traded that week was SHORT EXEMPT.
And March 24th? That the week $XELA listed their convertible preferred stock. It was crushed at open and never had a chance to make any money.
Short Exempts were 13% of total volume that day.
Mother fucking Market Makers are murdering $XELA stock in broad daylight.
They announced a HUGE $136M contract and a Refinancing of $150M of debt back to back on June 21 & 22.
Guess what? Short Exempts. Like fucking crazy.
Same with every single announcement they've ever made.
I guess the fucking liquidity fairy is at it again.
I'll give it to you straight-up. $XELA is bleeding to death, but it's not just because they have bad financials, are losing money, or have a lot of debt.
It's because market makers are routing orders away from exchanges whenever they have some good news and kill the NBBO bid.
Every single god damn broker that handles $XELA orders is only interested in routing to the cheapest fucking place, and that's always Citadel...which... guess who owns a sizeable short position in $XELA since March while we're on the topic. 🙄
Fucking front-running scumbags.
This horse shit is what's wrong with the fucking market. $XELA may not be a supremely profitable company, but FFS, it's actually improving and putting out good news regularly, including their vote approving a reverse-split to get themselves back into NASDAQ compliance today.
Right now, NASDAQ compliance is the most important thing for $XELA to stay listed. Getting above $1.00 before August is their priority.
Coincidentally, I'm seeing that market makers are massively overleveraged, and the short interest does not reflect the on-loans accurately.
Based on the number of short exempts that were printed against $XELA, as much as 4% of their free float may be short-exempt and at risk of failing to deliver in just this week alone.
The exempts and FTDs for the past month could be anywhere from 5 - 8% by that same logic
Just seeing the short exempts visualized against the total volume over the last 3 months is enough to tell me that $XELA's retail trading is being purposely suppressed in order to smother the price long enough to force a delisting.
I'm beyond frustrated by this shit.
The options chain is already overloaded as hell, so there's no need to even bother focusing on that side of it.
Either $XELA buyers start sending their orders to the exchange, where they ACTUALLY affect the price, or we get fucked over for the 1,000,000th time.
In all seriousness, this isn't financial advice because 99.9% chance we get screwed on yet another stock that is likely to delist because Market Makers are able to just make-up prices for retail to buy at, then drag the bid down 20-50% and go collect it from all the paper hands.
I have a position in this company, myself, but honestly? Both I and everyone I know will probably get screwed on it because nobody sends their orders to the goddamn lit exchanges.
If you're going to buy this stock, fucking route to NASDAQ FFS...
Good luck finding a broker that won't steal from you by sending your orders to the twin liquidity black-holes that are Citadel Securities and Virtu...
Jesus Christ, this fucking market...
Yo @ExelaTech, seriously, if your company doesn't start blowing the whistle at the @SECGov and start investigating this situation, your company will be dumped to the OTC market before 2024, mark my words.
So... I know I've been *really* quiet about $BIOR, but quiet doesn't mean silent. I've been watching the data on it over the last several months while pressure built up from the shorts.
But now is the right time to strike, so here's the DD for everyone to review. As always, NFA.
First off, let's review the Ortex Data. Utilization has been maxed out at 100% since the gap-down rug pull in March, and yet shorts and loaned shares have increased since then.
Only recently, shorts have begun unrolling their positions, and I suspect a few reasons why.
At a time back when $BIOR was $PROG, its entire float had been shorted by over 80% as short exempts were abused by market makers to cover the demand from retail upon the good news of PROG's new patent grants for their DDS and OBDS drug delivery systems.
If this is unclear, there are more than $200 TN in unsecured OTC derivatives held by the largest 25 banks. 90% of this risk is held by the top 6 banks...at a time when bank revenue has posted its first material total losses since this bull market began.
The banks have few assets
Out of the $200Tn in derivatives, the banks hold less than $20Tn in assets acting as collateral.
That's a 10:1 ratio of unsecured debt if those derivatives are downgraded, lose value, or go into default.
I want to take a moment to show everybody just how fucking serious this market crash is about to be.
$MBB is the Vanguard managed ETF for Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) and is a barometer for the value of MBS across the entire US market.
Further dd in thread...
This chart demonstrates $MBB versus the $SPX market index.
What you probably *don't* know is that government-originated or "Agency" MBS accounts for $7.7 Trillion in American consumer debt. This is a whopping 25% of our national debt.
And the Fed is about to dump it on us.
The following is a chart of the FED's total assets in MBS:
They hold 45% of all Agency MBS in circulation, or 11.4% of US National Debt.
Why does this matter?
Because we live in a "credit" economy, or more accurately, our economy is propped up by our debt and its collateral
This narrative being circulated is fucking horseshit. Holding stock is what holds the price up, not causing it to fall. This is the biggest fucking fallacy to be shown on main stream media since Trump's tan.
This was promised. We knew we would be blamed. This is fucking occupy wall street all over again and let me explain why.
Ever since the digital stock trading was introduced into the financial markets in the 1980s, we have traded stocks based on each trade in real time.
The fact that the ENTIRE MARKET could see what a stock was trading at at the same time per tick was a revolutionary achievement for the economy because it allowed the markets to operate more fluidly than ever could have been possible without the power of interconnected computers.
I'm doing a DD recap on $RDBX to update everyone on the play and give everybody _full_ transparency into the 8-K filing and understand what is going on. Buckle up, this is gonna be a long one...
$RDBX (Redbox Entertainment) is currently the largest overleveraged stock on the market according to Ortex data. I've been carefully watching for **any** signs of shorts covering in the last 5 trading days. There have been absolutely none.
In fact, they shorted some more...
$RDBX has been shorted by 53% of its FF which has only increased in the last two trading days. Accounting for 2-day settlement, if shorts covering had caused the run-up, then the T+2 delayed data would show a dramatic drop in the number of shares on loan as of this morning.
#HellsTradingFloor is currently up ~100% on $RDBX #squeeze thanks to the call out from @dmcalls. Thanks for being a part of the community and keeping your 👀 open for runners.
Retail is rapidly soaking up this micro-float like a sponge, hence I feel this is just the beginning.
@ORTEX data shows that 50% of all shorts entered (at best) at $11.00 or lower. The other 50% of all 1.41m shares sold short entered below $3.00 and are deep in the red.
All this adds up to old-shorts losing out on their gains, and new ones rapidly losing equity on their margin.
Additionally, as of yesterday, $RDBX was officially put on the Threshold Security List, which indicates that FTDs on the stock are rapidly outpacing market makers' ability to deliver them.