This howitzer can fire all standard NATO 155mm ammunition. It has a minimum range of 780m and can fire high-explosive incendiary/armour-piercing (HEIAP) ammunition to a range of up to 42km, and rocket-assisted projectile (RAP) to a range of 50km.
So the range is 42km and 50km. When we project this on Snake Island this is what we get.
3/
But in that area you have something very important: The Romanian border, a NATO country.
So when we cut of the Romanian part of this cone, and we follow the coastline, we get something like this.
4/
This is an area full of swamps and rivers, and very hard to place heavy artillery. You need a steady ground to fire (and adjust fire). So that limits the options.
A bridge was build right before 07 MAR between two Island next to the "GeoLocated" Island.
There is also a house with what seems a possible dock near that Island.
8/
On 25 FEB the Island was overrun, so the building of this -what seems to be- a bridge started soon after the capture of Snake Island. It seems likely that Ukraine was planning all along to shell Snake Island from the coastline.
9/
Conclusion:
It is highly likely that Ukraine indeed used 2S22 Bohdana 155 howitzers to shell Snake Island.
Not only did we geolocate a firing location, Snake Island is also within range for the HEIAP ammunition.
10/
It's also possible that the fact that they fired from an area this close to a NATO country played an important role in the assessment from Russia to not engage it and because of that, they had to withdraw from Snake Island.
11/
Why is Snake Island so important and the loss of it a huge blow for Russia? (Ref. Zoka's reaction)
Because it's a "strategically and tactically important rock" to say it with the words of @CovertShores
It has come to our attention that our previous investigation thread did not achieve the desired outcome. For this reason, we have conducted further research and wish to clarify some important points:
Although we had intended to demonstrate that the site was not a new mass grave for 180 individuals recently killed by the IDF, as had been insinuated, we underestimated how our initial thread was subsequently used. We did not provide sufficient context, and we now aim to rectify that.
The fact that Palestinians had to bury their loved ones within the hospital complex, in any available space, is a direct consequence of the surrounding and occupation of the hospital by IDF forces. A significant number of the deaths are also the result of the ongoing conflict.
We want to emphasize that open-source intelligence (OSINT) cannot fully capture the extent of what occurred on the hospital grounds.
After our initial investigation, additional questions arose, prompting us to delve deeper into this matter.
Our first thread:
Our temporary update:
We have been able to geolocate dozens of videos.
To make this information more accessible and easier to follow, we have named the three cemeteries based on their respective locations:
Cemetery South
This cemetery is located south of the road, under the palm trees.
Cemetery North
This cemetery is situated north of the road.
Cemetery East
This cemetery is located in the corner of the area.
By naming the cemeteries according to their geographic locations, we aim to provide a more organised and readable presentation of the findings. This approach eliminates the need to include geolocation proof for every individual video, making the information more concise and easier to comprehend.
We will publish our findings in a timely manner to encourage further thought, discussions and investigations on these matters.
This will be a long thread.
The translations were done by using Google translate and Google image translator.
Special thanks to @MiddleEastBuka, @TwistyCB and @GeoRaccoon for their work. Thanks to specific people from outside the GeoConfirmed network for the advice given.
[Every blue pin is a geolocated video between 22 January and now]
One of the earliest reports we found described the dire situation faced by Palestinians during the ongoing siege, where they were forced to bury their dead inside hospital grounds due to the siege of the hospital by IDF.
Source:
"A number of martyrs were buried within the walls of Nasser Hospital due to the occupation’s siege of the hospital, and the martyrs’ families were unable to bury them in the cemeteries."
Palestinians are exhuming bodies from the grounds of the Nasser Medical Complex hospital complex in Khan Younis, Gaza.
This is occurring at the same location where mass graves were dug and burial ceremonies had taken place by Palestinians in recent months. (Proof in this thread)
Footage from Palestinians digging graves/mass graves dated 25 January, 28 January and 03 February while IDF entered the hospital around 15 February.
Quote from
“In the hospital courtyard, civil defence members and paramedics have retrieved 180 bodies buried in this mass grave by the Israeli military." (By Al Jazeera’s Hani Mahmoud)
Conclusion:
This is disinformation by Al Jazeera and others:
This is a known graveyard/mass grave and at least partially dug by Palestinians.
This does not exclude that graves could have been added when the hospital was occupied by Israeli forces.aljazeera.com/news/2024/4/21…
25 JAN 2024 - Palestinian burials by Palestinian people in Nasser Hospital. (VID 01)
An estimation of 75 graves (3 rows of 25 graves) are visible on this video at the exact place where they claimed to have found a mass grave made by the Israeli military.
Palestinians are exhuming bodies from the grounds of the Nasser Medical Complex hospital complex in Khan Younis, Gaza.
This is occurring at the same location where mass graves were dug and burial ceremonies had taken place by Palestinians in recent months. (Proof in this thread)
Footage from Palestinians digging graves/mass graves dated 25 January, 28 January and 03 February while IDF entered the hospital around 15 February.
Quote from
“In the hospital courtyard, civil defence members and paramedics have retrieved 180 bodies buried in this mass grave by the Israeli military." (By Al Jazeera’s Hani Mahmoud)
Conclusion:
This is disinformation by Al Jazeera and others:
This is a known graveyard/mass grave and at least partially dug by Palestinians.
This does not exclude that graves could have been added when the hospital was occupied by Israeli forces.aljazeera.com/news/2024/4/21…
25 JAN 2024 - Palestinian burials by Palestinian people in Nasser Hospital. (VID 01)
An estimation of 75 graves (3 rows of 25 graves) are visible on this video at the exact place where they claimed to have found a mass grave made by the Israeli military.
Last night, Ukraine executed one of its most extensive combined drone strikes in history, according to preliminary reporting: At least 100 drones were involved in the attacks, targeting at least three areas in Russia: Kursk, Engels Airbase, and Morozovsk Airbase. Additionally, there are reports that Belgorod, Voronezh, and Rostov-on-Don may also have been targeted.
In this thread we will publish the different geolocations.
VID 01:
Air defense working and explosions seen in direction of Morozovsk Air Base.
The spreading of misinformation through insinuations is also a well-known tactic. Questions are posed with insinuations in order to sow confusion because the answer is not known. In this case, the hidden insinuation is that it could be a military staged operation. It is NOT.
In this viral tweet with 750k views, 2500 RT's, ... the author asks 4 questions, we will answer them all based on geolocations: a fact.
The geolocation of the footage below is part of our huge GeoConfirmed 7 October Investigation:
Over 400 different captured 'incidents' have been analyzed, with the majority being geolocated and evaluated in terms of both space and time. There are still hundreds remaining to be processed. In the future we will share our investigation with our audience.
The author asks the following questions:
1) Where are these people fleeing from? 2) Why don't the cars match? 3) Why doesn't the landscape match? 4) Why are there no trees?
In short:
1) Hamas militants are shooting at them. 2) Because the drone video (Drone Vid) was recorded 600 meters further than the video of the fleeing civilians. (Vid 01) 3) Because (Vid 01) is recorded 600m away from the road. And even on google maps some very big fields are visible in the area. 4) Because (Vid 01) is taken in a big field.
Of course, in the following thread, we will provide a detailed explanation so that everyone can understand how we were able to answer the questions.
1/x
Firstly, we searched for the original videos in our database. We will list them below along with the source. The videos are named "Drone vid" and "Vid 01"
Drone vid:
Footage taken from the entrance towards the festival on the 232 road, filming north.