GeoConfirmed Profile picture
Jun 30, 2022 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
GeoConfirmed - Thread about the shelling of Snake Island.

I don't think we need to GeoLocate Snake Island anymore, but in case you have doubts, its around 45.254787, 30.203294.

So the claim is that Ukrainian 2S22 Bohdana 155 howitzers were used to shell Snake Island.

1/
This howitzer can fire all standard NATO 155mm ammunition. It has a minimum range of 780m and can fire high-explosive incendiary/armour-piercing (HEIAP) ammunition to a range of up to 42km, and rocket-assisted projectile (RAP) to a range of 50km.

army-technology.com/projects/2s22-…

2/
So the range is 42km and 50km. When we project this on Snake Island this is what we get.

3/
But in that area you have something very important: The Romanian border, a NATO country.

So when we cut of the Romanian part of this cone, and we follow the coastline, we get something like this.

4/
This is an area full of swamps and rivers, and very hard to place heavy artillery. You need a steady ground to fire (and adjust fire). So that limits the options.

But there was another picture:



5/
And yes, we GeoLocated it:

Thx to @AaronB2022 for the initial clue.
And our @GeoConfirmed members @a_vikulin, @kargolow, @OSINT_Amateur searched and found the exact location:

45.301060, 29.752150

6/
So on the map would it be this location:

6,5km from the border of a NATO country.

7/
And how did they get to that location?

Could be by boat, could be by land.

A bridge was build right before 07 MAR between two Island next to the "GeoLocated" Island.

There is also a house with what seems a possible dock near that Island.

8/
On 25 FEB the Island was overrun, so the building of this -what seems to be- a bridge started soon after the capture of Snake Island. It seems likely that Ukraine was planning all along to shell Snake Island from the coastline.

9/
Conclusion:

It is highly likely that Ukraine indeed used 2S22 Bohdana 155 howitzers to shell Snake Island.

Not only did we geolocate a firing location, Snake Island is also within range for the HEIAP ammunition.

10/
It's also possible that the fact that they fired from an area this close to a NATO country played an important role in the assessment from Russia to not engage it and because of that, they had to withdraw from Snake Island.

11/
Why is Snake Island so important and the loss of it a huge blow for Russia? (Ref. Zoka's reaction)

Because it's a "strategically and tactically important rock" to say it with the words of @CovertShores



12/
Whoever controls the Island, controls all the sea around it.

With the connection Snake Island - Sevastopol you control the access the that part of the Black Sea.

13/

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More from @GeoConfirmed

Sep 17
GeoConfirmed UKR. Disinformation.

❌"Cemetery of Ukrainian tanks in the Kursk region." ❌

These are Russian tanks that have been marked with Ukrainian symbols following their capture during the Ukrainian Kharkiv offensive in autumn 2022, near the village of Myrne. ✅

Factchecked by @BuschModelar and community noted.


Despite this, the post remains pinned to the profile and is going viral, currently boasting 1.1 million views.

In the comments, the author (@Ug_chelsea) is engaging in discussions with users who point out the flaws in his/her post, remaining entirely convinced of his/her perspective.

Now @EjShahid has geolocated this location, proving again that this is disinformation:

48.863855, 37.541882
Myrne, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine

Source for the original post:

1/5
Image
Great first fact-check by @BuschModelar



2/5
Great geoLocation by @EjShahid



3/5
Read 5 tweets
Aug 6
GeoConfirmed UKR.

Thread of 'Kursk' related geolocations.
New ones will be added at the end.

It seems they aimed to demonstrate that, even a year after Russian separatists conducted an incursion from Ukraine into Russia, Russia still struggles to adequately protect its borders.

1/XImage
Over a year ago.

More information .

2/X geoconfirmed.org/ukraine
Image
A Russian drone targets Ukrainian armored vehicles (Humvees), with a new tactical sign, and infantry, with at least three dropped explosives, in Basivka, Sumy region.



3/X
Read 12 tweets
Aug 2
GeoConfirmed World - Investigation.

Disinformation from @jacksonhinklle regarding the Venezuela protests has escalated, as he accuses others, including @elonmusk and @visegrad24, of spreading disinformation without any substantiation.

Moreover, geolocation analysis confirms that the images in question are recent, Jackson is wrong, and we will provide evidence for this, also based on GeoLocation.

Always remember: Jackson Hinkle is known as one of the most significant sources of disinformation on X/Twitter.

The claims by @jacksonhinklle:




Elon his retweet:

Important to notice: its about ONE specific video.
In his reaction Jackson added two other video's... The third video he added is also recent. We didn't looked into the second video because that one is not relevant for his claim.

POV Specific video: 10.496848, -66.844982
POV Jackson his third video: 10.496964, -66.844389

A thread.

1/X



Image
In this great tweet by @AlertaMundoNews it is already proven that the candidates visible on the truck were not even participating in 2017...

But we will also show you how you can proof that it's recent footage (and Jackson is again spreading disinformation) by geolocation.


3/X
Read 9 tweets
Jul 14
GeoConfirmed announcement.

Please be cautious when sharing information about the assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump. A lot of misinformation and disinformation is circulating regarding this incident.

GeoLocations:

Estimated location of the shooter: 40.858273, -79.970548
Estimated location of Trump: 40.857139, -79.970870
Estimated location of casualties: 40.856939, -79.970926
Estimated location of crane that is hit: 40.856831, -79.971197
Estimated location of this sniper detachment: 40.857092, -79.970372

An example of widely spread misinformation:
In this video you DON'T see the snipers engaging. The three shots are assessed to be from the shooter. What does not mean this team hasn't engaged the shooter at a later time, it's only not visible in the video claiming they did.

We asked experts and fact checkers their opinion:
Always focus on what you DO see and DO hear in a video.

Observations:

After the first shot Trump is reaching for his ear. Almost the same time Sniper One (With the tripod) is repositioning/taking cover. Also Sniper Two is taking cover. A sniper will not immediately shoot after repositioning: it takes a few seconds to zoom in, adjust scope etc.
Three shots are heard with the same specific sound, all three assessed to be from the shooter.

Another video (Vid 01) emerged where bystanders identify the threat before he starts shooting. At 0:03 you hear three shots. At 0:07 you hear 5 more shots in a fast pace but with the same sound as the first three. Followed with what is assessed as another different type of gun shot.
At 0:16 a witness is describing the shooter to be turning in their direction.
At 0:19 another single different sound what is also assessed as another different type of gunshot, is heard.


In Vid 02 you hear them also identifying the shooter and the same sequence of shots is heard.


In Vid 03 you see the location of casualties.


In Vid 04 you see that a crane is hit (at 0:16) near the location where casualties where reported.


In Vid 05 you see the Sniper Team is still repositioning a fraction before the next 5 shots are heard. Sniper One is still looking over his rifle to assess threat location.


So these are observations.
We asked experts for their opinion what we see here. And the thread written by @LtTimMcMillan seems to be accurate. (Vid 06)

Opinion:

1. Snipers are tasked for very far engagements. The shooter was 125m away. It is very likely the was not in their area of responsibility.

2. Snipers that are using their scope have a narrow field of view. You see that Sniper One is using his scope, probably screening far away/in depth. When trying to identify the treat he had to look over his scope and reposition his rifle, because the treat is likely way closer than expected.

This also means that its impossible to state that this specific detachment failed just based on the footage.
You need to know and understand how they work, what their area of responsibility was, and what the communication was they got, etc...

Read the whole thread by @LtTimMcMillan:


In times like this its advised to follow accounts like @Shayan86 and other fact checkers.

Other examples:

"Major blue-tick accounts are falsely claiming that "Antifa extremist Mark Violets" was the shooter at a Trump rally in Pennsylvania today, who earlier revealed his plan in a YouTube video. The video shows Italian football fan Marco Violi, who has nothing to do with the shooting."


An X user claiming they got the wrong guy.


and lots of other claims.

Conclusion:

Stick to what you hear, see, and know.
Recognize that you may not possess the knowledge to comprehend everything, and it's more beneficial to identify experts and read/listen to their insights on topics beyond your expertise.
Ultimately, a thorough investigation will be necessary to understand what is as close to the truth as possible.

Be mindful of misinformation and disinformation, particularly in these times. The rise of engagement farming has exacerbated this threat to a significant degree.

1/X






All assessed locations:

2/X Image
Our first thread:

(Shooter to Trump distance around 125m)



3/X
Read 11 tweets
Jul 14
GeoConfirmed World.

Location of the what looks like the killed shooter involved in the Trump shooting.

Distance from Former US president Trump around 125m.

Former US president Trump was standing around 40.857139, -79.970870

What is assessed as the killed shooter, on a roof, at 40.858250, -79.970806

GeoLocated by @AKMcKeever, @OAlexanderDK, @RhinozzCode, @FahrettinAltay_ @Faytuks, @GeoRaccoon

Geolocation:


Location:

Sources:



geoconfirmed.org/world/d30f722a…

Read 8 tweets
May 17
GeoConfirmed UKR.

Last night, Ukraine conducted one of its largest drone attacks in the history of this war.

According to various reports, Ukraine used up to 80 drones, identified as 'Liutyi' one-way attack long-range unmanned aircraft, to strike different targets in Novorossiysk, Russia (approximately 350km from the nearest frontline) and the refinery in Tuapse, Russia (approximately 450km from the nearest frontline).

During the attack, which lasted for hours, dozens of drones followed sometimes the same trajectory, without being intercepted by Russian Air Defense, to strike targets inside Russia.

The targeting of Novorossiysk is particularly significant from a strategic perspective because this is the harbor where various ships of the Black Sea fleet have withdrawn to after the strikes on Sevastopol.

Thread with all the geolocated footage.

1/XImage
At night: Russian AD working in Novorossiysk, first explosions reported.

POV: 44.7020191, 37.7828344

GeoLocated by @Grimm_Intel



2/X
Read 35 tweets

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