And now it's time for the lessons learned. According to the Wall Street Journal.
Let us see how wrong they get it!
I highlighted the key lesson of this war. But almost everyone ignores it because logistics isn't sexy. It's the shooty pew pew stuff.
Also General Patrick Sanders is wrong to say Britain has learned or adapted from this war. Since it has changed nothing about its pre-war plans.
So far so good with the article.
But again general you show that you may actually get it. But you are changing nothing for the better. The British army will be smaller than 5 years ago and less well equipped with yet more capabilities retired without replacement.
As the meme goes, war never changes.
The Russians seem to have realized this by not gutting their ability to build massive weapon stockpiles in short order so as to save some money.
And remember, US stockpiles would likely be depleted if they were in Russia's shoes in this war.
Yes these same open-source analysts have been claiming this since basically week 1 of the war. And time again they have been proven wrong. Stop believing them and stop selling their cope.
This is a very political way of saying, "We fucked up and we fucked up BAD!"
Because guess what. It isn't easy to set up new munitions factories. Especially if you do not already have the skillset. As is the case for most NATO members today.
Wars do tend to be evolutionary rather than revolutionary.
Nothing has truly fundamentally changed since WW1. Every weapon system as used today existed back then in some form or another. That is why every person telling you a weapon will revolutionize warfare is a liar.
This wasn't the case at all. Russia was able to get it's armour right up to the edge of the city and halted there. Because a force of 20k-40k by estimates vs one of 100+k in a city is foolish.
The greatest loss Russia sustained was from Ukrainian artillery, not hand held weapons
This is what I always talked about. You need MASS to win.
And stop lying general. You are cutting the size by 10k men. Halving the tank fleet. Retiring the IFV fleet without replacement. Getting APCs only armed with .50 HMGs.
This isn't mass and you know it.
Okay this is just hilarious.
The TB2 is $5 million a pop. Hardly inexpensive. And even then it's proven about as effective as strapping sensors and PGMs to a Cessna. Not very.
And Ukrainians in fact now refuse to use the Switchblade or take the NLAW. They do not work for them.
Another thing I have been harping on about for years.
Guess we'll see the return of the landline, just in fibre optic form now.
Also hard kill APS like Trophy emit radar. So they are a massive detection flare to a peer enemy.
Blablabla better tighter integration of the branches. Heard it every decade.
Hmmm is the reason you were expecting them to fail in February because you were actually training a Gladio like stay behind force? That is certainly how you equipped the Ukrainians. And who too no less.
A RAND study from some time ago looked at when quantity always beats quality. And it is at 9-1 or greater odds.
The fact Russia is fighting with a smaller force than Ukraine is the only reason Ukraine is still in the fight
And that final quote is something @ArmchairW would like
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Time to analyze another news article. This one with a title seeming to be aimed straight at me. I did say they needed to end this war by August or something.
Yes liberating one of the provinces of a foreign country is totally not a strategic goal. Scream it as much s you want, but it is.
Advances also seem to be accelerating, but we'll see how long that pace holds up.
The only thing that got attritted in Luhansk was Ukraine's equipment as well as their trained and experienced soldiers. It now seems the Lisichiansk retreat was a actually a rout due to morale that broke
Also gotta love the map with the cope bulge. All of that got taken ages ago
Let us have a look at some of the cope written about the entirety of Luhansk being liberated.
This one is from the BBC.
Hey looks prudence.
Interestingly Russians have noted that Lisichiansk was full of prepared defenses, like roadblocks and trench lines. So it is clear the pullout was a last minute decision.
Whatever happened to the brave defenders of Mariupol and later Severodonetsk helped tie down the Russians?
Suddenly getting surrounded and wiped out is a bad strategy? Amazing that it took them tens of thousands of losses to learn that.
God I hate gonzo journalism. But at least Gonzo Journalism is a subtle admittance by the writer that he isn't objective at all.
Anyway a majority of frontline men (including special forces) having no weapons training is not an army.
After a little over two months of fighting they changed the law to ostensibly kidnap these territorial defense units (I say kidnap because they joined on the promise of not being deployed) to shore up manpower losses.
And now two months since then the manpower shortage is back
High tech equipment is fine as long as you have the vast logistical system behind it to keep it running. This is an argument I have made before.
Ukraine even in peacetime didn't have the logistics to maintain these arms, and wartime only made it worse.
Not important to the wider article but funny considering all the claims that this wunderwaffe was going to spell defeat of the Russians and change the course of the war.
And the Switchblade isn't even one of the more complex systems.
Colonel Cassad quoting a pro-Ukrainian source stating that only about a third of the delivered M777 are still operational now.
I suspect that about half the losses are due to enemy action and are permanently out of action, with the other half being damaged from use.
Western weapons may work well with a Western logistical and equipment support system behind it. But if the weapon starts falling apart rapidly without it, it is simply not worth it as a proper weapon of war if you ask me.
For example the Stoner 63 was a super weapon system to the M16 during the Vietnam War. But only if you could give it the proper maintenance that it needed. Which is why it never got adopted for use outside of special forces.